Free Sunday NFL Picks: Steelers vs Patriots (11/3/2013)

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Pittsburgh Steelers at New England Patriots
Date and Time: Sunday, 11/3/13 at 4:25pm on CBS
Game Line: New England Patriots -6.5 (from JustBet)
Over/Under: 43
Sunday NFL Football Analysis: Tom Brady and the New England Patriots look to stay on top of the AFC East with a win at home versus the sputtering Steelers on Sunday.  The Patriots lead the Jets by two games in their division, despite not living up to expectations through the first half of the season.  Brady is completing just 56% of his passes with six interceptions.  So far this has been his worst season in seven years in a Patriots uniform but things should improve as TE Rob Gronkowski and WR Danny Amendola are both getting healthy.  The receiving core in New England has been taking a lot of heat for their offensive woes but it is not entire deserved.  They have had too many drops but Tom Brady isn’t passing the eye test either.  Tom Brady has over thrown receivers, they haven’t been on the same page, and their offensive line hasn’t given Brady time like they have in the past.  This plays right into Pittsburgh’s strength with their exotic pass rushes and strong line backing group.  Pittsburgh’s lack of a running game is the biggest reason for their down season.  They managed only 35 last week against Oakland are the worst rushing team in the league.  Their offensive line specializes in pass blocking and that is clear when they try to get the ball to RB Le’Veon Bell who is averaging just 3.3 yards per carry.  The Patriots are very strong against the pass and weak against the run, so if the Steelers are going to stay within the number here they’re going to have to do so successfully.  If they can pass the ball effectively they will set up the play action pass and get a couple big plays down the middle against a very beat up Patriots secondary.  There’s a good chance Pittsburgh comes out motivated on offense and get ahead early, setting up a Tom Brady fourth quarter come back and win without covering the spread.
Pittsburgh Steelers at New England Patriots Free NFL Picks: Pittsburgh Steelers +6.5 and over 43
Pittsburgh Steelers at New England Patriots Game Prediction: 28-27 Patriots
What to expect in this NFL Football match up:
The Steelers will run the ball successfully for the first time this season against a weak Patriots run defense setting up the play action pass and a few big plays for Ben Roethlisburger and the Steelers offense.  This will keep the Patriots offense on the side lines and keep Pittsburgh into the game in the fourth quarter.  Tom Brady will have better numbers than he has recently against the Steelers mediocre defense and they will need a fourth quarter come back to beat Pittsburgh at home.

Davis Wagner has been a long time contributer at the Handicapping community and is a major assett to our establishment. He is solid handicapper and has a keen understanding value sports betting. Davis has been avidly posting on the Cappersinfo forums for almost a decade and is one of the most tenured members of this community. Davis is a major contributor and it's safe to say this sit wouldn't be where it is today without him.

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