Beating The NFL Odds: Week 1 Sunday NFL Picks

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NFL betting action is here again! Here at Cappers Info, we’re making our running tally of NFL picks this year, continuing with action on Sunday, September 11th!

Year To Date Record: 1-0 ATS

Upset Record: 0-0 +$0

Week 1 NFL Matchup: Pittsburgh Steelers @ Baltimore Ravens
Date: Sunday, September 11th, 1:00 ET
Location: M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD
NFL Lines: Baltimore -1
Over/Under 36
Week 1 NFL TV Schedule: CBS

The choice in this one is awfully simple. These two teams haven’t played a game separated by more than nine points in the past nine tries, and this one should be no exception. After all, the two squads are absolute mirror images of each other. Both play some of the best defense in the league, and both have capable offenses with dynamite running games and reasonable deep threats to boot. It’s not often that we try our hand at teasers, but this one is just too easy to pass up on even though it seems to be a bit contradictory. Just plan on a close game and make sure that you find a sportsbook that allows you to tease both sides of the same game together in one play.

Week 1 NFL Pick: Baltimore +6 w/ Pittsburgh +8

Week 1 NFL Matchup: Indianapolis Colts @ Houston Texans
Date: Sunday, September 11th, 1:00 ET
Location: Reliant Stadium, Houston, TX
NFL Lines: Houston -9
Over/Under 43.5
Week 1 NFL TV Schedule: CBS

Though the Texans have had a ton of hype this season, we don’t think that most realize just how good this team really is this year. Even had QB Peyton Manning been in the fold, we still would’ve laid five, six, and maybe even seven points with Houston. Adding DC Wade Phillips, DB Danieal Manning, and DB Johnathan Joseph, along with getting healthy on ‘D’ has really helped this unit out dramatically. Offensively, we know that the Texans are going to be dominating, something that we just don’t know is going to be the case with the Colts. The only reason the guests aren’t 14 point underdogs in this one is because of the names on the fronts of the jerseys. The names on the back are truly not even remotely worthy of the postseason this year.

Week 1 NFL Pick: Houston -9

Week 1 NFL Matchup: New York Giants @ Washington Redskins
Date: Sunday, September 11th, 4:15 ET
Location: FedEx Field, Landover, MD
NFL Lines: New York -3
Over/Under 38.5
Week 1 NFL TV Schedule: FOX

We’re already playing on the Redskins for one of our upsets this week, but we like the ‘over’ in this one just as much, if not more than the hosts. New York’s defense is shoddy as could be, and we tend to believe that WR Santana Moss is going to have a field day. QB Rex Grossman tends to have bright eyes for Moss, especially when he is going deep, and the Giants just don’t have the secondary to be able to keep up with him even if it is Grossman under center and not one of the elite signal callers in the league. The New York offense has the ability to score points in bunches, and QB Eli Manning probably would have been responsible for another 2-3 points per game last season had his receivers just hung onto the football. This one should easily get into the 40s.

Week 1 NFL Pick: New York/Washington Over 38.5

Week 1 NFL Matchup: Tennessee Titans @ Jacksonville Jaguars
Date: Sunday, September 11th, 1:00 ET
Location: Ever Bank Field, Jacksonville, FL
NFL Lines: Jacksonville-1
Over/Under 37.5
Week 1 NFL TV Schedule: CBS

Our final ‘total’ of the week takes us to the Sunshine State, where Jacksonville and Tennessee are probably going to be playing in a snoozer. There are two de facto backup quarterbacks that are going to be playing, as neither QB Matt Hasselbeck nor QB Luke McCown are truly amongst the best 35 quarterbacks in pro football today. That being said, we also know that RB Chris Johnson will be limited because of his lengthy holdout that took several weeks to resolve, and his backup RB Javon Ringer has been dinged up as well. These two teams only combined for 23 and 33 points in their two games last year, and we just don’t see how it is going to get any prettier than that this week.

Week 1 NFL Pick: Tennessee/Jacksonville Under 37.5

Lou Palumbo is the founder and part owner of the Cappersinfo.com Sports Handicapping Community. He's been writing and posting free picks and sports handicapping strategies on the Cappersinfo forums and website for 15 years now. He enjoys handicapping just as much as he did from the very first day he built the original Cappersinfo website.

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