Free Sunday NFL Week 6 Picks: Ravens vs Buccaneers (10/12/14)

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Baltimore Ravens at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Date and Time: Sunday, 10/12/14 at 1:00pm on FOX

Game Line: Baltimore Ravens -3.5 (from WagerWeb)

Over/Under: 43.5

Baltimore Ravens at Tampa Bay Buccaneers Sunday NFL Football Analysis:  The Baltimore Ravens struggled to move the ball in week 5, but nobody has that problem against Tampa Bay. Last Sunday’s 20-13 loss in Indianapolis had Baltimore with season lows in yards and points.  They also had a season low 15 rushing attempts though those yielded a season best 6 yards per carry.  In their previous three games, all wins, the Ravens averaged 33 attempts and 148 yards on the ground.  They’ll need to get back to that if they’re going to make a playoff push.  They seem set on using three running backs with Justin Forsett, Bernard Pierce and Lorenzo Taliaferro sharing the load.  Three turnovers certainly cut into any sustained offense against the Colts after Baltimore gave the ball away a total of three times in its first four games. They forced four, though, and hold a plus 2 differential for the season.  The Buccaneers’ 11 turnovers are tied for second most in the NFL.  Tampa Bay is seeking its first home win, but it’ll likely need some serious defensive improvement to get it. The Bucs are surrendering 31.2 points per game, which is better than only Jacksonville, while their 412.4 yards allowed rank 30th. Most of that damage has come in the last three games, as they’ve allowed an average of 39.0 points after giving up a total of 39 in their two home losses.  New Orleans racked up 511 yards and rallied from 11 down in the fourth quarter to beat Tampa Bay 37-31 in overtime last Sunday.  Linebaker Mason Foster could return to help turn things around. The linebacker has been out for the defense’s rough stretch with a shoulder injury suffered Sept. 14 against St. Louis.  Linebacker hasn’t been much of a problem for Baltimore. The Ravens rank third in points against at 16.0, and have been helped greatly by rookie linebacker C.J. Mosley.  The Alabama product is the Ravens’ leading tackler through five games and had 14 tackles and an interception against the Colts.  Baltimore’s pass defense has been suspect at times, ranking 27th in yards per game, and Tampa Bay’s passing game has improved with Mike Glennon taking over for Josh McCown at quarterback.  The return of rookie receiver Mike Evans who missed last week with a groin injury will also help the Buccaneers offense that’s going to need to score points to make up for their weak defensive secondary to stay in this game.

Sunday NFL Week 6 Baltimore Ravens at Tampa Bay Buccaneers Free Picks: Tampa Bay +3.5 and under 43.5

Baltimore Ravens at Tampa Bay Buccaneers Game Prediction: 21-20 Ravens

What to expect in this Week 6 NFL Football match up: The Baltimore Ravens will be much more dedicated to running the football in this game than last week at Indianapolis.  Don’t be surprised if the Ravens rack up 40+ attempts for their trio of running backs in this one and that will help slow the game down for a Tampa Bay team that needs all of their games to move as quickly as possible.  The return of Evans combined with Glennon at quarterback will help Tampa Bay move the football and keep this game close.  It will take some late game heroics from Joe Flacco to win on the road against a Buccaneer team that has yet to record a home victory.

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