Beating The NFL Odds: 2011 Week 11 Sunday NFL Picks 11/20/11

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NFL betting action is here again! Here at Cappers Info, we’re making our running tally of NFL picks this year, continuing with action on Sunday, November 20th!

Year To Date Record: 30-35 ATS
Upset Record: 10-18, -$720

Week 11 NFL Matchup: Buffalo Bills @ Miami Dolphins
Date: Sunday, November 20th, 1:00 ET
Location: Sun Life Stadium, Miami, FL
NFL Lines: Miami -2.5
Over/Under 43
Week 11 NFL TV Schedule: CBS

It really feels like the wheels have fallen off of the Buffalo bandwagon after back to back brutal losses against the Cowboys and the Jets. Now they have to come on the road again to Miami, where they traditionally really don’t play that well. The Dolphins are “hot,” having won two in a row, and a win in this game may actually bring Head Coach Tony Sparano back into the potential mix for a head coaching job somewhere next year (because we know that it won’t be in Miami with the new stadium opening up). We just like the mojo that is surrounding the Dolphins, as they have played some good games of late, and we think that they are justifiably short favorites in this game.

Week 11 NFL Pick: Miami -2.5

Week 11 NFL Matchup: Jacksonville Jaguars @ Cleveland Browns
Date: Sunday, November 20th, 1:00 ET
Location: Cleveland Browns Stadium, Cleveland, OH
NFL Lines: Cleveland -1
Over/Under 34.5
Week 11 NFL TV Schedule: CBS

McCoy! Gabbert! It’s the NFL on CBS! Alright, we’ve heard better introductions for women’s volleyball games than that, but it’s true. These two offenses, for lack of better terms, suck. The weather is going to be nasty in Cleveland as well, and if the Colts and Jaguars could only combine for 24 points in a dome, it’s a wonder how on earth the Jags and Browns could get to 35. It’s the lowest ‘total’ of the season, but it’s not nearly low enough. We’d actually put this game in the high 20s.

Week 11 NFL Pick: Cleveland/Jacksonville Under 34.5

Week 11 NFL Matchup: Carolina Panthers @ Detroit Lions
Date: Sunday, November 20th, 1:00 ET
Location: Ford Field, Detroit, MI
NFL Lines: Detroit -7
Over/Under 47.5
Week 11 NFL TV Schedule: FOX

It’s high time that the Lions wake up and put together a strong performance going into Thanksgiving. Sure, it’s clear that the Panthers are more talented than your average 2-7 team, but QB Cam Newton can’t do it all. The mean streak of this Lions defense should make the difference in this one. QB Matt Stafford will get back on track and get back in the end zone without throwing a plethora of picks, and we are convinced that this is the game in which WR Calvin Johnson breaks out again. The Panthers were blown to bits on their home turf last week by a worse Tennessee team, and the timing is right for a bounce back for Detroit. It’s time for a double digit victory once again for the hosts on the eve of the biggest game that the franchise has had in decades against the Pack next week.

Week 11 NFL Pick: Detroit -7

Week 11 NFL Matchup: Dallas Cowboys @ Washington Redskins
Date: Sunday, November 20th, 1:00 ET
Location: FedEx Field, Landover, MD
NFL Lines: Dallas -7.5
Over/Under 42
Week 11 NFL TV Schedule: FOX

It really doesn’t make a heck of a lot of sense to us as to why we think that the Redskins will compete with the Cowboys on Sunday, but this is another one of those rivalry games that just doesn’t make a ton of sense. These two teams played to a defensive struggle of an 18-16 game when they met up in Dallas earlier in the year, and we don’t think that all that much has really changed with either team. WR Miles Austin is out once again, just with a problem with the other hamstring this time, and the Redskins are back in the command of QB Rex Grossman, as they should be. No, we don’t think that Washington is pulling off the upset, but laying more than a TD on the road usually isn’t good in the NFL.

Week 11 NFL Pick: Washington +7.5

Week 11 NFL Matchup: Arizona Cardinals @ San Francisco 49ers
Date: Sunday, November 20th, 4:05 ET
Location: Candlestick Park, San Francisco, CA
NFL Lines: San Francisco -9.5
Over/Under 41
Week 11 NFL TV Schedule: FOX

Okay, we’re not exactly in, “Fade ‘Em until they fail to cover a game” mode, but we do think that the 49ers are due for a game in which they just don’t come out and play all that well. Sure, they’ve got the talent and the right mindset to get through that and to post the victory, but this is still a divisional game against an Arizona team that has played two just flat out awesome road games this year. QB John Skelton, believe it or not, looks better than QB Kevin Kolb does running this offense, as he has been smart enough to get the ball in the hands of WR Larry Fitzgerald, arguably one of the most talented receivers in football. The 49ers had better be careful, or they could reasonably get picked off in this game.

Week 11 NFL Pick: Arizona +9.5

Lou Palumbo is the founder and part owner of the Cappersinfo.com Sports Handicapping Community. He's been writing and posting free picks and sports handicapping strategies on the Cappersinfo forums and website for 15 years now. He enjoys handicapping just as much as he did from the very first day he built the original Cappersinfo website.

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