Beating The NFL Odds: 2011-12 Week 17 Sunday NFL Picks 1/1/12

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NFL betting action is here again! Here at Cappers Info, we’re making our running tally of NFL picks this year, continuing with action on Sunday, January 1st!

Year To Date Record: 56-59 ATS
Upset Record: 16-29, -$820

Week 17 NFL Matchup: Washington Redskins @ Philadelphia Eagles
Date: Sunday, January 1st, 1:00 ET
Location: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA
NFL Lines: Philadelphia -9
Over/Under 45.5
Week 17 NFL TV Schedule: FOX

Sorry, Philly. We’re just not all that convinced. The teams that have played against the Eagles of late, for the most part, have either had nothing to play for, or just haven’t been all that great. We know that the Redskins fall into this boat as well, but we may as well finish up this season the same way that it started. Everyone was convinced that the “Dream Team” would blow away teams like the Giants, the 49ers, and the Bills, only to get shocked with an outright upset by the road team here in the City of Brotherly Love. We’re still not convinced that the fans are going to really be on the side of the team this week with such bad sentiment going around in Philly over Head Coach Andy Reid, and that being said, we are going to take the nine points. Either RB Evan Royster or RB Roy Helu has had at least 100 rushing yards in four of the ‘Skins last five games. That’d be a great start towards a cover if it happened again on Sunday.

Week 17 NFL Pick: Washington +9

Week 17 NFL Matchup: San Francisco 49ers vs. St. Louis Rams
Date: Sunday, January 1st, 1:00 ET
Location: Edward Jones Dome, St. Louis, MO
NFL Lines: San Francisco -10.5
Over/Under 35
Week 17 NFL TV Schedule: FOX

Nothing is easy this time of year no matter who you are. The Rams stink. They’re the worst team in football. And yet, this is still their last game of the season and their swan song, and they are going to be at home with a crowd on their side that really wants to see their team beat one of the best teams in the league. The Niners really have the deck stacked against them, as they are expected to win this game and win it going away, and the end result might be a game in which they keep it really close to the vest and just barely find a way out of town. Even without QB Sam Bradford, we think that St. Louis can keep this game a lot closer than this point spread suggests. Ignore the fact that the 49ers are one of the best ATS teams ever and that the Rams are one of the worst ATS teams ever. Roles reverse on Sunday.

Week 17 NFL Pick: St. Louis +10.5

Week 17 NFL Matchup: Chicago Bears @ Minnesota Vikings
Date: Sunday, January 1st, 1:00 ET
Location: HHH Metrodome, Minneapolis, MN
NFL Lines: Minnesota -1
Over/Under 41
Week 17 NFL TV Schedule: FOX

The Bears have absolutely packed it in, while the Vikings are still trying hard to win games. Again, it’s the swan song for the Vikes, and they are going to want to send out the Metrodome with a win, something that it has only done a handful of times over the course of the last two years. We just can’t picture Chicago having any desire to come on the road and win this game with all of the injuries and bad press that have surrounded this team for weeks. Minnesota is clearly in the better state at the moment, and it will show on Sunday.

Week 17 NFL Pick: Minnesota -1

Week 17 NFL Matchup: Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars
Date: Sunday, January 1st, 1:00 ET
Location: Ever Bank Field, Jacksonville, FL
NFL Lines: Jacksonville -3.5
Over/Under 37
Week 17 NFL TV Schedule: CBS

The Colts have gotten their two cute, little wins over the course of the last two weeks, but that doesn’t mean that they are going to want to lose out on QB Andrew Luck! It would legitimately be a travesty for this franchise to win this game, and the Jags should be the beneficiaries. It is the last time that Wayne Weaver will own the team, and it will probably be the last that any of us have ever heard of Jacksonville interim coach Mel Tucker. RB Maurice Jones-Drew is going to be going for the rushing title this week, and we think that he will get the job done and eclipsed the 1,500 yard mark for the year in doing so. The Jags will shine on Sunday and at least go into the offseason with new ownership a little something to built upon.

Week 17 NFL Pick: Jacksonville -3.5

Week 17 NFL Matchup: Buffalo Bills @ New England Patriots
Date: Sunday, January 1st, 1:00 ET
Location: Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, MA
NFL Lines: New England -10.5
Over/Under 50
Week 17 NFL TV Schedule: CBS

Don’t believe us that things aren’t easy this time of year? Just look at what the Dolphins nearly did to the Patriots last week! New England needs this game and needs it badly, or it runs the risk of having to play a road game in the playoffs. It has a lot of motivation to get the job done against a Buffalo team that beat it up in Orchard Park early this season, and QB Tom Brady has all of the motivation in the world to have a huge game. The Bills picked him off four times, and he is 190 yards short of QB Drew Brees for the most passing yards in a single season in the history of the NFL. However, the Bills finally got going again last week against the Broncos, and though that might have been their game in which they really got the job done for that offseason momentum, we do think that they are going to at least make things remotely interesting on the Pats on Sunday.

Week 17 NFL Pick: Buffalo +10.5

Lou Palumbo is the founder and part owner of the Sports Handicapping Community. He's been writing and posting free picks and sports handicapping strategies on the Cappersinfo forums and website for 15 years now. He enjoys handicapping just as much as he did from the very first day he built the original Cappersinfo website.

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