Beating The NFL Odds: Week 3 Sunday NFL Picks

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NFL betting action is here again! Here at Cappers Info, we’re making our running tally of NFL picks this year, continuing with action on Sunday, September 25th!

Year To Date Record: 6-7 ATS

Upset Record: 2-5 -$250

Week 3 NFL Matchup: Miami Dolphins @ Cleveland Browns
Date: Sunday, September 25th, 1:00 ET
Location: Cleveland Browns Stadium, Cleveland, OH
NFL Lines: Cleveland -2.5
Over/Under 41
Week 3 NFL TV Schedule: CBS

Is it just us, or do the Dolphins still feel overrated? QB Chad Henne just isn’t all that great, and RB Reggie Bush is a total bust. That really leaves a suspect defense which has been lit up by back to back passing games and suspect running games, and an offense that is relying on rookie RB Daniel Thomas to tote the rock 20-25 times per game now. Sure, the Browns aren’t great, but at least they have some promise with QB Colt McCoy and this defense with men like DT Shaun Rogers and DB Joe Haden. We just don’t think after losing at home against the Bengals to start off the season, that Cleveland is going to be blowing a second straight home game against a team that could possibly end up with a Top 5 pick in the NFL Draft this coming season.

Week 3 NFL Pick: Cleveland -2.5

Week 3 NFL Matchup: Denver Broncos @ Tennessee Titans
Date: Sunday, September 25th, 1:00 ET
Location: LP Field, Nashville, TN
NFL Lines: Tennessee -7
Over/Under 42
Week 3 NFL TV Schedule: CBS

The Titans really have played particularly stellar offensive duels yet this season, but the numbers are there to think that they could be a dynamic team this season. Still, we just don’t believe in QB Matt Hasselbeck, knowing how many of those fantastic plays in the passing game have been courtesy of WR Kenny Britt running around like a chicken with his head cut off. That being said, we don’t really trust the Broncos’ offense all that much either with QB Kyle Orton at the helm, particularly in his first road game of the season. Expect to see a lot of running of the football, especially knowing that RB Chris Johnson really hasn’t gotten into the fold yet this year, and the end result should be a game that sticks in the 30s.

Week 3 NFL Pick: Denver/Tennessee Under 42

Week 3 NFL Matchup: Detroit Lions @ Minnesota Vikings
Date: Sunday, September 25th, 1:00 ET
Location: HHH Metrodome, Minneapolis, MN
NFL Lines: Detroit -3.5
Over/Under 44.5
Week 3 NFL TV Schedule: FOX

There’s just a point that the Lions have to put up a dud of a game, and there also has to be a point that the Vikings figure out how to finish an opponent off. The past two weeks, arguably against better competition, Minnesota had a chance to put away teams, but thanks to second half collapses, it wasn’t able to get the job done. Now, a Detroit team that everyone thinks is full of sound and fury is coming to town. Are the Lions the better team in this game? Absolutely. Will they win it? The possibility is there. However, does it really justify Detroit being a 3.5 point favorite on the road? We’re not quite willing to go that far yet.

Week 3 NFL Pick: Minnesota +3.5

Week 3 NFL Matchup: New York Jets @ Oakland Raiders
Date: Sunday, September 25th, 4:05 ET
Location: O.co Coliseum, Oakland, CA
NFL Lines: New York -3.5
Over/Under 41
Week 3 NFL TV Schedule: CBS

The Jets are set to fly away from home for the first time this year, and they’re going to do so all the way out in the Black Hole. QB Mark Sanchez has looked okay, but that’s against a Dallas defense that is trying to rebuild an identity and a Jacksonville defense that just flat out isn’t that good. Now, Oakland’s defense presents a different set of challenges, and though you wouldn’t have known it in the second half last week against Buffalo, this is a solid unit. With this being the home opener, look for the Raiders to come out energized. The possibility is there for the upset, but we feel a heck of a lot better just taking the points. Winning by more than a field goal in the Black Hole is a very, very difficult task, and we think that it is one that New York will fail at when push comes to shove.

Week 3 NFL Pick: Oakland +3.5

Week 3 NFL Matchup: Atlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Date: Sunday, September 25th, 4:15 ET
Location: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa Bay, FL
NFL Lines: Tampa Bay -2.5
Over/Under 45.5
Week 3 NFL TV Schedule: FOX

We think that the Bucs are evolving into a sneaky, sneaky team this year. Defensively, there have been some real moments of brilliance thus far on the season. The squad really shut down RB Adrian Peterson and the Vikings in the second half last week, and there were moments where a Detroit offense that looks like gangbusters just couldn’t really get anything going. That being said, offensively, QB Josh Freeman has moments where he looks like the good Brett Favre… and moments where he looks like the bad Brett Favre. However, what impressed us the most last week was that he drew his team back from down 17 points at halftime by sticking 24 points on the board on the road in the second half without getting a single reception from WR Mike Williams and only getting one completion to WR Arrelious Benn (though it happened to go for a touchdown). Atlanta’s defense has allowed 30+ points in back to back games to start the season, and that just doesn’t bode well on the road in this crucial divisional tilt.

Week 3 NFL Pick: Tampa Bay -2.5

Lou Palumbo is the founder and part owner of the Cappersinfo.com Sports Handicapping Community. He's been writing and posting free picks and sports handicapping strategies on the Cappersinfo forums and website for 15 years now. He enjoys handicapping just as much as he did from the very first day he built the original Cappersinfo website.

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