NCAA Football Odds: Week 13 Saturday College Football Picks 11/26/11

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College football betting action is here again! Here at Cappers Info, we’re making our running tally of NCAA football picks this year, continuing with action on Saturday, November 26th!

Year To Date Record: 74-74 ATS
Upset Record: 19-31 +$985

Week 13 College Football Matchup: Ohio State Buckeyes @ Michigan Wolverines
Date: Saturday, November 26th, 12:00 ET
Location: Michigan Stadium, Ann Arbor, MI
College Football Lines: Michigan -7.5
Over/Under 44.5
Week 13 College Football TV Schedule: ABC

Oh Michigan, how we love to fade thee this time of year… Big Blue probably knows that it can get on its BCS dancing shoes with a win in this one, and you would like to think that that would be enough motivation to get the job done against a lame set of Buckeyes that really underachieved this season. However, we know that this was a year ravished by off the field issues for OSU, and a win in this game would make an otherwise dismal season seem like it has a light at the end of the tunnel. These rivalry games are always close (remember that theme as we go forward with the rest of our college football picks), and we tend to think that this one stays within a touchdown one way or the other.

Week 13 NCAA Football Pick: Ohio State +7.5

Week 13 College Football Matchup: Missouri Tigers vs. Kansas Jayhawks
Date: Saturday, November 26th, 3:30 ET
Location: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
College Football Lines: Missouri -25.5
Over/Under 60
Week 13 College Football TV Schedule: FSN

Same concept, but not quite the same play in this game. We do think that Kansas wants to stick close in the “Border War,” as it has had a dismal season as well without much to look forward to. The Tigers have been known for their defensive power over the course of the last few weeks, but we do think that Head Coach Turner Gill and his Jayhawks have a few tricks up their sleeve that could generate a few TDs in this one. That being said, the Kansas defense is just simply atrocious. There’s no way that the Tigers aren’t scoring at least 40 in this one, and if that’s the case and the Jayhawks can get just a tad bit of offense going, this could end up being a game that goes flying past the number.

Week 13 NCAA Football Pick: Missouri/Kansas Over 60

Week 13 College Football Matchup: Georgia Bulldogs @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
Date: Saturday, November 26th, 12:00 ET
Location: Bobby Dodd Stadium, Atlanta, GA
College Football Lines: Georgia -6
Over/Under 55
Week 13 College Football TV Schedule: ESPN

Another rivalry game where the results often defy what you would figure as logical. Georgia is clearly one of the hottest teams in the country, and laying six seems like a reasonable number, even on the road against a solid ACC club. However, the underdogs in this game tend to do quite well, and it feels as though if one of these two teams has a conference title game to play the very next week, they check out of this one. That being said, Georgia would much rather take down Alabama, Arkansas, or LSU than worry about Georgia Tech, while the Jackets are trying to make one last gasp as a potential three loss BCS team, or at least make their way a bit up the ACC bowl ladder. Take the points in this rivalry game and hope for a close encounter.

Week 13 NCAA Football Pick: Georgia Tech +6

Week 13 College Football Matchup: Tennessee Volunteers @ Kentucky Wildcats
Date: Saturday, November 26th, 12:20 ET
Location: Commonwealth Stadium, Lexington, KY
College Football Lines: Tennessee -7
Over/Under 43.5
Week 13 College Football TV Schedule: SEC Network

The Volunteers and Wildcats probably hate each other a heck of a lot more than most realize. UT needed a pick six in OT to take care of Vandy at home last week just to be in a spot to think about bowl eligibility this week, while Kentucky lost out on its chance with a competitive 19-10 loss Between the Hedges last week in Athens against Georgia. UK’s offense ranks No. 118 in America, so you’d like to think that Tennessee, now that it has QB Tyler Bray back under center, will be able to rack up enough points to easily be able to win by a touchdown… right…? Not so fast, my friends… We think that UT will win it, but it will need to give everything that it has to be able to take this game down.

Week 13 NCAA Football Pick: Kentucky +7

Week 13 College Football Matchup: Alabama Crimson Tide @ Auburn Tigers
Date: Saturday, November 26th, 3:30 ET
Location: Jordan Hare Stadium, Auburn, AL
College Football Lines: Alabama -21
Over/Under 47.5
Week 13 College Football TV Schedule: CBS

We’re going to defy our own logical in this one. Theoretically, catching three TDs in a rivalry game is a heck of a lot of points, and we don’t disagree. However, in this case, Alabama is just head and shoulders the better team in the game. Remember that the Tide raced out to a big lead last year against a significantly better Auburn team before watching it all dwindle away in the second half. The Crimson Tide are at least 21 points better than the Tigers are on the average day, and it should really show on Saturday afternoon. Alabama has a long, long memory for not just last year’s failure in the Iron Bowl, but in Iron Bowls of the past as well. A Tiger team that has overachieved all season long will get a harsh reminder on the final day of the regular season why they were challenged at home by Utah State and Mississippi State in its first two games of the season when the Tide roll into town and roll out with a 30+ point victory.

Week 13 NCAA Football Pick: Alabama -21

Week 13 College Football Matchup: Florida State Seminoles @ Florida Gators
Date: Saturday, November 26th, 7:00 ET
Location: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, Gainesville, FL
College Football Lines: Florida State -2.5
Over/Under 45.5
Week 13 College Football TV Schedule: ESPN

This is as little as an FSU/UF game has meant in decades, as neither one of these teams really has all that much to play for. However, the Noles were able to win over Florida for the first time in eons last year, and they want to keep this winning streak going. The Gators have struggled mightily against everyone that they have run up against since starting off the year at 4-0, including falling behind the Furman Paladins 22-7 last week. That’s right. Those Furman Paladins. Florida State was beaten by a severely underrated Virginia team last week at home, but that isn’t how it wants to end its season. FSU has significantly more talent on it than the Gators do, and it’ll show in the Swamp with a TD victory on Saturday.

Week 13 NCAA Football Pick: Florida State -2.5

Week 13 College Football Matchup: Mississippi Rebels @ Mississippi State Bulldogs
Date: Saturday, November 26th, 7:00 ET
Location: Davis Wade Stadium, Starkville, MS
College Football Lines: Mississippi State -17
Over/Under 46.5
Week 13 College Football TV Schedule: ESPN2

Mississippi State is going to be at home against an instate rival with a chance to go bowling, and that instate rival happens to perhaps be the worst team of all of the AQ schools in the country. Seems easy to want to lay the 17, right? One would figure if the Dogs made it to 21, they’d be fine… but we’re not all that sure. Remember that the Egg Bowl is a game that is traditionally awfully close, and though the Rebs have been down for quite some time, they have the ability to compete in this one. All of the pressure is on MSU to win to become bowl eligible. Ole Miss would love to be able to spoil this to at least leave somewhat of a decent taste in the mouths of the fans in Oxford in the final game of the Houston Nutt era. Take the points in what could be a really competitive game.

Week 13 NCAA Football Pick: Mississippi +17

Week 13 College Football Matchup: UCLA Bruins @ USC Trojans
Date: Saturday, November 26th, 10:00 ET
Location: Los Angeles Coliseum, Los Angeles, CA
College Football Lines: USC -16
Over/Under 58.5
Week 13 College Football TV Schedule: FSN

The battle in Tinseltown is one that has been dominated by the Trojans for a number of years. However, UCLA can still play for the Pac-12 Championship, and a win in this game would give it an outright league title that isn’t marred by the fact that USC is ineligible for the postseason. The Trojans won their big time game last week when they were able to go on the road and take down the Ducks in Autzen. Are they going to be as focused against the Bruins? We tend to believe not. UCLA has played a lot better football over the course of the last month, and Head Coach Rick Neuheisel might need to win this game to not just make the conference title game, but to live up to his decree that the gap is closing between the Trojans and Bruins… oh, and he probably gets fired if his team loses this one and whatever bowl game it ends up in.

Week 13 NCAA Football Pick: UCLA +16

Lou Palumbo is the founder and part owner of the Sports Handicapping Community. He's been writing and posting free picks and sports handicapping strategies on the Cappersinfo forums and website for 15 years now. He enjoys handicapping just as much as he did from the very first day he built the original Cappersinfo website.

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