Beating The NFL Odds: Week 4 Sunday NFL Picks

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NFL betting action is here again! Here at Cappers Info, we’re making our running tally of NFL picks this year, continuing with action on Sunday, October 2nd!

Year To Date Record: 11-9 ATS

Upset Record: 2-8 -$550

Week 4 NFL Matchup: Detroit Lions @ Dallas Cowboys
Date: Sunday, October 2nd, 1:00 ET
Location: Dallas Cowboys Stadium, Arlington, TX
NFL Lines: Dallas -2.5
Over/Under 46
Week 4 NFL TV Schedule: FOX

This is the best game that we have seen all season long. The Cowboys are clearly the better team in this game in our opinion, and the oddsmakers aren’t seeing it that way. Sure, Dallas is favored, but it isn’t by enough points. Don’t let that two point win against Washington last week scare you. Knowing that all six of those field goals could have been touchdowns with just a few more pushes makes you wonder just how scary this Dallas offense has the potential to be. We trust QB Tony Romo, even knowing that WR Miles Austin is out and WR Dez Bryant might not play either. The question is whether or not the defense is going to be able to stand up to the mighty Lions or not. Stopping the Megatron, WR Calvin Johnson could prove to be impossible when push comes to shove, but there’s no way that he is going to score two TDs every single week, right?

Week 4 NFL Pick: Dallas -2.5

Week 4 NFL Matchup: Minnesota Vikings @ Kansas City Chiefs
Date: Sunday, October 2nd, 1:00 ET
Location: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
NFL Lines: Minnesota -2.5
Over/Under 39.5
Week 4 NFL TV Schedule: FOX

The Chiefs finally showed some ability to play defense last week in a 20-17 loss against San Diego on the road. Now back at home, the ‘D’ has no choice but to step it up just a bit with RB Jamaal Charles out of the fold. The Vikings just haven’t been good offensively for the whole season, and that being said, we think that we have no choice but to play the ‘under’. We expect to see plenty of RB Adrian Peterson running the rock, and this game should melt away in a hurry, especially if QB Matt Cassel really can’t get anything going offensively.

Week 4 NFL Pick: Minnesota/Kansas City Under 39.5

Week 4 NFL Matchup: Pittsburgh Steelers @ Houston Texans
Date: Sunday, October 2nd, 1:00 ET
Location: Reliant Stadium, Houston, TX
NFL Lines: Houston -4
Over/Under 45
Week 4 NFL TV Schedule: CBS

The Texans and Steelers both play significantly better defense than they have for the most part this year, and we see a lot of potential in both of these teams. The Steelers have no choice but to try to jam the ball right up the gut against the Houston 3-4, as that is where teams have had the best success. This becomes even more important if the rib injury to WR Mike Wallace is truly hampering him. This one will get close to this number, but in the end, we see some defensive stands making the difference between a game that gets past the number and one that doesn’t quite get there.

Week 4 NFL Pick: Pittsburgh/Houston Under 45

Week 4 NFL Matchup: New England Patriots @ Oakland Raiders
Date: Sunday, October 2nd, 4:15 ET
Location: Coliseum, Oakland, CA
NFL Lines: New England -4.5
Over/Under 55
Week 4 NFL TV Schedule: CBS

Let’s start off by saying that we are playing the ‘under’ any time that we can see a 55 hit the board. That’s a whopping eight TDs that need to be scored to beat us. Sure, QB Tom Brady has the ability to do that all by himself in most games, but we are impressed with the way that the Oakland defense played in last week’s home opening win against the Jets. However, we are thinking a play on the Raiders is almost so sharp that it’s square. This week, everyone has seemed to get on the Oakland bandwagon, but we aren’t quite there yet. Head Coach Bill Belichick doesn’t typically lose two straight games, and we don’t think that this is going to be that much of an exception. The Raiders will put up a fight, but it won’t be enough. Expect a 31-20 type of result.

Week 4 NFL Pick: New England -4.5 & New England/Oakland Under 55

Lou Palumbo is the founder and part owner of the Sports Handicapping Community. He's been writing and posting free picks and sports handicapping strategies on the Cappersinfo forums and website for 15 years now. He enjoys handicapping just as much as he did from the very first day he built the original Cappersinfo website.

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