Beating The NFL Odds: 2011 Week 14 Sunday NFL Picks 12/11/11

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NFL betting action is here again! Here at Cappers Info, we’re making our running tally of NFL picks this year, continuing with action on Sunday, December 11th!

Year To Date Record: 45-47 ATS
Upset Record: 11-25, -$1,155

Week 14 NFL Matchup: Indianapolis Colts @ Baltimore Ravens
Date: Sunday, December 11th, 1:00 ET
Location: M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD
NFL Lines: Baltimore -16.5
Over/Under 41
Week 14 NFL TV Schedule: CBS

A lot of folks are going to be on the bandwagon of the Colts this week, as they were able to not just beat the 20.5 point spread against the Patriots, but they darn near found a way to win the game outright with a ridiculous charge in the fourth quarter. That being said, we have to remember that that was a four TD game before the final stanza when the Pats clearly packed it in, and we know that Baltimore never stops bringing the boom. Last week, RB Ray Rice rushed for over 200 yards, and RB Ricky Williams came right behind him and had another 70+ and a score. And now, Baltimore comes home to play against a team that plays even worse defense! We’ve hit the bonanza in this one. The Ravens should be laying more than the Patriots were. We’ve got ourselves a steal to say the least.

Week 14 NFL Pick: Baltimore -16.5

Week 14 NFL Matchup: Kansas City Chiefs @ New York Jets
Date: Sunday, December 11th, 1:00 ET
Location: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
NFL Lines: New York -10.5
Over/Under 36.5
Week 14 NFL TV Schedule: CBS

Over the course of the last three weeks with QB Tyler Palko calling the shots, the Chiefs have five field goals and a touchdown on a Hail Mary pass at the end of the first half to the smallest guy on the field. The Jets aren’t great, but they are definitely good enough to beat a team with that sort of offense. If QB Mark Sanchez doesn’t give up points, the New York defense should be able to hold Kansas City to, one would figure less than 17 for sure, and probably less than 13. At home this year, the Jets have been able to put points on the board, and we don’t think that that will be an exception on Sunday. One would like to think that the ‘under’ is going to cash, but we’d rather take our chances laying the points with the Jets at home just in case KC does find its way into the end zone more than once on accident.

Week 14 NFL Pick: New York -10.5

Week 14 NFL Matchup: New England Patriots @ Washington Redskins
Date: Sunday, December 11th, 1:00 ET
Location: FedEx Field, Landover, MD
NFL Lines: New England -7.5
Over/Under 48
Week 14 NFL TV Schedule: CBS

We absolutely hate laying points on the road in NFL betting action, but in this case, we think that New England is going to come out and lay the smack down on Washington. The Redskins haven’t really played all that many great games since the first few weeks of the year, and their secondary isn’t going to be able to hold up against QB Tom Brady and the gang. Last week, New England was all over the field in the first three quarters before basically giving up in the fourth and letting the Colts back in it. Head Coach Bill Belichick isn’t going to let his team give up this time around, especially knowing that the top seed in the AFC really could be lost if this game ends up going the wrong way. TE Rob Gronkowski gets his record setting touchdown for most scores by a tight end in a season, and Brady inches closer towards throwing for over 5,000 yards. This one is going to be all New England.

Week 14 NFL Pick: New England -7.5

Week 14 NFL Matchup: Buffalo Bills @ San Diego Chargers
Date: Sunday, December 11th, 4:15 ET
Location: Qualcomm Stadium, San Diego, CA
NFL Lines: San Diego -7
Over/Under 47.5
Week 14 NFL TV Schedule: CBS

Now wait just one darn moment before everyone gets on the San Diego bandwagon once again… This is the type of game that the Chargers lose and lose seemingly more often than they win. The Bolts have tricked us, with their huge romp of a bad Jacksonville team on Monday Night Football last week, that they are for real once again. This is a short week and a bad travel week at that for the Chargers, and though it is also a bad travel week for a Buffalo team that has to come across the country, at least the Bills had one more day to get accustomed to the travel plans. San Diego might win this one when push comes to shove, but we love the spunk that the Bills have shown for the most part over the last couple weeks even though they are basically down and out of the playoff race. Take the points in a game in which Buffalo very well could hit a backdoor and could pull off an upset as well.

Week 14 NFL Pick: Buffalo +7

Week 14 NFL Matchup: Oakland Raiders @ Green Bay Packers
Date: Sunday, December 11th, 4:15 ET
Location: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
NFL Lines: Green Bay -11.5
Over/Under 51.5
Week 14 NFL TV Schedule: CBS

It’s always rough to go against the Packers, but this week, we are going to take our chances with the Raiders. They played an absolutely atrocious game last week against the Dolphins, and though they have to come all the way East for a second straight week, they are probably going to be a lot more focused against a Green Bay that is clearly the best in the league. On the road this year, the Raiders have scored 23, 35, 25, 24, and 27 points before last week’s stinker in Miami. Meanwhile, the Packers have been cutting it close a little bit of late. They have failed to cover two of their last three, and they haven’t comfortably put away a team that is going to have an impact on the playoff chase in several weeks. We’ll take the ‘over’ as a bit of a buffer, as we do think that Oakland is going to score its points, but our better play is clearly on the silver and black to keep this one within 10 or so.

Week 14 NFL Pick: Oakland +11.5 and Oakland/Green Bay Over 51.5

Lou Palumbo is the founder and part owner of the Cappersinfo.com Sports Handicapping Community. He's been writing and posting free picks and sports handicapping strategies on the Cappersinfo forums and website for 15 years now. He enjoys handicapping just as much as he did from the very first day he built the original Cappersinfo website.

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