Beating The NFL Odds: 2011 Week 12 Sunday NFL Picks 11/27/11

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NFL betting action is here again! Here at Cappers Info, we’re making our running tally of NFL picks this year, continuing with action on Sunday, November 27th!

Year To Date Record: 34-41 ATS
Upset Record: 10-20, -$920

Week 12 NFL Matchup: Buffalo Bills @ New York Jets
Date: Sunday, November 27th, 1:00 ET
Location: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
NFL Lines: New York -9
Over/Under 42
Week 12 NFL TV Schedule: CBS

We’re going to take this opportunity to pick on the Bills once again. They have been sliding badly over the course of the last few weeks, and they clearly aren’t the same team that beat the Patriots and the Raiders at home. Now, they have to go on the road against a New York team that really has played remarkable ball in its own backyard. RB Fred Jackson is out for the year, and that’s terrible news for an offense that has struggled this year when it hasn’t had the running game to really rely upon. It’s all bad news for Buffalo, and in this battle of 5-5 teams, we fully expect to see the Jets excel by a comfortable double digit margin.

Week 12 NFL Pick: New York -9

Week 12 NFL Matchup: Minnesota Vikings @ Atlanta Falcons
Date: Sunday, November 27th, 1:00 ET
Location: Georgia Dome, Atlanta, GA
NFL Lines: Atlanta -9.5
Over/Under 44.5
Week 12 NFL TV Schedule: FOX

The Vikings have now had six straight games with at least 44 points in total on the board, and now, they really might be in a position where they have to throw the ball more with RB Adrian Peterson out of the lineup. That’s a good thing for points against an Atlanta secondary that typically struggles. The Falcons have played six straight ‘under’ contests, but it’s not like their offense has struggled. In all their last five, they have scored at least 23 points. It’ll probably take a tad more than that on Sunday, but if Atlanta does get into the high 20s, we think that this game is getting past the ‘total’ and into the 50s.

Week 12 NFL Pick: Minnesota/Atlanta Over 44.5

Week 12 NFL Matchup: Washington Redskins @ Seattle Seahawks
Date: Sunday, November 27th, 4:05 ET
Location: CenturyLink Field, Seattle, WA
NFL Lines: Seattle -3.5
Over/Under 37.5
Week 12 NFL TV Schedule: FOX

The Redskins have simply fallen apart, and though they looked better last week in an overtime loss against the Cowboys, we just don’t think that they have the horses to come on the road to arguably the toughest venue in America and log a victory. Seattle has to believe in itself, and if its defense can keep QB Rex Grossman under wraps it will be able to win this game by a relatively comfortable margin. RB Marshawn Lynch has had some great games of late, and the Washington defense just isn’t good enough to stop him if he gets into his beast mode again.

Week 12 NFL Pick: Seattle -3.5

Week 12 NFL Matchup: New England Patriots @ Philadelphia Eagles
Date: Sunday, November 27th, 4:15 ET
Location: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA
NFL Lines: New England -3.5
Over/Under 50
Week 12 NFL TV Schedule: CBS

Beware the hype… Every single time that the Eagles win a game like they did last week on the road against the Cowboys, everyone tends to think that this is what really will get this team going. Instead, we have to look at this quite objectively. The Patriots could have some problems throwing the ball against one of the best secondaries in the game, but Head Coach Bill Belichick knows how to design schemes that will take advantage of his tight ends in the middle of the field, where Philly is weak. On top of that, it is still unknown whether QB Michael Vick is going to be in the lineup or not. There’s a reason that this team is 1-4 at home and just 4-6 overall, and especially without its quarterback, we just can’t back Philadelphia. Expect to see this game be a romp.

Week 12 NFL Pick: New England -3.5

Week 12 NFL Matchup: Denver Broncos @ San Diego Chargers
Date: Sunday, November 27th, 4:15 ET
Location: Qualcomm Stadium, San Diego, CA
NFL Lines: San Diego -6
Over/Under 42.5
Week 12 NFL TV Schedule: CBS

Alright, we’re not going to be dumb enough to go against QB Tim Tebow again, because we know that, no matter how badly he plays over the course of a game, he always seems to keep his team in it. The one thing that we haven’t seen from him yet though, is the ability to play from way behind. We’ve also become smart enough to not play on the Chargers, a team that we are convinced really is just nothing more than about average, if that. San Diego’s offense has the ability to put some points on the board, and in a big time way, and though the unit seems to score points, it doesn’t do it when it has to. That being said, we think that there are going to be a share of points in this game, as we think San Diego will jump out early, causing Tebow to put the ball in the air… We’re not so sure who’s scoring when that happens, but we know that someone is going to take advantage.

Week 12 NFL Pick: Denver/San Diego Over 42.5

Lou Palumbo is the founder and part owner of the Sports Handicapping Community. He's been writing and posting free picks and sports handicapping strategies on the Cappersinfo forums and website for 15 years now. He enjoys handicapping just as much as he did from the very first day he built the original Cappersinfo website.

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