NFL Free Picks: Green Bay Packers vs. Chicago Bears 9/27/10

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NFL betting action continues on Monday night, as the second week of action finishes up with the duel at Candlestick Park between the Green Bay Packers and the Chicago Bears.

Green Bay Packers (-3) @ Chicago Bears
Monday, September 27th
8:30 ET, Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI

Packers Notes: The only thing missing for the Packers this year has been a dominating ground attack. RB Ryan Grant has been sidelined for the season, and no one has been able to step up yet on the year to take over his role. So far this year, RB Brandon Jackson only has 29 carries for 92 yards, while backup RB John Kuhn, who is really more of a fullback than anything else, has 11 carries for 51 yards. Both players have one TD. The leading receiver for this team is TE Jermichael Finley, who is starting to emerge as one of the top tight ends in the league. Both WR Greg Jennings and WR Donald Driver have done their job this year, as the two have found the end zone a combined three times. QB Aaron Rodgers hasn't quite opened up the big cannon quite yet this year, but he is certainly being efficient. Rodgers is completing 63.3 percent of his passes for 443 yards with four TDs and just two picks. Defensively, we would be remiss without mentioning the play of LB Clay Matthews. So far this year, the catalyst to this defense is turning himself into an MVP candidate. Matthews has six sacks on the season, giving him the most in the NFL by a country mile. Thanks to the play of Matthews and a strong secondary, the Pack rank third in the league in passing defense at 116.5 yards per game and third overall at 253.0 yards per game.

Bears Notes: Two games into last season, everyone in the Windy City was ready to draw and quarter QB Jay Cutler. After last week's upset of the Dallas Cowboys, he might prove to be a loved commodity once again. He has completed 44-of-64 passing for the season for 649 yards and five TDs against just one pick. That one INT is notable for a man that flirted with the 30 INT mark in 2009. The big difference for the Bears and the passing game this year has been that RB Matt Forte has become a huge participant. He is the only running back in the NFL that leads his team in receptions (12), yards (188), and TDs (3). WR Johnny Knox has proven to be a big deep threat as well, as his seven catches for 138 yards has been critical to the 'O'. The only problem offensively has been the ground game. All three of Cutler, RB Chester Taylor, and RB Matt Forte are averaging less than three yards per carry this year, and if that doesn't improve, there is going to be no hope to consistently beat the best teams in the NFL. The defense has made up for it though, as no one has been able to make any headway on the ground against these guys. The Bears are only conceding 28.0 yards per game on the ground, easily the best in the NFL. The end result has been a rock solid 17.0 points per game allowed, which is good enough for 14th in the NFL.

The Final Word: The Bears are going to be going against one of the best pass 'D's in the league, and if Cutler and the gang can't get some sort of a rushing attack going, Matthews and the crew are going to pin their ears back and make life a living hell for the signal caller in the pocket. Cutler isn't mobile enough to beat a 'D' this fast if things break down. Go with the visitors, as they are just the more well rounded team in this game.

Prediction: Packers 26 – Bears 17

Lou Palumbo is the founder and part owner of the Sports Handicapping Community. He's been writing and posting free picks and sports handicapping strategies on the Cappersinfo forums and website for 15 years now. He enjoys handicapping just as much as he did from the very first day he built the original Cappersinfo website.

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