Beating The NFL Odds: 2011 Week 10 Sunday NFL Picks 11/13/11

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NFL betting action is here again! Here at Cappers Info, we’re making our running tally of NFL picks this year, continuing with action on Sunday, November 13th!

Year To Date Record: 29-29 ATS
Upset Record: 10-16, -$520

Week 10 NFL Matchup: Buffalo Bills @ Dallas Cowboys
Date: Sunday, November 13th, 1:00 ET
Location: Dallas Cowboys Stadium, Arlington, TX
NFL Lines: Dallas -6
Over/Under 47.5
Week 10 NFL TV Schedule: CBS

The Bills really haven’t been able to stop many teams this year, but this Dallas offense really concerns us right now. At times without WR Miles Austin, the unit more or less went into a shell and wasn’t really able to do much. There were no touchdowns against Washington, no scores in the second half against Detroit, and nothing to really write home about last week at home against a lowly Seattle team. That being said, New York’s defense, headed up by Rex Ryan was able to hold Buffalo down to just 11 points last week. Think that brother, Rob was taking some notes? In the end, the Cowboys always have the ability to score in the 30s, but we just don’t see it happening. A final score in the mid- to high-30s seems appropriate in this one.

Week 10 NFL Pick: Buffalo/Dallas Under 47.5

Week 10 NFL Matchup: Houston Texans @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Date: Sunday, November 13th, 1:00 ET
Location: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa Bay, FL
NFL Lines: Houston -3.5
Over/Under 45.5
Week 10 NFL TV Schedule: CBS

The Texans have played some fantastic football of late, but we’re just not all that sure if it is going to stand up when push comes to shove. They really haven’t played much of a schedule, and now they have to come on the road to face a Tampa Bay team that we have some hopes for still this season. This is a very, very important clash for the Buccaneers, as there is a huge difference between 4-5 and 5-4 this late in the season. QB Josh Freeman has a knack for keeping games awfully close, and we think that this one is going to be decided by a field goal one way or the other. Nothing would surprise us, but we know that we want the points on our side.

Week 10 NFL Pick: Tampa Bay +3.5

Week 10 NFL Matchup: Arizona Cardinals @ Philadelphia Eagles
Date: Sunday, November 13th, 1:00 ET
Location: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA
NFL Lines: Philadelphia -14
Over/Under 46.5
Week 10 NFL TV Schedule: FOX

There is a big, big difference between the Eagles facing this Arizona team and the Eagles losing other home games of seemingly similar stature against teams like the Giants, Niners, and Bears. All three of those teams would be in the playoffs if the season started today. There’s no way in heck that the Cards are going to get there. Arizona had a nice road game at Baltimore a few weeks back, but that was aided by a special teams touchdown and two other fluky scores. Assuming that Philly isn’t going to be giving those scores up, we just don’t see where the scoring is coming from. When QB John Skelton has to put the ball in the air, it could be all over but the crying against this secondary. Arizona has a hard time getting out of its own way defensively as well, which could create a matchup nightmare for this defense. We finally think that this is the game in which the Eagles soar by four or five scores like they’re supposed to.

Week 10 NFL Pick: Philadelphia -14

Week 10 NFL Matchup: New York Giants @ San Francisco 49ers
Date: Sunday, November 13th, 4:15 ET
Location: Candlestick Park, San Francisco ,CA
NFL Lines: San Francisco -3.5
Over/Under 42.5
Week 10 NFL TV Schedule: FOX

Has our philosophy on the Giants really changed that much because of just one game? Sure, that win on the road in Foxboro was as big of a win as the franchise has had since winning the Super Bowl, and the opportunity is definitely there to be able to go on and seize control of the NFC East once and for all. That being said, off of such an emotional win, this is a ridiculously difficult road trip against a team that, if not for choking away a late lead against Dallas way back in Week 2, we would also be talking about as a potential 16-0 team this year. The Niners are absolutely legit. We’re still not totally all that sure that the Giants are. The G-Men will get smacked back into their place on Sunday, but they should still be thrilled that they were able to survive these two game with a split.

Week 10 NFL Pick: San Francisco -3.5

Lou Palumbo is the founder and part owner of the Cappersinfo.com Sports Handicapping Community. He's been writing and posting free picks and sports handicapping strategies on the Cappersinfo forums and website for 15 years now. He enjoys handicapping just as much as he did from the very first day he built the original Cappersinfo website.

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