Free Sunday Night Football Week 7 Picks: 49ers vs Broncos (10/19/14)


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San Francisco 49ers at Denver Broncos

Date and Time: Sunday, 10/19/14 at 8:30pm on NBC

Game Line: Denver Broncos -6.5 (from WagerWeb)

Over/Under: 50.5

San Francisco 49ers at Denver Broncos Sunday NFL Football Analysis: Peyton Manning is two touchdowns away from matching Brett Farve’s NFL record but it’s going to take more than that to beat the 49ers on Sunday night. Two of the NFL’s top teams since the start of 2012 meet Sunday night in Denver with Manning focused on keeping pace in the AFC West over making history.  Favre reached his record of 508 TD passes in 302 regular season games while Manning is sitting on 506 entering his 246th contest, but it’s the continuation of a demanding schedule that has the attention of the Broncos and Manning.  Denver’s first eight opponents averaged 10.75 wins a season ago, and the 49ers were on the high end with 12. Since the start of 2012, the Broncos have the NFL’s most regular-season wins (30) while San Francisco is tied with Seattle (27) for the best in the NFC.  It wouldn’t be surprising for another milestone pass to land in the hands of Julius Thomas. He’s caught nine of Manning’s 15 in 2014, putting him on pace to surpass Rob Gronkowski’s 2011 single season tight end record of 17.  Thomas caught two in Sunday’s 31-17 road win over the New York Jets, while Manning went 22 of 33 for 237 yards and three TDs.  He will have to be great in order to solve San Francisco’s defense in his first meeting with the 49ers since 2009. San Francisco ranks second in the NFL behind Detroit in total defense, giving up just 287.2 yards per game despite not having Aldon Smith or NaVorro Bowman. It could be further stretched if linebacker Patrick Willis, who suffered a toe injury in Monday’s 31-17 win at St. Louis, is unable to play.  Still, the defense’s 5.9 yards per passing attempt comes in as a league low and could present the Broncos with their most substantial challenge yet.  Offensively, the 49ers hit their stride against the Rams with a season high 432 yards and their first 30 point output of the season.  Colin Kaepernick accounted for 343 through the air with three TDs on 22 of 35 passing to guide San Francisco to a third straight win.  It hasn’t been quite as easy to move the ball against the Broncos. They rank fourth in the NFL in total defense, fourth in yards per pass attempt, and fifth in yards per rush.  Kaepernick, who wasn’t sacked last week, will have to deal with Von Miller’s six sacks and DeMarcus Ware’s four as something to be aware of after facing a St. Louis team that has one through five games.

Sunday NFL Week 7 San Francisco 49ers at Denver Broncos Free Picks: Denver -6.5 and under 50.5

San Francisco 49ers at Denver Broncos Game Prediction: 27-17 Broncos

What to expect in this Sunday Night Football Week 7 NFL Football match up: The Denver offense will want to see Peyton break the touchdown record at home and will do everything they can to make sure he has three touchdown passes.  It could come easier than you think against a San Francisco defense that is already depleted and forced to travel to Mile High without a few of their defensive play makers.  The additions that Denver made to their defense in the offseason seem to be paying off as they’ve been much stronger against both the run and the pass so far this season and they should have no problem containing Kaepernick and company.

Davis Wagner has been a long time contributer at the Handicapping community and is a major assett to our establishment. He is solid handicapper and has a keen understanding value sports betting. Davis has been avidly posting on the Cappersinfo forums for almost a decade and is one of the most tenured members of this community. Davis is a major contributor and it's safe to say this sit wouldn't be where it is today without him.