Beating The NFL Odds: 2011 Week 16 Saturday NFL Picks 12/24/11

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NFL betting action is here again! Here at Cappers Info, we’re making our running tally of NFL picks this year, continuing with action on Saturday, December 24th!

Year To Date Record: 54-55 ATS
Upset Record: 15-28, -$770

Week 16 NFL Matchup: Denver Broncos @ Buffalo Bills
Date: Saturday, December 24th, 1:00 ET
Location: Ralph Wilson Stadium, Orchard Park, NY
NFL Lines: Denver -2.5
Over/Under 41.5
Week 16 NFL TV Schedule: CBS

The Broncos were beaten up badly by the Patriots last week, but we have learned not to count out QB Tim Tebow. The Bills have been terrible over the course of the last two months or so, and they can’t even figure out how to get out of their own way to win some games. There are a ton of NFL bettors out there that think that Buffalo is going to be able to pull off the upset, but we just don’t see anything that justifies that. For whatever reason, Tebow still doesn’t seem like he is liked by the NFL betting public, but we are going to take advantage of him. We tend to think that Denver locks up the AFC West on Saturday and puts some pressure on the Texans for the No. 3 seed in the AFC.

Week 16 NFL Pick: Denver -2.5

Week 16 NFL Matchup: Miami Dolphins @ New England Patriots
Date: Saturday, December 24th, 1:00 ET
Location: Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, MA
NFL Lines: New England -9.5
Over/Under 48.5
Week 16 NFL TV Schedule: CBS

The Patriots are expected to run away with this game and make a move towards being the No. 1 seed in the AFC. However, we just aren’t all that sure that that is going to be the case. This is the Super Bowl to the Dolphins, and they are playing as well as a lot of teams are in the conference. WR Brandon Marshall has dominated in this series over the last two years, and he is going to be a threat to upset the Patriots all by himself. New England is coming off of a great win in Denver, but we tend to think that it could be on the wrong side of a brutal upset. This isn’t the same Dolphins team that gave up over 500 passing yards to QB Tom Brady. Don’t say that we didn’t warn you…

Week 16 NFL Pick: Miami +9.5

Week 16 NFL Matchup: Cleveland Browns @ Baltimore Ravens
Date: Saturday, December 24th, 1:00 ET
Location: M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD
NFL Lines: Baltimore -12.5
Over/Under 38.5
Week 16 NFL TV Schedule: CBS

The Browns were absolutely atrocious the first time that these two teams met, as they let RB Ray Rice rumble for over 200 yards and a TD on the ground, and then let RB Willis McGahee come up near the 100 yard mark as well. That game was in the Dawg Pound and this one is in the big crab cake, which would make you think that this one is going to be a blowout, but we aren’t all that sure that that is the case. This is still a divisional game, and just like the New England game is the Super Bowl for the Dolphins, winning just one of these two games for Cleveland against the Ravens and Steelers would be the exact same thing. QB Seneca Wallace looked alright last week, and we tend to think that he is at least going to keep this game relatively close. Baltimore will finish out its perfect season at home, though.

Week 16 NFL Pick: Cleveland +12.5

Week 16 NFL Matchup: Philadelphia Eagles @ Dallas Cowboys
Date: Saturday, December 24th, 4:15 ET
Location: Dallas Cowboys Stadium, Arlington, TX
NFL Lines: Dallas -1
Over/Under 50.5
Week 16 NFL TV Schedule: FOX

Many think that the Eagles are just more or less destined to win the NFC East at this point, even if they are only going to finish up the year at 8-8. We just aren’t all that sold that Philly is going to get the job done. This schedule that the team has played of late has been a bit underwhelming to say the least, and this is a significantly different game. Dallas was absolutely whooped the first time that these two teams met in the City of Brotherly Love, and if nothing else, whether this game truly means anything to the Cowboys or not, they are going to want to get the job done in this one to ensure that Philly is going to finish up the year below .500. If the Eagles do, they really could end up losing Head Coach Andy Reid. This is far too short of a point spread.

Week 16 NFL Pick: Dallas -1

Lou Palumbo is the founder and part owner of the Cappersinfo.com Sports Handicapping Community. He's been writing and posting free picks and sports handicapping strategies on the Cappersinfo forums and website for 15 years now. He enjoys handicapping just as much as he did from the very first day he built the original Cappersinfo website.

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