Beating The NFL Odds: Week 5 Sunday NFL Picks

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NFL betting action is here again! Here at Cappers Info, we’re making our running tally of NFL picks this year, continuing with action on Sunday, October 9th!

Year To Date Record: 16-11 ATS

Upset Record: 3-9 -$815

Week 5 NFL Matchup: Oakland Raiders @ Houston Texans
Date: Sunday, October 9th, 1:00 ET
Location: Reliant Stadium, Houston,TX
NFL Lines: Houston -5.5
Over/Under 48.5
Week 5 NFL TV Schedule: CBS

The Texans are probably in a tad bit of trouble for the next couple of weeks without WR Andre Johnson on the field. Their offense came to a total halt last week against the Steelers once Johnson left the lineup, and it was only on the grace of a 55 yard TD run by RB Arian Foster that the team was even able to eke out a win. Now, Oakland is coming to town, as the Raiders are the hunters in this battle. This is uncharted territory for the Texans, as they aren’t used to be the hunted. We wouldn’t be surprised if QB Matt Schaub and the gang struggle quite a bit. We also tend to think that there will be a lot of running the football, which could keep the scoring in this game down to a dull roar. This ‘total’ is far too high, and that is way, way too many points for Houston to be laying against a comparable team. Expect a 21-17 type of game one way or the other.

Week 5 NFL Pick: Oakland +5.5 & Houston/Oakland Under 48.5

Week 5 NFL Matchup: New Orleans Saints @ Carolina Panthers
Date: Sunday, October 9th, 1:00 ET
Location: Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC
NFL Lines: New Orleans -6
Over/Under 51
Week 5 NFL TV Schedule: FOX

Literally the whole world is on the Saints this week, and we don’t like it. We don’t really know what Carolina has done that wrong this year. The Panthers are 3-1 ATS in spite of the fact that they are 1-3 SU, and that tells us A) that they never stop fighting in games, and B) that they truly are good enough to win some of these even though they aren’t quite getting it all figured out as of yet. The Saints more or less screwed around with the Jags last week on the road, and we don’t see how the effort put forth is really going to be that much better this week. Will New Orleans do enough to win this game? Probably. Will it be enough to win by more than a TD? We just don’t think so.

Week 5 NFL Pick: Carolina +6

Week 5 NFL Matchup: Seattle Seahawks @ New York Giants
Date: Sunday, October 9th, 1:00 ET
Location: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
NFL Lines: New York -9.5
Over/Under 43
Week 5 NFL TV Schedule: FOX

Last week, we took the points with the Seahawks, knowing that they were going to play a strong game at home against an Atlanta team that we just don’t think is all that good. However, now that Seattle has to fly across the country, this is a totally different story. The G-Men have quietly put together three really strong efforts since getting beaten by the Redskins on the road in Week 1. Their defense is steadily improving, and QB Eli Manning is looking more and more comfortable in the pocket even though he really only has two healthy receivers to throw to. The Seahawks are just downright dreadful right now. QB Tarvaris Jackson isn’t a legit starter in the NFL, and we tend to think that he is going to be picked off at least two or three times in this game. Seattle isn’t sticking within double digits if that’s the case.

Week 5 NFL Pick: New York -9.5

Week 5 NFL Matchup: Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ San Francisco 49ers
Date: Sunday, October 9th, 4:15 ET
Location: Candlestick Park, San Francisco, CA
NFL Lines: San Francisco -2.5
Over/Under 41.5
Week 5 NFL TV Schedule: FOX

Perhaps if this game were played in a different week, we’d feel differently about the whole thing. That being said though, we just don’t like the spot that the Bucs are in. They played on Monday Night Football in a long, hard fought game against the Colts, and now, they have go clear across the country to play against a San Francisco team that is as high as a kite right now after knocking off the Eagles on the road last week. It’s just a bad spot for the Bucs to be in. We wouldn’t be totally shocked to see Tampa Bay ultimately get the win, but we don’t see it happening more than 40 percent of the time.

Week 5 NFL Pick: San Francisco -2.5

Week 5 NFL Matchup: New York Jets @ New England Patriots
Date: Sunday, October 9th, 4:15 ET
Location: Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, MA
NFL Lines: New England -7.5
Over/Under 48.5
Week 5 NFL TV Schedule: CBS

The Patriots are clearly the better team in this game, and they are going to prove it with a romp on Sunday. The Jets, just like the Steelers, have a major, major problem across the offensive line. The good news is that Nick Mangold is going to be back in the fold in all likelihood. The bad news is that he’s still only 20 percent of that line. New York has this knack of winning here in Foxboro during the playoffs, but QB Tom Brady hasn’t put up number like these since New England went 16-0 in the regular season in 2008. He is clearly dialed in and is on a mission. The Jets are only going to be a footnote in all of that. Don’t be shocked if this number is covered by the end of the first quarter and is never threatened again.

Week 5 NFL Pick: New England -7.5

Lou Palumbo is the founder and part owner of the Sports Handicapping Community. He's been writing and posting free picks and sports handicapping strategies on the Cappersinfo forums and website for 15 years now. He enjoys handicapping just as much as he did from the very first day he built the original Cappersinfo website.

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