Beating The NFL Odds: Week 7 Sunday NFL Picks

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NFL betting action is here again! Here at Cappers Info, we’re making our running tally of NFL picks this year, continuing with action on Sunday, October 23rd!

Year To Date Record: 25-17 ATS
Upset Record: 5-11, -$750

Week 7 NFL Matchup: Washington Redskins @ Carolina Panthers
Date: Sunday, October 23rd, 1:00 ET
Location: Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC
NFL Lines: Carolina -2.5
Over/Under 43
Week 7 NFL TV Schedule: FOX

Did you ever think that you’d see the day where the Panthers would be favorites against a team with a winning record? It seems pretty obvious to us that the Redskins are a farce though, and if we had to guess, they’ll finish with a worse record than Carolina this year. There is a lot of buzz about these Panthers in 2011 with QB Cam Newton, and though that won’t translate into a ton of wins, this is a game which should go their way. QB John Beck just isn’t the answer in Washington, and we tend to think that he and the Redskins are in for a long, long decline for the rest of the year.

Week 7 NFL Pick: Carolina -2.5

Week 7 NFL Matchup: Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans
Date: Sunday, October 23rd, 1:00 ET
Location: LP Field, Nashville, TN
NFL Lines: Tennessee -3
Over/Under 44
Week 7 NFL TV Schedule: CBS

On virtually any other Sunday of the year, we probably would have backed the Texans in this game. Houston is just too banged up right now on both sides of the ball to back. There could be as many as eight starters from the opening day lineup that aren’t going to be in the fold this week, including the top two players on the team, WR Andre Johnson and LB Mario Williams. Tennessee is also off of its bye week, and we have to think that that was finally the time that RB Chris Johnson needed to get back into game shape once and for all after his lengthy holdout that marred the start of the season. CJ2K has had a big, big career against the Texans, and he has had a few games with over 200 total yards and multiple trips to the end zone. He’s only averaging 3.0 YPC this year and right at 50 yards per game on the ground, but that will all change for the better on Sunday. First place in the AFC South, for now anyway, belongs to Tennessee.

Week 7 NFL Pick: Tennessee -3

Week 7 NFL Matchup: Kansas City Chiefs @ Oakland Raiders
Date: Sunday, October 23rd, 1:00 ET
Location: Coliseum, Oakland, CA
NFL Lines: Oakland -3.5
Over/Under 41
Week 7 NFL TV Schedule: CBS

This seems like an overly obvious play to make in this game, but have you seen what these two offenses have looked like of late? Sure, the Chiefs are starting to find a bit of an identity with QB Matt Cassel remembering that WR Dwayne Bowe was one of the best receivers in the game last year and force feeding him the pigskin now. However, did you really watch QB Kyle Boller last weekend against the Browns? They’re the Browns, for crying out loud! Boller was atrocious against an atrocious defense, and this week, he isn’t going to be any more productive. Don’t really expect to see much out of these two teams, and when push comes to shove, we’re shocked to see this ‘total’ in the 40s in spite of the outbreak of points that has happened in the NFL this year.

Week 7 NFL Pick: Kansas City/Oakland Under 41

Week 7 NFL Matchup: Pittsburgh Steelers @ Arizona Cardinals
Date: Sunday, October 23rd, 4:05 ET
Location: University of Phoenix Stadium, Phoenix, AZ
NFL Lines: Pittsburgh -3.5
Over/Under 43.5
Week 7 NFL TV Schedule: CBS

Just how public can the Steelers be in this game? About as public as they were in the Super Bowl a few years ago when they were able to win the game, but didn’t beat the spread in this exact same fixture. It seems obvious that this year, with the Cards struggling, that the Steelers are clearly the better team. Ah, not so fast, my friends! QB Kevin Kolb had a full off week to get acclimated with his new offense; remember that he had a really short offseason and was traded just a short period of time before the preseason started. WR Larry Fitzgerald is going to have a relatively easy cover as well with the Pittsburgh secondary not exactly being the best in the league. On top of that, the Steelers just haven’t looked good in general. S Troy Polamalu looks old, as does a good chunk of the rest of this defense, and the offense, after putting up over 300 yards in the first half alone against Jacksonville, only scored 17 points last week. If it can’t do better than that in this one, look out! Especially if that weird, UFO shaped stadium, the Cardinals tend to play some mighty good football, even though they are only 1-4.

Week 7 NFL Pick: Arizona +3.5

Week 7 NFL Matchup: St. Louis Rams @ Dallas Cowboys
Date: Sunday, October 23rd, 4:15 ET
Location: Dallas Cowboys Stadium, Arlington, TX
NFL Lines: Dallas -13
Over/Under 43
Week 7 NFL TV Schedule: FOX

At some point, the Rams are going to cover a spread this season… Right? They’re 0-5 SU and ATS, but this is a decent chance this week to get back on track and at least notch a cover, though a win seems relatively out of the question. We’re sure that QB Sam Bradford doesn’t even want to see this stadium, as this is where he suffered one of his two shoulder injuries in college, and now, he would have to go against the Dallas defense with an ankle injury. Still, we think that the addition of WR Brandon Lloyd, even though he has only had a few practices under his belt, will help keep this offense moving. We were impressed with the Dallas defense last week at New England, but we’re just not all that sure that this team has the ability to win a game by two touchdowns more often than not. It feels like the backdoor is going to be wide, wide open in this game and that the Rams will find it.

Week 7 NFL Pick: St. Louis +13

Week 7 NFL Matchup: Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings
Date: Sunday, October 23rd, 4:15 ET
Location: HHH Metrodome, Minneapolis, MN
NFL Lines: Green Bay -9
Over/Under 46.5
Week 7 NFL TV Schedule: FOX

Last week’s game for the Pack against the Rams is more or less what we are expecting to see this week against the Vikings. Sure, Minnesota might scoring a touchdown just to get some confidence for its rookie starting quarterback making his first NFL start, but it won’t make that much of a difference. The Vikings have a defense that has some abilities and is certainly better than what we saw last week against the Bears in primetime. Green Bay doesn’t need to flex its muscles and win this game by 30 points either. QB Christian Ponder is probably going to look like a deer in headlights, which is going to cause for there to be plenty of running the football, likely on both sides. In the end, asking these two teams to get to 47 is a hefty, hefty task. Gun to our head, we’re probably take the Packers because they’re just so hot right now, but instead, we’ll bank on the Pack not getting past about 27 or so and keeping this game below the number.

Week 7 NFL Pick: Green Bay/Minnesota Under 46

Lou Palumbo is the founder and part owner of the Sports Handicapping Community. He's been writing and posting free picks and sports handicapping strategies on the Cappersinfo forums and website for 15 years now. He enjoys handicapping just as much as he did from the very first day he built the original Cappersinfo website.

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