Beating The NFL Odds: 2011 Week 15 Sunday NFL Picks 12/18/11

Exclusive Sportsbook Bonus Offer From Sponsor
Click Here For A Huge 100% Signup Bonus @ SportBet
(Bonus Exclusive For Cappersinfo Visitors – Must Use Above Link)

NFL betting action is here again! Here at Cappers Info, we’re making our running tally of NFL picks this year, continuing with action on Sunday, December 18th!

Year To Date Record: 48-52 ATS
Upset Record: 12-27, -$1,330

Week 15 NFL Matchup: Washington Redskins @ New York Giants
Date: Sunday, December 18th, 1:00 ET
Location: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
NFL Lines: New York -6
Over/Under 46
Week 15 NFL TV Schedule: FOX

The Giants have played in quite a few very interesting games of late, including a ton of games with a ton of points. Washington’s defense has been nothing special, and its offense is looking more and more competent as the weeks go by now that the unit is relatively healthy. QB Eli Manning will get his yards once again, as he inches closer to the 5,000 yard mark on the year, but in the end, we do think that both of these teams are going to get their points. Don’t be shocked if both are in the mid-20s or even the low-30s when this one is said and done with. We like Washington for the upset, but we also like the ‘over’.

Week 15 NFL Pick: Washington/New York Over 46

Week 15 NFL Matchup: Green Bay Packers @ Kansas City Chiefs
Date: Sunday, December 18th, 1:00 ET
Location: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
NFL Lines: Green Bay -13.5
Over/Under 46
Week 15 NFL TV Schedule: FOX

We’re going to hedge our bets with this one. It’s really, really hard to see how the Green Bay offense is being kept out of at least the high-20s in this game, as there hasn’t been a team of late that has been able to even remotely slow down this unit. Kansas City’s offense has exactly one touchdown since QB Tyler Palko has taken over. We know that laying points on the road, especially two TDs of them is a recipe that is normally a disaster, but we trust the Pack. We just don’t have any feeling for the Chiefs, as we know that they aren’t going to score. If this one goes ‘over’ the ‘total’, we definitely think that the Packers are going to be scoring at least 35.

Week 15 NFL Pick: Green Bay -13.5 and Under 46

Week 15 NFL Matchup: Carolina Panthers @ Houston Texans
Date: Sunday, December 18th, 1:00 ET
Location: Reliant Stadium, Houston, TX
NFL Lines: Houston -6
Over/Under 45
Week 15 NFL TV Schedule: FOX

*Sniff, Sniff* You smell that? Smells like a bit of a trap to us… The oddsmakers are seemingly baiting you into taking Houston in this one, as the Texans are the toast of the town right now. They’re the top seed in the AFC playoffs at the moment, and they are going to have the easiest road to the top seed in the conference when push comes to shove even though none of the teams control their own destiny. Mobile quarterbacks have a history of really ruining this defense, and that could be the case again in this one. QB Cam Newton is going against a defense that really has proven that it is that good, but without DC Wade Phillips on the sidelines and in another week without WR Andre Johnson, we just don’t see it happening for Houston. Sure, the Texans might win this game on emotion, but we think that this is a bad letdown spot for the team after clinching the AFC South last week in dramatic fashion. In the end, it’s still QB TJ Yates, a fifth round pick against Newton, the first pick in the NFL Draft.

Week 15 NFL Pick: Carolina +6

Week 15 NFL Matchup: Detroit Lions @ Oakland Raiders
Date: Sunday, December 18th, 4:05 ET
Location: Coliseum, Oakland, CA
NFL Lines: Detroit -1
Over/Under 47.5
Week 15 NFL TV Schedule: FOX

We might be totally off base with this one, but we really want to give the Raiders a heck of a lot of slack. They ran into a Miami team on a roll two weeks ago and into the mighty Packers last week on the road. Now, they’re back at home, where, save for a dud game while the team was in transition over its quarterbacks, they have played quite well. Detroit was very, very lucky to survive last week at home against a bad Minnesota outfit, and now, it has to go on the road, across the country, against a team that really does have some potential. It just seems silly to us that Oakland is getting a point in this game, and we have every intention to take that point all the way to the bank.

Week 15 NFL Pick: Oakland +1

Week 15 NFL Matchup: New York Jets @ Philadelphia Eagles
Date: Sunday, December 18th, 4:15 ET
Location: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA
NFL Lines: Philadelphia -3
Over/Under 44
Week 15 NFL TV Schedule: CBS

This is another one of these games that smells kinda fishy. The Jets have played poorly on the road this year, but there aren’t many games that they have been totally out of. Philly has lost seemingly every time it has been favored at home, but this is a team that at least seems like it is renewed after going on the road with a healthy QB Michael Vick, crushing the Dolphins as short underdogs. The season might be on the line (but then again, it might already be over as well depending on what else happens over the course of the week) for the Eagles, while the Jets know that they are going to have to win this one to keep up with their playoff spot. We just don’t trust the oddsmakers, or New York on the road.

Week 15 NFL Pick: Philadelphia -3

Week 15 NFL Matchup: Cleveland Browns @ Arizona Cardinals
Date: Sunday, December 18th, 4:15 ET
Location: University of Phoenix Stadium, Glendale, AZ
NFL Lines: Arizona -6.5
Over/Under 37.5
Week 15 NFL TV Schedule: CBS

Should the Cardinals REALLY be laying 6.5 against anyone in the NFL at this point? We think that the whole world is going to jump on Arizona’s back in this one, knowing that it is going to need to win this game to A) get back to .500 and B) stay in the playoff picture. Cleveland’s season is over with, and it is going to be on the shoulders of QB Seneca Wallace to get the job done with QB Colt McCoy out. For as bad as this offense has been with McCoy, at least there are some fast legs that are involved with Wallace. Getting the ball in his hands often yields great results, so at least the Browns can perhaps stick inside of a touchdown defeat in this game.

Week 15 NFL Pick: Cleveland +6.5

Lou Palumbo is the founder and part owner of the Sports Handicapping Community. He's been writing and posting free picks and sports handicapping strategies on the Cappersinfo forums and website for 15 years now. He enjoys handicapping just as much as he did from the very first day he built the original Cappersinfo website.

We will be happy to hear your thoughts

      Leave a reply