Free NFL Picks: Odds to Win the 2011-12 NFL MVP Award

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We’re just past the halfway point in the 2011 NFL schedule, and here at Cappers Info, we are making our MVP picks for the top players in the league, complete with our MVP predictions and MVP race analysis.

Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Packers (1 to 4.50 MVP Odds at JustBet): We know that Rodgers is as square as could be, but unless he gets injured or all of a sudden, the Packers fall off the face of the earth, we just don’t see how this man is going to be stopped. Rodgers is on a pace to shatter the record for highest quarterback rating in a single season (the record is 112.7 by QB Steve Young… Rodgers is at 130.7 through nine games), and he is also going to at least flirt with QB Tom Brady’s record 50 TD passes from 2007. Rodgers has 28 through nine games, leaving him on a pace for 56 by season’s end. The threat to those records will be if the man from Cal sits out one or more of the last few games of the season. If he does, he won’t break the passing TD mark, and if one of the other big time quarterbacks such as QB Drew Brees or Brady does, they might be the ones that snuff the award out from under Rodgers. But for now, the pride of Green Bay is the man that you want to back at quarterback.

Matt Forte (12 to 1 Odds To Win the MVP at JustBet): Forte is probably the next best MVP candidate right now on the board to Rodgers, and you can get him at a tremendous price at 12 to 1. Yes, it takes a lot for a running back to win this award, but this is a man that has over 1,300 yards from scrimmage and 208 touches of the football in just nine games. We’re used to Forte catching balls out of the backfield, but he is probably going to cripple the career high 63 receptions that he had in his rookie season, he is certainly going to have a career high in receiving yards (547 is the record, he’s at 439 now), and he is going to probably end up doing better than his rookie season on the ground as well (1,238 yards). The Bears wouldn’t win a single game without Forte in the fold, and that should be the definition of the league MVP.

Arian Foster (12 to 1 Odds To Win 2011 MVP at JustBet): Here’s the interesting man in the race. They often say it’s not how you start, it’s how you finish. Foster has essentially played in 7.5 of Houston’s 10 games this year, and he is averaging basically 158 yards per game from scrimmage this year, which would produce numbers that are better than Forte’s when push comes to shove. Foster won’t duplicate last year’s 1,616 yards on the ground, but then again, he’s not going to carry the ball 327 times either. However, the 18 TDs that he had last season aren’t out of the question again this year, especially with QB Matt Schaub out for the season. Over the last four weeks, Foster has averaged 109 rushing yards per game and has six trips to the end zone in that stretch. Sure, he’s splitting carries with RB Ben Tate, but Foster is finally getting that much deserved MVP consideration because of the fact that his Texans are truly a great team for the first time in franchise history.

Lou Palumbo is the founder and part owner of the Sports Handicapping Community. He's been writing and posting free picks and sports handicapping strategies on the Cappersinfo forums and website for 15 years now. He enjoys handicapping just as much as he did from the very first day he built the original Cappersinfo website.

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