Cappers Info continues working towards the 2010 NFL betting season, and to prepare you for the action, we take a look at the five teams that you should be avoiding this year. Placing your season win total bets on the 'under' on these five squads!
Buffalo Bills under 5.5 (-135 @ Brobury Sports): For our money, the Bills are the worst team in football. The quarterbacking trio of Ryan Fitzpatrick, Trent Edwards, and Brian Brohm will inevitably all get plenty of time under center this year, but none of the three are really capable of being starting quarterbacks. The AFC East is a horror this year, and getting even one win in division would be a triumph. Yes, we love the addition of RB CJ Spiller as a playmaker, but there were several other positions of need for Buffalo, while Fred Jackson or Marshawn Lynch were both capable of running for 1,000+ yards. Missing WR Terrell Owens is going to hurt, especially considering the fact that there were really no great replacements. The pass rush on this team is going to lack as well without DE Aaron Schobel in the mix. The secondary was fantastic last year, and though it is still a strong unit, you can only guard wide receivers for so long. Head Coach Chan Gailey has never really succeeded at any level, and it is puzzling how he got this job. There's no way Buffalo is winning six games this season.
Denver Broncos under 7 (-130 @ Brobury Sports): We can see the Broncos finishing at 7-9 this season to push us, but to win eight games and finish .500 is going to be a tall task. The Broncos really don't have any marked improvements from last year's team, especially after picking up QB Tim Tebow in the first round of the NFL Draft. Demaryius Thomas is a good replacement for WR Brandon Marshall in the long run, but replacing that type of productivity is going to be nearly impossible for just one man. The Broncos do have four games combined against the Kansas City Chiefs and Oakland Raiders, but that doesn't mean that those are four given wins. Aside from that, this is a second place schedule. With HC Josh McDaniels on the hot seat already in his second year, he is going to feel a lot of pressure if things start to go downhill. Winning in Jacksonville in Week 1 will be paramount, because a four game stretch shortly thereafter of games against the Colts, Titans, Ravens, and Jets probably won't yield a single win. Going .500 just isn't going to happen with this schedule, especially considering we haven't discussed two games with the San Diego Chargers yet.
Jacksonville Jaguars under 7 (-140 @ Brobury Sports): The Jaguars have a number of problems this year. The first is that HC Jack Del Rio is probably on the hottest seat in the sport. The second is that the city is on the hot seat as well. Trying to get sellouts together for a team that isn't winning in a lousy market is nearly impossible, and with the bright lights of Los Angeles potentially calling, the Jags are going to have a lot of distractions. The first home game of the year will be anything but, as there will be more No. 15 Tim Tebow jerseys floating around than Jacksonville jerseys at Jacksonville Municipal Stadium. Without WR Torry Holt, QB David Garrard really doesn't have many options to throw the pigskin to. For a man that has never thrown more than 18 TD passes, this doesn't look like the year that Garrard emerges as a truly elite quarterback in the NFL. The defense is undergoing a transformation as well, particularly in the front seven. Adding Kirk Morrison seems like a good idea after he led the Raiders in tackles last year, but when you get kicked out of Oakland and replaced by a rookie, how good could you possibly be? Picking up DL Tyson Alualu so early in the NFL Draft was questionable at best, and poor drafts of late are probably going to cost this team. Now look at the NFC South schedule! A 2-4 record might be the best case scenario for the Jags. They aren't winning six games out of division play this year.
New York Jets under 9.5 (+110 @ Brobury Sports): There is no doubt that the Jets have a better team this year than they did last year when they went to the AFC Championship Game. However, let's remember that this team only went 9-7 last season. Now remember that this isn't a third place schedule any longer. The Miami Dolphins won't have the same type of problems they did last year in all likelihood. If QB Mark Sanchez can't get it together this year, there are going to be a lot of problems in the Big Apple. The defense isn't going to be sneaking up on anyone this year, as the game plan for HC Rex Ryan is fairly clear. There is also a big question about whether or not RB Shonn Greene and RB LaDainian Tomlinson can really put up the same type of numbers that RBs Thomas Jones and Leon Washington have in recent seasons. The only games this year that aren't going to be a huge challenge are @ Buffalo on October 3rd, @ Detroit on November 7th, @ Cleveland on November 14th, and home against Buffalo on January 2nd. Notice that three of those four games are on the road… The Jets are improved, but the schedule is brutal. Getting to ten wins is going to be a difficult task and won't happen half the time for this team.
Philadelphia Eagles under 8.5 (-120 @ Brobury Sports): By the end of the season, the Eagles will get a swift kick in the butt from the ghost of Donovan McNabb. Getting rid of No. 5 was a huge mistake, and it will show immediately. We aren't doubting that Kevin Kolb has the ability to be a starting quarterback in the NFL, but we aren't so sure that that transformation can really take place this year. The Eagles could have problems in the rushing game without RB Brian Westbrook, as LeSean McCoy probably isn't in the same sort of class as the rest of the backs in the NFC East. Defensively, the squad took a huge blow with the loss of SS Marlin Jackson in the preseason to a ruptured Achilles tendon. Just like the Jets, the Eagles might have a different perception if the schedule was a bit easier. Six games against the NFC East and four against the AFC South are going to be a terror, while the NFC North isn't a walk in the park either. Could Philly finish .500? Sure. Is it likely that it will get above that crucial point and finish in the playoff picture? Probably not.