Free Sunday NFL Week 4 Picks: Saints vs Cowboys (9/28/14)

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New Orleans Saints at Dallas Cowboys

Date and Time: Sunday, 9/28/14 at 8:25pm on NBC

Game Line: New Orleans Saints -3 (from 5Dimes)

Over/Under: 52.5

New Orleans Saints at Dallas Cowboys Sunday NFL Football Analysis: The Dallas Cowboys host Drew Brees and the high powered Saints passing attack on Sunday Night Football, so it is only natural that they enter this game with controversy in their secondary. Dallas welcomed back corner Orlando Scandrick in in last Sunday’s 34-31 win at St. Louis after the cornerback’s four game suspension for violating the league’s substance abuse policy was cut in half. Scandrick and Morris Claiborne played similar snaps against the Rams.  Claiborne started the first three games but walked out on the Cowboys on Tuesday when told that Scandrick would take his place against New Orleans.  He was back at practice Wednesday and will play against the Saints.  The former top 10 pick was beaten for several big plays before making the clinching interception. Coach Jason Garrett said the team would discipline him, but didn’t specify how.  It’s not hard to believe that Garrett didn’t decide to suspend Claiborne since Brees is off to another strong start with the league’s second best completion percentage at 70.9 and the fifth most passing yards with 863.  Brees has thrown for 14 touchdowns and two interceptions while going 4-1 against the Cowboys with the Saints, with at least 352 yards in three consecutive wins. He threw for 392 yards last year at home, completing 34 of 41 passes in a 49-17 rout.  Brees was sharp last Sunday, completing his first nine passes for 108 yards while engineering touchdown drives on the Saints’ first two possessions in a 20-9 win over Minnesota in their home opener. He finished 27 of 35 for 293 yards.  The Saints have a new weapon for Brees in rookie Brandin Cooks who has 18 catches for 168 yards to lead all New Orleans receivers.  Tight end Jimmy Graham leads the team with 24 receptions for 254 yards and two scores, though he has yet to find the end zone in three games against Dallas.  NFL rushing leader DeMarco Murray has over 100 yards, one touchdown and one fumble in each of his three games this season and will be a huge factor in this contest.  If he can continue his success it will not only keep Drew Brees and company on the sidelines but it will limit Tony Romo’s opportunities to make bad decisions.  If the Cowboys can limit their turnovers and continue to run the football effectively, they will keep this game close.

Sunday NFL Week 4 New Orleans Saints at Dallas Cowboys Free Picks: New Orleans Saints -3 and over 52.5

New Orleans Saints at Dallas Cowboys  Game Prediction: 34-24 Saints

What to expect in this Week 4 NFL Football match up: The Saints offense is a bad matchup for the Dallas defense, which is stronger against the run than against the pass.  Drew Brees success in domes has been well documented as opposed to playing outdoors and he has already had success at Cowboy Stadium.  New Orleans will score a few early touchdowns on big plays and force Dallas to get away from the running game that has been the key to their success through three games.  The Cowboys will find the end zone on a few big plays of their own in the second half, but the Cowboys aren’t good at playing from behind and they’re a Tony Romo interception or two away from being blown out at home in this game.

Davis Wagner has been a long time contributer at the Handicapping community and is a major assett to our establishment. He is solid handicapper and has a keen understanding value sports betting. Davis has been avidly posting on the Cappersinfo forums for almost a decade and is one of the most tenured members of this community. Davis is a major contributor and it's safe to say this sit wouldn't be where it is today without him.