NCAA Football Odds: Week 11 Thursday College Football Picks 11/10/11

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Three big time duels with a total of three ranked teams are in action on Thursday night, and we are set to make our college football picks for the three pack of games.

Year To Date Record: 60-60 ATS
Upset Record: 16-25, +$615

Week 11 College Football Matchup: Ohio Bobcats @ Central Michigan Chippewas
Date: Thursday, November 10th, 7:30 ET
Location: Kelly Shorts Stadium, Mount Pleasant, MI
College Football Lines: Ohio -6.5
Over/Under 60
Week 11 College Football TV Schedule: ESPNU

As we have said time and time again in these crazy MAC midweek games, if you’re a fan of defense, you’re going to be better served watching hockey than this one. The Chippewas have been awful defensive this season, allowing 31.3 points per game this season. Now, they have to take on an Ohio offense that has scored at least 35 points three times in the last four weeks, including doing so against the Temple Owls, the team with clearly the top defense in the conference. That being said, CMU has played in some more competitive, lower scoring games over these past few weeks, playing to 45 points against both the Kent State Golden Flashes and the Akron Zips and 58 to the Ball State Cardinals. We tend to think that 60 is a tad too high in this one, especially if the Chippewas are going to hang around. QB Ryan Radcliff would have to have just an awesome game to beat us, something that we just don’t see happening when push comes to shove.

Week 11 NCAA Football Pick: Ohio/Central Michigan Under 60

Week 11 College Football Matchup: Houston Cougars @ Tulane Green Wave
Date: Thursday, November 10th, 8:00 ET
Location: Louisiana Superdome, New Orleans, LA
College Football Lines: Houston -34.5
Over/Under 73.5
Week 11 College Football TV Schedule: CBS College Sports

There is no truth to the rumors that the Superdome had to install a third digit for its scoreboard on the visitors side in this one. We can take one look at the offensive numbers for the Cougars and just be amazed. The team has scored 56, 73, 63, 56, 49, and 56 in its last six games, and QB Case Keenum has 3,626 passing yards and 34 TDs this year. If he plays in the Conference USA title game and stays healthy, he’s on a clip to throw for a stunning 5,640 yards and 53 touchdowns. Wow. That being said, Tulane has really gotten killed in games like this one quite often, and losing seven in a row doesn’t really have to give you that warm, fuzzy feeling about backing the Wave on Thursday night. However, we may be glutton for punishment, but that’s exactly what we’re going to do. Houston has covered eight in a row in this series, but only one of the eight featured a final margin of victory bigger than five touchdowns. The Green Wave are averaging 22.7 points per game. If they can put three TDs on the board in this one, we feel at least marginally safe about our chances. And goodness help us for this pick…

Week 11 NCAA Football Pick: Tulane +34.5

Week 11 College Football Matchup: Virginia Tech Hokies @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
Date: Thursday, November 10th, 8:00 ET
Location: Bobby Dodd Stadium, Atlanta, GA
College Football Lines: Virginia Tech -1
Over/Under 49.5
Week 11 College Football TV Schedule: ESPN

We’ll start by saying that these two teams are both probably amongst the best 15-20 teams in America regardless of what any ranking says or what they will say when the season is said and done with. Both teams had one tremendous mental block this season, and for the Hokies it cost one game, while it cost the Ramblin’ Wreck two games. We could make arguments for either side in this one, but we are going to argue for Virginia Tech in this game. The triple option is a very fundamental offense to try to stop. It’s all about speed and assignment football. over the past two years, the Yellow Jackets have only put a total of seven touchdowns on the board in games against the Hokies, a number which is considered relatively low when you’re talking about going against Head Coach Paul Johnson and his high octane option. Sure, in the past, the Hokies were laying bigger numbers than this, and they ended up falling short of those numbers, and they were even beaten here in 2009. But, the failure on that day belonged to the offense, not to the defense, which held the Jackets to just 360 total yards for the day. In the end, the offense for V-Tech should be good enough to make up for the deficiencies of the defense, and it should yield a close, close win for the visitors. We wouldn’t be shocked to see the opposite result though, so tread lightly.

Week 11 NCAA Football Pick: Virginia Tech -1

Lou Palumbo is the founder and part owner of the Sports Handicapping Community. He's been writing and posting free picks and sports handicapping strategies on the Cappersinfo forums and website for 15 years now. He enjoys handicapping just as much as he did from the very first day he built the original Cappersinfo website.

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