Free Sunday NFL Picks: Saints vs Panthers (12/22/2013)

New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers
Date and Time: Sunday, 12/22/13 at 1:00pm on FOX
Game Line: Carolina Panthers -3 (from JustBet)
Over/Under: 46.5
Sunday NFL Football Analysis: It’s pretty straight forward for the New Orleans Saints this week, win and they’ll clinch the NFC South and secure a first round bye in the playoffs.  If they lose, the same circumstances will await Carolina in week 17.  After New Orleans latest road stumble, the second show down in three weeks between the Saints and Panthers on Sunday in Carolina will guarantee a playoff spot for the winner while making things very hard on the loser.  New Orleans took control of the NFC South with a 31-13 rout of Carolina in New Orleans two weeks ago before another road loss, this time to St. Louis, hurt their chances.  After falling behind by 24 points and committing 3 turnovers and only scoring 16 points against the Rams New Orleans has now dropped 4 of 5 road games.  Meanwhile, Carolina bounced back from their loss to New Orleans with a 30-20 home win against the Jets in a game they controlled from start to finish.  Carolina will win the South and the conference’s second seed with a victory Sunday and a win at Atlanta or a New Orleans loss to Tampa Bay in Week 17. Should the Saints win, they’ll be able to rest some starters in their finale with the No. 2 seed locked up.  Saints quarterback Drew Brees threw for 313 yards and four touchdowns against the Panthers two weeks ago, bringing his totals at home to an NFC best 23 touchdowns, a 73.2% completion percentage and a 122.5 passer rating.  On the road, Brees is quite the opposite, he completes just 63.4%, and nearly two touchdowns fewer per game, with an 86 quarterback rating and seven of his 10 interceptions.  As a team they are only averaging 18.4 points per game on the road.  Carolina did not try to run the ball in their last match up and if they’re going to have success at home, keeping the Saints off the field and methodically moving the football will be a big reason why.  The Saints are not the same team on the road and with Carolina looking for revenge, their chances of getting a home win against their division rivals look good.
New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers Free NFL Picks: Carolina -3 and under 46.5
New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers Game Prediction: 23-17 Carolina
What to expect in this week 17 NFL Football match up: The Carolina front seven will control the game for them defensively with different blitz packages to keep Drew Brees off guard and force short three and out drives early in the game.  They will force a few turnovers and limit the Saints chances to move the ball on offense.  On the other side of the ball, a strong run game from Cam Newton and DeAngelo Williams will control the time of possession and limit their mistakes while keeping Drew Brees and company off of the field.  New Orleans is not the same team on the road and they will prove it this weekend in Carolina.

Davis Wagner has been a long time contributer at the Handicapping community and is a major assett to our establishment. He is solid handicapper and has a keen understanding value sports betting. Davis has been avidly posting on the Cappersinfo forums for almost a decade and is one of the most tenured members of this community. Davis is a major contributor and it's safe to say this sit wouldn't be where it is today without him.

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