Beating The NFL Odds: 2011 Week 8 Sunday NFL Picks 10/30/11

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NFL betting action is here again! Here at Cappers Info, we’re making our running tally of NFL picks this year, continuing with action on Sunday, October 30th!

Year To Date Record: 27-22 ATS
Upset Record: 7-12, -$520

Week 8 NFL Matchup: New Orleans Saints @ St. Louis Rams
Date: Sunday, October 30th, 1:00 ET
Location: Edward Jones Dome, St. Louis, MO
NFL Lines: New Orleans -13.5
Over/Under 47.5
Week 8 NFL TV Schedule: FOX

Simply put: The Saints aren’t winning every single game by 55 points. The Rams aren’t losing every single game by more than two touchdowns. St. Louis just has to cover a game at some point, and getting two TDs at home, even if it is a backup quarterback that is playing in QB AJ Feeley, is just too much. New Orleans is due for a big letdown spot after the blowout victory last week, and if it comes into this one too confident, it could suddenly find itself in a heck of a fight. We don’t normally encouraging the Martingale system (which means that you bet one unit on a team, and then if it loses, you bet two units, then four units, then eight units, etc.), because every game truly is independent of its previous games, but there has never been a team in the NFL have an 0-16 ATS season, and we don’t see it starting now either.

Week 8 NFL Pick: St. Louis +13.5

Week 8 NFL Matchup: Arizona Cardinals @ Baltimore Ravens
Date: Sunday, October 30th, 1:00 ET
Location: M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD
NFL Lines: Baltimore -12.5
Over/Under 43
Week 8 NFL TV Schedule: FOX

We’re getting very, very weary of all of these big time underdogs, as the time is going to come that some of them are going to creep up and not just cover, but win games outright .See: Baltimore last week. The Ravens really should have never even remotely struggled with the Jags, but they did and ended up losing. This Arizona team is a hot mess, though. QB Kevin Kolb looks terrible just standing in there in the pocket, and he is just asking to get killed by an irate Baltimore team that is eager to get back on the right track. Remember, all of the teams that have come to the giant crab cake this year have gotten slaughtered. As long as the Ravens aren’t looking ahead to next week’s duel in Pittsburgh, this one should be a cakewalk.

Week 8 NFL Pick: Baltimore -12.5

Week 8 NFL Matchup: New England Patriots @ Pittsburgh Steelers
Date: Sunday, October 30th, 4:15 ET
Location: Heinz Field, Pittsburgh, PA
NFL Lines: New England -2.5
Over/Under 52
Week 8 NFL TV Schedule: CBS

The 5-2 Steelers really should feel like that they should hang around in this game. They are playing significantly better ball right now than they were at the outset of the season when they were just 2-2, and they are a tremendous home team. However, QB Tom Brady and company have owned this series over the course of the last several years, and there’s no reason to think that that is going to stop now, especially off of a bye week last week. Remember that Pittsburgh’s five wins have all come against teams that aren’t making the playoffs in all likelihood. In the two that it played against legitimate postseason players, it was stomped. Without LB James Harrison, the mojo just isn’t there for the Steelers any longer. They’ll get beaten and beaten down by the Patriots on Sunday.

Week 8 NFL Pick: New England -2.5

Week 8 NFL Matchup: Cleveland Browns @ San Francisco 49ers
Date: Sunday, October 30th, 4:15 ET
Location: Candlestick Park, San Francisco, CA
NFL Lines: San Francisco -9
Over/Under 38.5
Week 8 NFL TV Schedule: CBS

The Niners are as good as advertised this year, but we are cautious about laying more than a touchdown with them on a regular basis. The Browns just have this knack about sticking around in games. They found a way to win last week in spite of the fact that they didn’t score a single touchdown, and they were able to fight back the last time that they were out here when they took on the Raiders at the Black Hole. QB Colt McCoy’s offense just has to improve at some point, or the whole West Coast scheme just needs to be dumped. San Francisco will move to 6-1, but this feels like a game that is still going to have a degree of doubt at the death.

Week 8 NFL Pick: Cleveland +9

Week 8 NFL Matchup: Cincinnati Bengals @ Seattle Seahawks
Date: Sunday, October 30th, 4:15 ET
Location: Qwest Field, Seattle, WA
NFL Lines: Cincinnati -1
Over/Under 37.5
Week 8 NFL TV Schedule: CBS

We’ve already made it clear that we think that the Bengals are losing this game, and we think that they are doing so in ugly fashion as well. Seattle’s offense this year has only had one outburst – the 36 points that it dropped on the Giants at MetLife Stadium. Aside from that, the games have been generally fairly ugly, and none were uglier than last week’s 6-3 loss at the Dawg Pound. This is going to be a tough spot, especially with wet weather in the forecast for QB Andy Dalton, as this is his first test on the road at a venue that is this big and this loud. Remember that neither starting running back is going to be in the fold, and neither set of receivers is capable of making tremendous plays over and over again. There might not be a game on the Week 8 slate that we are more sure of than this one.

Week 8 NFL Pick: Cincinnati/Seattle Under 37.5

Lou Palumbo is the founder and part owner of the Sports Handicapping Community. He's been writing and posting free picks and sports handicapping strategies on the Cappersinfo forums and website for 15 years now. He enjoys handicapping just as much as he did from the very first day he built the original Cappersinfo website.

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