NCAA Football Odds: Week 5, Saturday College Football Picks

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College football betting action is here again! Here at Cappers Info, we’re making our running tally of NCAA football picks this year, continuing with action on Saturday, October 1st!

Year To Date Record: 26-20 ATS

Upset Record: 5-8 +$185

Week 5 College Football Matchup: Air Force Falcons @ Navy Midshipmen
Date: Saturday, October 1st, 12:00 ET
Location: Navy Marine Corps Memorial Stadium, Annapolis, MD
College Football Lines: Navy -3.5
Over/Under 54
Week 5 College Football TV Schedule: CBS College Sports

If you like the triple option, this is definitely the game for you! Both Air Force and Navy know all about each other and their offensive styles, but one of these teams is clearly in better shape than the other right now. The Falcons are terribly banged up across the defensive line, arguably the most important part of the team when defending the triple option. That being said, that could really open some holes for a Navy team that has been off for two weeks since nearly upsetting South Carolina on the road. This is a very, very winnable game for the Middies, and especially at home, we think that they get the job done in fine fashion.

Week 5 NCAA Football Pick: Navy -3.5

Week 5 College Football Matchup: Rutgers Scarlet Knights @ Syracuse Orange
Date: Saturday, October 1st, 12:00 ET
Location: Carrier Dome, Syracuse, NY
College Football Lines: Syracuse -1
Over/Under 49
Week 5 College Football TV Schedule: Local TV

The Orange escaped last week in a game that they had no business winning against Toledo, while Rutgers survived a challenge from Ohio. Here’s the question that we have for the Scarlet Knights, though: Are you really any good this year? Save for WR Mohamed Sanu, we just don’t see all that much talent on this team. The ‘Cuse have won two in a row in this series after getting crippled for years by the Scarlet Knights, and we tend to think that the magic that occurs in the Carrier Dome on a regular basis will carry over to another win for the hosts on Saturday afternoon.

Week 5 NCAA Football Pick: Syracuse -1

Week 5 College Football Matchup: Bowling Green Falcons @ West Virginia Mountaineers
Date: Saturday, October 1st, 3:30 ET
Location: Mountaineer Field, Morgantown, WV
College Football Lines: West Virginia -18.5
Over/Under 61
Week 5 College Football TV Schedule: Local TV

Once again, last week we faded Bowling Green with no success on the road against Miami (OH), but this time around, it is definitely a “get better” spot for the Mountaineers. This is a BGSU team that just isn’t all that good even though it is 3-1, knowing that that one loss came against a Wyoming team that was just smacked at home by four scores against a Nebraska squad that isn’t as good as West Virginia (forget about what the rankings say). Don’t be shocked if QB Geno Smith goes absolutely bananas on this defense and puts up a humongous day.

Week 5 NCAA Football Pick: West Virginia -18.5

Week 5 College Football Matchup: Nevada Wolf Pack @ Boise State Broncos
Date: Saturday, October 1st, 2:30 ET
Location: Bronco Stadium, Boise, ID
College Football Lines: Boise State -27
Over/Under 60
Week 5 College Football TV Schedule: Versus

It is officially payback time for the Broncos. Nevada has already played in this type of position once this year, getting racked by Oregon 69-20 in Autzen. This trip could be even more difficult, especially against a Boise team that the Wolf Pack beat last year. The last two times that Nevada traveled to the Smurf Turf, they put up 33 points and 67 points and lost both times. This time around, it isn’t getting anywhere near that. Even scoring 30 might not be enough to take care of the number against this Boise offense. Points should be hitting the board in bunches, and we’re going to make the two relatively square plays against the Wolf Pack.

Week 5 NCAA Football Pick: Boise State -27 & Over 60

Week 5 College Football Matchup: Michigan State Spartans @ Ohio State Buckeyes
Date: Saturday, October 1st, 3:30 ET
Location: Ohio Stadium, Columbus, OH
College Football Lines: Ohio State -3.5
Over/Under 44
Week 5 College Football TV Schedule: ABC

Here we go again… Ranked team an underdog on the road against an unranked team… The Buckeyes are clearly the better team in this game, and we know that they are going to come out and show it this weekend. Michigan State is a train wreck, as demonstrated by that bad loss at Notre Dame two weeks ago and the “closer than it should have been” game against Florida Atlantic. QB Braxton Miller is clearly the better of the Buckeyes quarterbacks, and he should have a respectable day against a suspect Spartans ‘D’. The honeymoon as a Top 25 team is over once and for all for Head Coach Mark Dantonio and company.

Week 5 NCAA Football Pick: Ohio State -3.5

Week 5 College Football Matchup: Washington Huskies @ Utah Utes
Date: Saturday, October 1st, 7:00 ET
Location: Rice Eccles Stadium, Salt Lake City, UT
College Football Lines: Utah -10
Over/Under 55
Week 5 College Football TV Schedule: MTN

The Huskies clearly aren’t the better team in this game, but we aren’t so sure that they don’t have the goods to keep this a one score game on Saturday. QB Keith Price is no Jake Locker, but he is smart enough to get the pigskin to WR Jermaine Kearse on a regular basis. We also can plainly see that RB Chris Polk has the goods to be a 100+ yard back every single time out. The only time that the Utes were tested in the Pac-12 this year, they were blown away by USC. This is the type of game that a team that hopes to be a legitimate national power in the coming years should be able to win and win without any issues. We don’t think that the Utes are quite ready for that level yet. They’ll win, but it won’t be easy.

Week 5 NCAA Football Pick: Washington +10

Week 5 College Football Matchup: Mississippi State Bulldogs @ Georgia Bulldogs
Date: Saturday, October 1st, 12:00 ET
Location: Sanford Stadium, Athens, GA
College Football Lines: Georgia -7
Over/Under 52.5
Week 5 College Football TV Schedule: SEC Network

Side bar: Did you know that Mississippi State hasn’t played in a game yet this year that involved anything but Tigers or Bulldogs? That might be a little known fact, but what isn’t a little known fact is that Head Coach Mark Richt is in a lot of trouble. He’s probably out the door not too long after the Florida/Georgia game if that one is lost, and a loss in this one wouldn’t help his cause any. That being said, we do tend to think that UGA has a good chance at surviving against a solid Mississippi State club, but we also know that these Bulldogs from the West have some bite. This one could go either way. Take the points for sure.

Week 5 NCAA Football Pick: Mississippi State +7

Week 5 College Football Matchup: Baylor Bears @ Kansas State Wildcats
Date: Saturday, October 1st, 3:30 ET
Location: Bill Snyder Family Memorial Stadium, Manhattan, KS
College Football Lines: Baylor -3.5
Over/Under 64
Week 5 College Football TV Schedule:

It’s time for some R-E-S-P-E-C-T for the Wildcats. They really were a lot more impressive last year than one would have thought, and we tend to think that they are going to hang around against some of the big boys in the Big XII this year. That being said, forget about Baylor’s rating. The Bears are not one of the big boys. QB Robert Griffin III is great, but he hasn’t had a history of winning games on the road with regularity. This is a hungry, hungry team in purple that he’ll run across on Saturday, and we’re just not so sure that the Bears are going to be able to survive. It’s a prime upset pick, but we’ll take the points instead, just to be safe.

Week 5 NCAA Football Pick: Kansas State +3.5

Week 5 College Football Matchup: Clemson Tigers @ Virginia Tech Hokies
Date: Saturday, October 1st, 6:00 ET
Location: Lane Stadium, Blacksburg, VA
College Football Lines: Virginia Tech -7
Over/Under 50.5
Week 5 College Football TV Schedule: ESPN2

One of the best games on the board in our opinion this week. The Hokies are the real deal this year, and QB Logan Thomas and company deserve to be ranked in the Top 10 in the land. This team has a passing attack that just doesn’t quit, and though V-Tech often ends up playing down to the level of its opponent, there is no looking down this week considering the fact that Clemson now has back to back wins against Top 25 teams. That being said, are the Tigers really that good? Beating Auburn might not look all that great by season’s end, and Florida State came into Death Valley without its starting quarterback and several other starters. The Tigers still have a long, long road ahead to make it to the ACC Championship Game, but we think that that road gets derailed this week with a brutal beat down at Lane Stadium.

Week 5 NCAA Football Pick: Virginia Tech -7

Lou Palumbo is the founder and part owner of the Sports Handicapping Community. He's been writing and posting free picks and sports handicapping strategies on the Cappersinfo forums and website for 15 years now. He enjoys handicapping just as much as he did from the very first day he built the original Cappersinfo website.

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