Free Sunday NFL Week 6 Picks: Packers vs Dolphins (10/12/14)

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Green Bay Packers at Miami Dolphins

Date and Time: Sunday, 10/12/14 at 1:00pm on FOX

Game Line: Green Bay Packers -3.5 (from WagerWeb)

Over/Under: 48.5

Green Bay Packers at Miami Dolphins Sunday NFL Football Analysis: Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay offense are finally rounding into form as the head to Miami to take on Joe Philbin who played a big part in developing the All-Pro quarterback. Seeking a third consecutive win, the Packers try to get the best of their former offensive coordinator when they visit Miami on Sunday. Philbin spent nine seasons as an assistant with Green Bay before leaving to take the Dolphins job in 2012. Despite his familiarity with his former team, much has changed since he left.  Rodgers has been a constant for Green Bay, leading the team to three consecutive NFC North titles. The Packers, who have won 14 of their last 15 October games, are currently tied with Detroit atop the division after cruising to a 42-10 win over Minnesota last Thursday. Rodgers was able to sit out the entire fourth quarter after completing 12 of 17 passes for 156 yards and three touchdowns, giving him seven over the last two games. The three-time Pro Bowler ranks second in the NFL with a passer rating of 114.8.  Miami will also need to be weary of running back Eddie Lacy, who ran the ball 13 times for a season high 105 yards and two TDs against the Vikings. The second year back had averaged just over 40 yards on 3.0 per carry in the first four games.  The Dolphins, meanwhile, are 2-2 and coming out of their bye much healthier.  Knowshown Moreno, Reshad Jones, and Mike Pouncey are all expected to come back after missing time.  Miami evened its record with a convincing 38-14 win over Oakland in London in Week 4 behind Ryan Tannehill’s best performance of the season with 278 yards passing and two touchdowns.  Lamar Miller ran for two touchdowns and is fifth in the league with 5.7 yards per carry but could surrender some attempts to Moreno, who led the NFL with 134 rushing yards in Week 1. Only four teams are averaging more yards on the ground than the Dolphins’ 142.3, and they should find plenty of running room against the Packers. Green Bay is allowing a league-worst 163.0 rushing yards per game. Miami has put up 35.5 points per game in its wins compared to 12.5 in its losses.  This game is a matchup of strength versus weakness for the Miami Dolphins who should run the ball early and often in this one to help keep the score down and keep Aaron Rodgers on the sidelines.

Sunday NFL Week 6 Green Bay Packers at Miami Dolphins Free Picks: Miami Dolphins +3.5 and under 48.5

Green Bay Packers at Miami Dolphins Game Prediction: 24-21 Dolphins

What to expect in this Week 6 NFL Football match up: The Green Bay run defense has been a big issue all season long, and they will face another tough test in this game.  If Miller and Moreno can keep doing what they have been doing so far this season they will gain traction as the game goes on and by the time the fourth quarter comes around it will be Green Bay trying to make a comeback and get a big road win.  The return of Moreno and Pouncey is a big deal for the Dolphins and they will surprise people with an impressive home win here.

Davis Wagner has been a long time contributer at the Handicapping community and is a major assett to our establishment. He is solid handicapper and has a keen understanding value sports betting. Davis has been avidly posting on the Cappersinfo forums for almost a decade and is one of the most tenured members of this community. Davis is a major contributor and it's safe to say this sit wouldn't be where it is today without him.