Free Sunday NFL Picks: Broncos vs Chiefs (12/1/2013)

Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs
Date and Time: Sunday, 12/1/13 at 4:25pm on CBS
Game Line: Denver Broncos -4 (from JustBet)
Over/Under: 48.5
Sunday NFL Football Analysis: The AFC West rivals will meet for the second time in three weeks Sunday in Kansas City with each looking to take control of the division and avoid another week of looking for a bounce-back game.  While the Broncos are 9-2 they might be feeling the majority of the disappointment heading into this game after matching a franchise-record 24 point collapse Sunday in New England, the Chiefs who are also 9-2 are likely feeling the brunt of the pressure.  They’ve dropped their first two games in back to back weeks, including their first at home in Sunday’s last-minute 41-38 loss to San Diego. On top of that the Kansas City defense has allowed season high point totals the last two weeks.  After allowing over 17 points for the first time this season in a 27-17 loss at Denver, Sunday’s loss to San Diego raised some huge concerns and injuries.  Tamba Hali and Justin Houston who account for over half of the team’s sacks, are questionable to play.  Coach Andy Reid said starting defensive tackle Mike DeVito will likely return after missing his last two games with a knee injury.  The Chiefs are still the best defense in the AFC in scoring defense allowing just 16.3 points per game and they’re the best in the league on third down and should be able to slow Peyton and company down at home.  The Broncos offense is heading into this game after its worst performance of the season with only 19 completions and 150 yards.  Combine that with a season high four turnovers and they were lucky to have a lead against New England.  If Bronco’s running back Knowshon Moreno can get going early on it will help Peyton and the offense spread things out later in the game and if the Kansas City defense has a weakness it is against the run, allowing 116 yards per game on the ground.
Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs Free NFL Picks: Broncos -4 and under 48.5
Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs Game Prediction: 27-17 Broncos
What to expect in this NFL Football match up: It’s very hard to bet on Peyton Manning and the Bronco’s offense playing as bad as they did last weekend for a second week in a row.  The Kansas City defensive backfield can slow down the Denver recievers, but Knowshown Moreno will get the ball often especially early in the game to take the crowd out of the game and slow it down.  Then in the second half they will set up the play action pass and take over the game in the fourth quarter.  The Kansas City offense doesn’t have the firepower to keep up with an offense like Denver, in Coloroado or in Kansas.

Davis Wagner has been a long time contributer at the Handicapping community and is a major assett to our establishment. He is solid handicapper and has a keen understanding value sports betting. Davis has been avidly posting on the Cappersinfo forums for almost a decade and is one of the most tenured members of this community. Davis is a major contributor and it's safe to say this sit wouldn't be where it is today without him.

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