NFL Odds: 2011 Week 15 Saturday NFL Picks Dallas vs. Tampa Bay

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The Dallas Cowboys have already watched this week, as the Atlanta Falcons have moved a step closer towards taking a playoff spot away from the rest of the field to get. They’ll really need to beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to keep the pressure on the rest of the pack on Saturday night.

Year To Date Record: 48-52 ATS
Upset Record: 12-27, -$1,330

Week 15 NFL Matchup: Dallas Cowboys @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Date: Saturday, December 17th, 8:20 ET
Location: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa Bay, FL
NFL Lines: Dallas -7
Over/Under 47.5
Week 15 NFL TV Schedule: NFL Network

Cowboys Notes: It’s not the fact THAT the Cowboys have been losing games that is so bothersome. It is the WAY that they are losing them. They had both the Arizona Cardinals and New York Giants dead to rights in the last two weeks, and winning those two games would have knocked both out of the playoff picture. Now all of a sudden, Dallas is in a position where it wouldn’t be in the playoffs if they started today, and a loss in this one, and just being alive in Week 17 is up in the air. QB Tony Romo is putting up the stats, but he just isn’t getting the job done when push comes to shove. Of course, over the course of the last two weeks, K Dan Bailey missed what would have been the game-winning field goal against Arizona and had what would’ve been the game-tying field goal against New York blocked.

Buccaneers Notes: Tampa Bay has some major, major defensive problems right now. The team has allowed 79 points in the last two weeks against two teams that aren’t going to be anywhere near the playoffs, and the end result is that Head Coach Raheem Morris might need to win this game to keep his job. Tampa Bay hasn’t won a game since going over to London to take on the Chicago Bears, and in that stretch, it is averaging being outscored by the score line of 32-17. That being said, the offense just looks pretty miserable right now, especially after turning the ball over seven times last week. QB Josh Freeman has been yanked in the fourth quarter in back to back weeks, and he has continually turned the ball over. He leads the NFL in picks, and he is killing Tampa Bay in his third year on the job.

The Final Word: These two teams both have played terrible defensive football of late, but we just don’t see how the offenses are going to combine for this many points. Too many drives get killed by stupid penalties and turnovers. We’re going to have a hard time picking out which team is going to cover the spread in this one, as we have no desire to back either team, but we have no problems taking the ‘under’, especially knowing that six of the eight meetings between these two over the last 20 years have resulted in ‘under’ contests.

Week 15 NFL Pick: Dallas/Tampa Bay Under 47.5

NFL Football Prediction: Dallas 23 – Tampa Bay 14

Lou Palumbo is the founder and part owner of the Sports Handicapping Community. He's been writing and posting free picks and sports handicapping strategies on the Cappersinfo forums and website for 15 years now. He enjoys handicapping just as much as he did from the very first day he built the original Cappersinfo website.

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