2013 Week 5 Free Monday NFL Football Picks for Monday, 10/7

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New York Jets at Atlanta Falcons
Date and Time: Monday 10/7/13 at 8:25pm on ESPN
Game Line: Atlanta Falcons -9 (from 5Dimes)
Over/Under: 44
Preview: The Atlanta Falcons got quite a few breaks in the 2012 season that they are not getting this year.  They are not nearly as effective offensively without RB Stephen Jackson who will miss his third straight game.  Jason Snelling and Jacquizz Rodgers have not had any success behind a very mediocre offensive line.  Atlanta has also been one of the worst redzone teams in the league thus far, ranking 29th at 38.9% and costing them two games already this season.  Their defense hasn’t been very good either, giving up 26 points per game with only seven sacks and a 22nd ranked unit overall.  They should have a good matchup on Monday against Geno Smith who been the most turnover prone quarterback in the league so far.  Combine that with the loss of WR Santonio Holmes and Smith will have to rely on veteran tight end Kellen Winslow and young WR Stephen Hill, who is coming off a concussion.  The lone bright spot on the Jets offense has been RB Bilal Powell who has taken over the starting role and averages 4.5 yards per carry and will give some carries to RB Mike Goodson who is returning to the Jets after serving a 4 game suspension for substance abuse.  New York is also the most penalized team in the league by a long shot, a stat which shouldn’t improve in the hostile Georgia Dome during a prime time game but is something coach Rex Ryan says his team is working on every week.   We hesitate to pick a team with so many deficiencies as the Jets right now, but they do have the better running game and the better running defense and they’re getting more than a touchdown here.   Atlanta should win here, but we are expecting a tight low scoring game with Atlanta pulling away late and feel much more comfortable taking the points and the under.

Jets at Falcons Free NFL Pick: Jets +9 and under 44
Jets at Falcons Game Prediction: 21-16 Falcons
What to expect in this week 5 NFL matchup:
The Jets will struggle to get anything going offensively, Geno Smith will have his typical high turnovers and Bilal Powell will play right into the only strength of the Falcons defense.  Many of their drives will stall and they will kick field goals until they can’t anymore.  The Falcons will have a non-existent run game and WR Roddy White will still be playing hurt, we don’t think they will have a much easier time moving the ball but WR Julio Jones and TE Tony Gonzalez equal two more playmakers than the Jets offense has and that will make the difference in the fourth quarter.

Davis Wagner has been a long time contributer at the Cappersinfo.com Handicapping community and is a major assett to our establishment. He is solid handicapper and has a keen understanding value sports betting. Davis has been avidly posting on the Cappersinfo forums for almost a decade and is one of the most tenured members of this community. Davis is a major contributor and it's safe to say this sit wouldn't be where it is today without him.

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