NFL Odds: 2011 Week 12 Thanksgiving Day NFL Picks 11/27/11

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NFL betting action is here again! Here at Cappers Info, we’re making our running tally of NFL picks this year, continuing with action on Thanksgiving Day, Thursday, November 24th!

Year To Date Record: 34-38 ATS
Upset Record: 10-20, -$920

Week 12 NFL Matchup: Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions
Date: Thursday, November 24th, 12:30 ET
Location: Ford Field, Detroit, MI
NFL Lines: Green Bay -6
Over/Under 55.5
Week 12 NFL TV Schedule: FOX

If you’re a believer that the Packers are going to get picked off at some point over the course of the rest of this season, this is probably the game that you have to feel like it is going to happen in. This hasn’t been a perfect team by any stretch of the imagination, as its defense continues to struggle, and the ground game continues to really not look great. That being said, the Lions feel like they are playing every single game into the 60s, 70s, or even beyond, and we don’t see that changing with the Packers coming to town on the fast track of the turf in Motown. We more or less feel as though there isn’t a ‘total’ that could reasonably posted that will be high enough. QB Aaron Rodgers seems destined to throw for at least three TDs, and the same could probably be said for QB Matthew Stafford for the Lions. We’d be surprised if there weren’t at least 60 on the board when this one was said and done with. It’s probably the most square play on the board during the whole holiday weekend, but we are going to roll with it because we know that neither of these teams are going to leave anything on the table when it is said and done.

Week 12 NFL Pick: Green Bay/Detroit Over 55.5

Week 12 NFL Matchup: Miami Dolphins @ Dallas Cowboys
Date: Thursday, November 24th, 4:15 ET
Location: Dallas Cowboys Stadium, Arlington, TX
NFL Lines: Dallas -7
Over/Under 44
Week 12 NFL TV Schedule: CBS

The Cowboys and Dolphins have both been rolling right along, but neither has really been able to beat the best teams in the league consistently. The Fins are probably going to be playing all sorts of loose football, as this is the only chance that they will get to be on the national stage for the rest of the year. All of the pressure is on Dallas in this one to perform. Even if WR Miles Austin doesn’t play though, we still love the way that QB Tony Romo is spreading the ball all over the place to his tremendously talented receivers. Miami just seems to be doing this with smoke and mirrors, and it really hasn’t been able to severely challenge a team like this in a spot like this. We don’t think much of the narrow loss against the New York Giants before this winning streak, and in the end, we think that a weak secondary that hasn’t been challenged in about a month will get exploited. Romo will have a huge game, and Cowboys will win by two touchdowns.

Week 12 NFL Pick: Dallas -7

Week 12 NFL Matchup: San Francisco 49ers @ Baltimore Ravens
Date: Thursday, November 24th, 8:20 ET
Location: M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD
NFL Lines: Baltimore -3.5
Over/Under 38.5
Week 12 NFL TV Schedule: NFL Network

Dare we really say that the wrong team is favored in this game? The common thought is that the Niners are due for a letdown after a seemingly overachieving 9-1 start to the season, but what if they really are a legitimate Super Bowl contender this year? What we’ve seen out of the Ravens all year is a team that plays to the level of its opponent. The question is whether Baltimore really sees San Fran as a 9-1 team, or a team that hasn’t made the playoffs in seemingly forever and has no business being in the Super Bowl discussion this season. Time will surely tell, but one thing is for sure, and that’s that the Niners are going to bring it. They’re 9-1 SU and 9-0-1 ATS this year, and the best way to prove to the rest of the world that they are for real would be going on the road and taking down the Ravens, a team which is undefeated at home this year. We think that the outright upset is going to happen, but we’re going to take the 3.5 just in case.

Week 12 NFL Pick: San Francisco +3.5

Lou Palumbo is the founder and part owner of the Sports Handicapping Community. He's been writing and posting free picks and sports handicapping strategies on the Cappersinfo forums and website for 15 years now. He enjoys handicapping just as much as he did from the very first day he built the original Cappersinfo website.

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