Free Sunday NFL Picks: Patriots vs Dolphins (12/15/2013)

New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins
Date and Time: Sunday, 12/15/13 at 1:00pm on CBS
Game Line: New England Patriots -2.5 (from JustBet)
Over/Under: 45.5
Sunday NFL Football Analysis: The New England Patriots return to life without start tight end Rob Gronkowski who will miss the rest of the season and most of next with a torn ACL and MLC.  Gronkowski suffered the injury late in the 27-26 come back win over Cleveland.  The team was 5-1 while Gronkowski missed the first six games of the season and they are hopeful they can continue to win without him.  They have a chance to clinch the AFC East on Sunday with a win in Miami.  A win or tie Sunday would give the Patriots their fifth straight division title and 10th in 11 seasons, and they’d clinch a playoff berth regardless of the result if Baltimore doesn’t win in Detroit on Monday night.  Their three game winning streak have all been exciting come from behind victories including overcoming a 24 point deficit against Denver.  The Patriots scored 13 points and recovered an onside kick in the final 61 seconds of the game last week to win.  New England had to rally from a 17-3 halftime deficit against the Dolphins in the first meeting Oct. 27, scoring 24 unanswered points to earn its seventh straight victory in the series.  Miami is tied for the final playoff spot with Baltimore and they have plenty to play for.  Ryan Tannehill is slowly improving and has only one less passing touchdown that Brady this season.  The Patriots defense ranks 24th in the league and the Dolphins just set a season high with 34 points in a win in Pittsburgh in the snow last weekend.  The immergence of tight end Charles Clay as one of Tannehill’s favorite weapons has 680 yards this season.  Miami’s biggest weakness is their offensive line, allowing 48 sacks this season but New England has problems getting to the quarterback without blitzing.  This is a good match up for Miami at home in a bit of a let down spot for New England.
New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins Free NFL Picks: Miami +2.5 and under 45.5
New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins Game Prediction: 23-20 Miami
What to expect in this NFL Football match up: The Miami defense will do a great job against Tom Brady and the New England offense without Rob Gronkowski.  Without his big red zone target the Patriots offense will stall in the red zone and they will be forced to kick field goals.  Miami will not have a hard time moving the ball against the Patriots defense, using the run to set up the play action pass.  The Dolphins will keep their playoff hopes alive with a big win at home.

Davis Wagner has been a long time contributer at the Handicapping community and is a major assett to our establishment. He is solid handicapper and has a keen understanding value sports betting. Davis has been avidly posting on the Cappersinfo forums for almost a decade and is one of the most tenured members of this community. Davis is a major contributor and it's safe to say this sit wouldn't be where it is today without him.

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