Free Sunday NFL Week 7 Picks: Falcons vs Ravens (10/19/14)


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Atlanta Falcons at Baltimore Ravens

Date and Time: Sunday, 10/19/14 at 1:00pm on FOX

Game Line: Baltimore Ravens -7 (from WagerWeb)

Over/Under: 49

Atlanta Falcons at Baltimore Ravens Sunday NFL Football Analysis: The Ravens try to send Atlanta to a fourth consecutive defeat Sunday as the Falcons begin the longest stretch without a true home game in franchise history. Baltimore led 38-0 at halftime last Sunday at Tampa Bay en route to a 48-17 victory.  Joe Flacco became the first player to have four touchdowns passes in the first quarter since Minnesota’s Tommy Kramer in 1986 and finished with a career high five in a matchup with the one win Buccaneers.  Flacco had the best quarterback rating of his career and matched a season high with a 72.4 completion percentage after connecting on 57.9 percent of his attempts in a 20-13 loss in Indianapolis the previous week.  The Ravens also got a season-high 111 yards on 14 carries from Justin Forsett who is fifth in the league with 408 yards and has done a fine job in replacing the suspended Ray Rice. It was Forsett’s first 100 yard game since 2009.  Steve Smith caught five passes for 110 yards, including a 56 yard score, and topped 100 yards for the fourth time in six games with Baltimore. Seeking a third straight home win, Baltimore tries to send Atlanta to a sixth consecutive road loss. The Falcons, who haven’t lost seven straight road games 2000 but they are now 1-10 away from the Georgia Dome since the beginning of last season.  They will play their next four games outside of Atlanta, which includes an Oct. 26 matchup against Detroit in London, a game in which the Falcons are the designated home team. They won’t play in the Georgia Dome until Nov. 23. Atlanta is coming off last Sunday’s 27-13 home loss to Chicago, gaining a season low 287 yards, 42 on the ground. Ryan connected on 51.4 percent of his passes, his worst showing in three seasons, with his receivers dropping at least seven of those.  The Falcons’ defense also continued to struggle, giving up 478 yards and a season worst 368 through the air, while letting the Bears pull away in the final 21 minutes. Atlanta ranks near the bottom in the league with 28.3 points, 419.0 yards and 277.7 passing yards allowed per game. The Falcons have also been outscored a combined 49-0 in the fourth quarter in the last four games. The Ravens have outscored their opponents 38-14 in that period while winning four of five.  Playing on the road has been tough on the Falcons and against a Baltimore offense that seems to be hitting its stride, it could be a long Sunday for Atlanta.

Sunday NFL Week 7 Atlanta Falcons at Baltimore Ravens Free Picks: Baltimore Ravens -7 and over 49

Atlanta Falcons at Baltimore Ravens Game Prediction: 34-24 Ravens

What to expect in this Week 7 NFL Football match up: The Baltimore Ravens go from one weak, struggling NFC South defense in Tampa Bay to another in Atlanta.  They should light up the scoreboard again, this time at home, against a Atlanta pass defense that is one of the worst in the league.  The Falcons have a much harder time scoring points on the road than at home and outside in Baltimore it won’t get any easier.  A big play from their star receivers late in the game will be the only thing that makes this game look competitive on paper.

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