NFL Odds: Week 13 Sunday Night Football Picks Detroit @ NO 12/4/11

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Playoff hopes are on the line for a pair of teams that are still in the postseason picture in the crowded AFC on Sunday Night Football.

Year To Date Record: 38-46 ATS
Upset Record: 10-22, -$1,120

Week 13 NFL Matchup: Detroit Lions @ New Orleans Saints
Date: Sunday, December 4th, 8:25 ET
Location: Louisiana Superdome, New Orleans, LA
NFL Week 13 Lines: New Orleans -9
Over/Under 53.5
Week 13 NFL TV Schedule: NBC

Lions Notes: It’s going to be a long day for this Detroit defense. Save for a game against the Denver Broncos, this unit has been pitiful at best over the course of the last few weeks. It played well against the Green Bay Packers for a quarter or so on Thanksgiving, but once DT Ndamukong Suh was ejected from that game, the floodgates opened. Suh has been suspended for this one, and the question is going to be whether there is going to be a pass rush at all in this game without him. Whether there is or isn’t, QB Matt Stafford is going to have his work cut out for him. WR Calvin Johnson has been relatively quiet over the course of the last few weeks, and he really needs to bust out against a New Orleans defense which, at times has been suspect this season.

Saints Notes: The Saints have scored at least 30 points in all but one of their home games this year, and over the course of their last three at home, they have dropped 49 points on the New York Giants and 62 on the Indianapolis Colts. QB Drew Brees needs 317 passing yards to reach 4,000 on the season, and he almost seems like a lock to get that done, knowing that he has averaged right around that point this year at home. Defensively, New Orleans has struggled just a bit, and last week, it allowed 400 passing yards to QB Eli Manning and the New York Giants. Still, competing with this team and all of its weapons offensively is ridiculously difficult.

The Final Word: It seems like a given that virtually every New Orleans game will go past the number and that the Saints will cover. We just don’t see any other result than that happening though, as the hosts are just too good offensively against all of the problems that the Lions have defensively to be stopped.

Week 13 NFL Pick: New Orleans -9 and Over 53.5

NFL Football Prediction: New Orleans 41 – Detroit 27

Lou Palumbo is the founder and part owner of the Sports Handicapping Community. He's been writing and posting free picks and sports handicapping strategies on the Cappersinfo forums and website for 15 years now. He enjoys handicapping just as much as he did from the very first day he built the original Cappersinfo website.

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