Free Sunday NFL Picks: Colts vs Bengals (12/8/2013)

Indianapolis Colts at Cincinnati Bengals
Date and Time: Sunday, 12/8/13 at 1:00pm on CBS
Game Line: Cincinnati Bengals -5.5 (from JustBet)
Over/Under: 44
Sunday NFL Football Analysis: As a rookie last season, Luck helped guide the Colts to an 11-5 record and a postseason berth despite being sacked 41 times, fourth-most in the NFL.  That hasn’t changed much this year and it is the biggest reason the Colts are struggling to win games right now.  This could be a problem against a swarming Cincinnati defense who is playing to clinch the AFC South title already.  Luck has two touchdowns, five interceptions and a 66.7 passer rating over his last four games and has been sacked 29 times this season.  He was dropped a season worst five times in a loss to Tennessee last weekend.  Making matters worse, right guard Jeff Linkenbach is not going to play with a leg injury moving them to a third string guard.  Cincinnati has 18 sacks over its last five games and they’re allowing an AFC best 5.28 yards per pass attempt.  Despite the uncertainty of the offensive line, the Colts are in a great position to secure their eighth division title in one of the weakest divisions in the NFL this season.  The Colts will try to get the running game going with Donald Brown, starting in place of Trent Richardson who has been a complete bust for the Colts offense, largely because of their weak offensive line.  Robert Mathis, the defensive leader for the Colts is the NFL leader in sacks himself with 15.5 on the season but their rush defense is not as solid, 28th in the NFL.  Cincinnati should have no problem running the ball up the middle and setting up WR AJ Green on the outside for a few big plays while their defense will have a field day teeing off on Andrew Luck and keeping him uncomfortable in the pocket.  He is too young to handle the kind of pressure the Bengals will bring and will have a few costly turnovers to give the game away in the second half.

Indianapolis Colts at Cincinnati Bengals Free NFL Picks: Cincinnat Bengals -5.5 and over 44
Indianapolis Colts at Cincinnati Bengals Game Prediction: 27-21 Bengals
What to expect in this NFL Football match up: The game will not be as close as the final score, Cincinnati will run the ball well and set up short down situations where they can take advantage of the Colts weak secondary.  They won’t need to score many points because their defense should totally shut down Andrew luck and make sure he doesn’t have a chance to get into a groove completing passes.  Donad Brown has been a back up running back on four different teams this season and there’s no reason to think he will get it going against the Cincinnati defense.

Davis Wagner has been a long time contributer at the Handicapping community and is a major assett to our establishment. He is solid handicapper and has a keen understanding value sports betting. Davis has been avidly posting on the Cappersinfo forums for almost a decade and is one of the most tenured members of this community. Davis is a major contributor and it's safe to say this sit wouldn't be where it is today without him.

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