Free Thursday NFL Week 5 Picks: Vikings vs Packers (10/2/14)

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Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers
Date and Time: Thursday, 10/2/14 at 8:30pm on CBS
Game Line: Green Bay Packers -8 (from WagerWeb)
Over/Under: 48
Thursday Night NFL Football Analysis: The Green Bay offense seemed to silence their critics last Sunday when they ended every drive with at least a field goal attempt. The Packers beat the Bears 38-17 on Sunday and Rodgers threw for 302 yards and four touchdowns on 22-of-28 passing. Nelson, who leads the league with 33 catches and 459 yards, had 10 catches for 108 yards and two scores.  Randall Cobb even broke out of his season long slump with 100 yards and a score.  The Packers, however, were only able to manage 56 yards rushing and their 73 yards per game is near the bottom in the league.  Lacy has yet to crack 50 yards this season after averaging almost 80 last season.  Minnesota has already played many of the elite level passing attacks in the league this season with its last three games coming against New England, New Orleans and Atlanta, and it has yet to allow a 300 yard passing day.  Sunday’s 41-28 win over Atlanta was one of the highest yard totals in team history with 558 in Teddy Bridgewater’s first start.  The short week could be most difficult on Bridgewater. The Vikings’ rookie quarterback suffered a sprained ankle in the fourth quarter against Atlanta and didn’t practice all week but will start the game.  Bridgewater impressed in his first full game by going 19 of 30 for 317 yards while rushing for 27 yards and a touchdown on five carries.  Bridgewater’s running back, fellow rookie Jerick McKinnon made a splash as well with 18 carries and 135 yards.  The Vikings’ 134.8 rushing yards per game ranks fourth in the NFC even without Adrian Peterson. The Packers have provided opponents with plenty of room to run with an NFL worst 176.0 yards allowed per game. The only way they stopped the Bears was with takeaways, and their plus 4 turnover mark is tied for the best in the NFC.  Lines makers may be giving Green Bay too much credit for one offensive outburst against a weak Chicago secondary.  They will be much more tested against a Viking defense that is much better against the pass.  Eight points is a lot for a Thursday Night divisional game when the rushing numbers are as lopsided as they are in this one.

Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers Free NFL Picks: Vikings +8 and under 48

Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers Game Prediction: 24-21 Packers

What to expect in this Week 5 NFL Football match up: The efficiency of the Packers offense probably lies somewhere between their performance against the Lions and the one last week against the Bears.  Minnesota will be able to contain them by running the ball early and often on the other side of the football.  While Green Bay wants to run as many plays as possible, Minnesota will try to do the opposite with long drives that use every last second of the play clock to keep Rodgers and company on the sideline.  Green Bay will need a big score late in the game to win their second divisional game in a row.

Davis Wagner has been a long time contributer at the Handicapping community and is a major assett to our establishment. He is solid handicapper and has a keen understanding value sports betting. Davis has been avidly posting on the Cappersinfo forums for almost a decade and is one of the most tenured members of this community. Davis is a major contributor and it's safe to say this sit wouldn't be where it is today without him.