NFL 2011 Season Win Total Picks

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With the regular season for NFL picks starting this week, we here at Cappers Info are making our NFL season win total picks for some of the best and brightest teams in the country!

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Atlanta Falcons Over 10 Wins (+100 @ SportBet.com) – Have we missed something here, or did the Falcons not win 13 games in the regular season a year ago in arguably the toughest division in football? Atlanta only got better by adding rookie WR Julio Jones into the bunch, and the shortened training camp shouldn’t hurt what is now starting to look like a relatively veteran unit. Things aren’t going to get any tougher in the NFC South, and as long as the team can hold serve at home, it has enough games against the NFC North and the dead parts of the AFC South to get the job done. 11 wins is the minimum that Atlanta should end up with this season.

Cincinnati Bengals Under 5.5 Wins (-150 @ SportBet.com) – We’d bet the Bengals under 2.5 wins with the way that they are looking right now. QB Andrew Luck may as well already pack his bags for Cincinnati, because this is going to be the worst team in the league. There is no saving this franchise right now, though. Head Coach Marvin Lewis is a sitting duck and he knows it, as does the rest of the franchise. QB Andy Dalton just isn’t winning games, especially in the AFC North. We just don’t see how these guys are losing fewer than 12 games this year, and we only need 11 to prove to be victorious.

Miami Dolphins Under 7 Wins (+120 @ SportBet.com) – Have we missed something here? Sure, Miami gets two games against Buffalo and a few other cupcakes in here, but there isn’t a road game on the slate, save potentially for the one in Orchard Park in which the team will be favored. Parlay in home games against New England, Houston, Philadelphia, and the Jets, and it’s clear that the Fins are only going to be favored perhaps a half dozen times on the campaign at best. And the oddsmakers think that they’re going .500 again? QB Chad Henne is a disgrace, and this defense isn’t good enough to hold itself together. This squad should start no better than 1-4 (vs. NE, vs. HOU, @ CLE, @ SD, @ NYJ), and it’s only downhill from there.

New England Patriots Over 12.5 Wins (+217 @ SportBet.com) – We’re taking the big number here on the Pats, not just because of how good they have the potential to be, but how bad the rest of the AFC East is going to be as well. There won’t be a game in the slate that New England will be the pup in until it takes a visit to Pittsburgh, and that is off of a bye week. Even then, only that game and potentially road duels at the Jets and Eagles will see the Pats be underdogs. QB Tom Brady has plenty of weapons to work with, and though there will inevitably be a trip or two along the way, we just don’t see this team failing to win 13 games at least half the time, giving us a fantastic price on the over 12.5.

San Diego Chargers Under 10.5 Wins (+105 @ SportBet.com) – Sure, the Chargers won 13 games two years ago, but in 2008 and 2010, the team has been a .500 squad. QB Philip Rivers is great, but he’s not a proven winner. Winning games in the AFC West has been hard for this team, as it seems like everyone else is ganging up on it. Kansas City, Oakland, and Denver all have the ability to beat the Bolts. Roadies at the Jets and Patriots won’t be fun, nor will the fact that these last few games of the year against Baltimore, @ Detroit, and @ Oakland could all be losses depending on where they’re at in the season. Though San Diego will be favored more often than not, we just don’t know if it will be able to hold up to the pressure being put on it once again to have a better season than it did a year ago.

Tennessee Titans Under 7.5 Wins (-200 @ SportBet.com) – It’s chalky ,but just don’t see a way in which Tennessee finishes at .500 or better. This team has totally flipped itself with QB Matt Hasselbeck taking over, and that really doesn’t give us any confidence whatsoever (nor does rookie QB Jake Locker). The Titans don’t get to draw QB Peyton Manning until the end of October, when he will surely be back in the lineup. Plus, look at this slate of big games against big teams… Baltimore @ Cleveland, @ Pittsburgh, Houston twice, Indy twice, @ Atlanta, Tampa Bay, New Orleans… it’s not a fun road for sure. The Titans might be slightly improved, but this team isn’t that much better, if better at all, than last year’s 6-10 squad.

Lou Palumbo is the founder and part owner of the Cappersinfo.com Sports Handicapping Community. He's been writing and posting free picks and sports handicapping strategies on the Cappersinfo forums and website for 15 years now. He enjoys handicapping just as much as he did from the very first day he built the original Cappersinfo website.

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