NFL Odds: 2011 Week 11 Thursday NFL Picks New York vs. Denver

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The New York Jets and Denver Broncos are just a game back from being in the playoff picture once again in the AFC. One will take a huge step in the right direction on Thursday, and we are here to make our NFL picks for the first game on the Week 11 schedule.

Year To Date Record: 30-34 ATS
Upset Record: 10-18, -$720

Week 11 NFL Matchup: New York Jets @ Denver Broncos
Date: Thursday, November 17th, 8:20 ET
Location: Sports Authority Stadium, Denver, CO
NFL Lines: Jets -6
Over/Under 41
Week 11 NFL TV Schedule: NFL Network

Jets Notes: Things for the Jets had gone great at home and terribly on the road over the course of the first month and change of the season. That was until two weeks ago when the team won its first road game at Buffalo and then followed that up by losing its first home game against New England. This is such a Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde team, it isn’t even funny. This defense, in all of its glory, is only ranked No. 8 in the league in total defense, and it has a very average run defense, and there is nothing particularly special at all about QB Mark Sanchez. RB LaDainian Tomlinson is out of this one, which leaves the onus on RB Shonn Greene, another player that has had a less than flattering season for sure.

Broncos Notes: Head Coach John Fox knows that his Broncos stand no chance of throwing the football with QB Tim Tebow out there, so he decided to take matters into his own hands last week against Kansas City and throw the ball exactly eight times against 55 rushes. Tebow only went 2-of-8, but one of the completions went 56 yards to WR Eric Decker for a touchdown. The Denver defense was helped out dramatically by the fact that the Chiefs have just shown very little ability to get up and down the field all season long, and we are still wondering whether this team really has a shot to compete on this type of a stage or not. To make matters worse, RB Willis McGahee has a hamstring injury that could keep him out of the fold, and RB Knowshon Moreno is out for the season with an ACL injury suffered last week.

The Final Word: In the end, we don’t really think so. New York is clearly the more well-rounded of these two teams even though it has struggled on the road this year. Head Coach Rex Ryan has had a short week, but the game plan can’t be that hard to devise against an offense that is totally one-dimensional and is probably going to be without its two best running backs. Though we hate the Jets, we don’t see Tebow living to tell about this one if he is going to just try to run basically an entirely run-oriented offense.

Week 11 NFL Pick: New York Jets -6

NFL Football Prediction: New York 20 – Denver 6

Lou Palumbo is the founder and part owner of the Sports Handicapping Community. He's been writing and posting free picks and sports handicapping strategies on the Cappersinfo forums and website for 15 years now. He enjoys handicapping just as much as he did from the very first day he built the original Cappersinfo website.

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