Beat the Pointspreads: Colts @ Jaguars NFL Football Tips 11/8/12

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The 2012 NFL season is back, and here at Cappers Info, we’ll be looking at some of the best games on the docket each and every week, as we try to make the most money possible off of the NFL odds for the week. Join us on Thursday, as we make our Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars free picks and predictions for what should be a great clash on the gridiron.

Week 9 NFL Picks: Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars
Date: Thursday, November 8th, 8:20 ET
Location: EverBank Field, Jacksonville, FL
NFL Betting Odds: Indianapolis -3
Colts vs. Jaguars On TV: NFL Network

We’re struggling with a few items of business here with this Thursday Night Football game, and we know that it isn’t the best game on the NFL Week 10 schedule to bet. The first problem that we have is the obvious fact that Indianapolis is as square as could be. Over 70% of the betting public is riding QB Andrew Luck and company, and that’s bad news for anyone wanting the back the Colts, especially knowing that this line hasn’t moved. The other struggle is just how well the Jags played when these two teams met at Lucas Oil Stadium a month ago. That was their only win of the season. Jacksonville has played a heck of a lot better on the road this year (1-3 SU, 4-0 ATS) than at home (0-4 SU, 0-4 ATS, average margin of defeat, 23.0 PPG). We hate making the square plays, but in the end, we just can’t deny the fact that the Jags haven’t had a home game closer than 17 points this year, and they have been outgained in six of their last seven games by at least 104 yards.

Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars Pick: Indianapolis Colts -3
Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars Score Prediction: Indianapolis 27 – Jacksonville 14

Lou Palumbo is the founder and part owner of the Sports Handicapping Community. He's been writing and posting free picks and sports handicapping strategies on the Cappersinfo forums and website for 15 years now. He enjoys handicapping just as much as he did from the very first day he built the original Cappersinfo website.

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