Free Thursday NFL Week 7 Picks: Jets vs Patriots (10/16/14)

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New York Jets at New England Patriots
Date and Time: Thursday, 10/16/14 at 8:30pm on CBS
Game Line: New England Patriots -9.5 (from WagerWeb)
Over/Under: 45
Thursday Night NFL Football Analysis: The Jets are trying to end their longest losing streak in seven years while the Patriots have to overcome some key injuries if they’re going to continue to keep the critics off their back. The AFC East rivals meet Thursday when the Patriots try for a sixth straight home win over New York.  New York continues the fight with struggling Geno Smith under center.  The second year quarterback has completed 57.1 percent of his passes, thrown six touchdowns and seven interceptions for an NFL-low 69.7 passer rating. He went 32 of 68 for 447 yards with a TD, four INTs and was sacked eight times while the Jets split the 2013 season series with New England.  Yet, for some reason, the team doesn’t believe Michael Vick has what it takes to take over as the starter.  New York averaged 151.3 rushing yards in the first four games then totaled 122 in the next two. Smith gained a team high 11 of the Jets 31 run yards Sunday as New York had 15 rushing attempts, its fewest under Ryan. To take some pressure off Smith, the Jets must run the ball better. Things might not get easier there as left guard Brian Winters had a season ending knee injury last Sunday.  The Jets defense, meanwhile, played a big part in the team allowing 31 points for the second straight week. New York has allowed an average of 28.8 points since the 19-14 victory over Oakland.  Its defense gave up 253 rushing yards in the first four games before allowing 300 to San Diego and Denver.  An already depleted secondary got even thinner when corner Dee Milliner suffered a season ending Achilles injury last Sunday.  Now, the Jets face a New England team that has scored 80 points to beat Cincinnati and Buffalo in the last two weeks.  Though New York’s last regular season road victory over the Patriots came in 2008, a rivalry that’s included the butt fumble, Spygate and foot fetish jokes provides instant motivation for both sides.  Tom Brady has won six straight regular season home games versus New York, and thrown nine TDs, one INT and recorded a 101.3 rating in the last five.  Brady, however, won’t have Stevan Ridley after suffering a knee injury last Sunday and linebacker Jerod Mayo who has a team leading 53 tackles, also had a season ending injury.  The spread in this one is big, as many think this Jets franchise is starting to unravel, but maybe a matchup against a familiar division foe is exactly what they need to refocus themselves.

New York Jets at New England Patriots Free NFL Picks: Jets +9.5 and under 45

New York Jets at New England Patriots Game Prediction: 23-20 Patriots

What to expect in this Week 7 NFL Football match up: All signs point to the Patriots blowing the doors off of the Jets in this game, but if Rex Ryan is going to get his team motivated to play anyone right now, it’s going to be the Patriots.  New England looks like they’ve gotten things back on track but we still aren’t sold on their offense and if the Jets can get back to running the football like they should, they can keep this a low scoring, grind it out type of game.  Rex Ryan always makes things difficult for Tom Brady, and his Jets will contain him again this week.

Davis Wagner has been a long time contributer at the Handicapping community and is a major assett to our establishment. He is solid handicapper and has a keen understanding value sports betting. Davis has been avidly posting on the Cappersinfo forums for almost a decade and is one of the most tenured members of this community. Davis is a major contributor and it's safe to say this sit wouldn't be where it is today without him.