The Green Bay Packers get set to take to the playoffs for the first time this year when they engage in NFL betting action against the streaking New York Giants.
Year To Date Record: 59-62 ATS
Upset Record: 18-35, -$930
Divisional NFL Matchup: New York Giants @ Green Bay Packers
Date: Sunday, January 15th, 4:30 ET
Location: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
NFL Divisional Lines: Green Bay -9
Divisional NFL TV Schedule: FOX
Giants Notes: The Giants might only have 10 wins this year, including in the playoffs, but they have played one of the more impressive schedules. There were a lot of teams that would have been in the playoffs if they could have figured out how to beat New York this year, and that point really continued to be the case when the Atlanta Falcons came into the Meadowlands and got absolutely crushed by it last week. QB Eli Manning had a great season, throwing for just under 5,000 yards, but last week, it was a complete team effort. Manning had his three TDs, but the ground game came up with one of its better games of the season with 172 yards, most of which came from RBs Brandon Jacobs and Ahmad Bradshaw. The defense essentially pitched a shutout, as the two points that were allowed were obviously the offense’s transgressions. The secondary, which has been much maligned this season, allowed just 199 passing yards and two plays of 20+ yards all game long against the Falcons. The Packers ripped the G-Men to shreds the first time around, but this is a unit that absolutely continues to get better as the season has worn out.
Packers Notes: Green Bay has absolutely been the best team in football over the course of the last 25 weeks or so of NFL betting action, and it only has one loss in its last 21 games, that coming against the Kansas City Chiefs. The offense had a tremendous season under likely soon-to-be MVP QB Aaron Rodgers. Rodgers had one of the best seasons a signal caller ever had, and he would have absolutely won the MVP if not for the year that QB Drew Brees had. Rodgers had 4,643 passing yards and 45 TDs against six picks, and he posted the league’s best quarterback rating in history of 122.7. WR Greg Jennings is expected to be back, and he missed the final three games of the regular season when the offense wasn’t quite at its best. Jennings came up just short of 1,000 yards this year, while WR Jordy Nelson had 1,263 yards and 15 scores. If there are knacks on this team, they are on the ground offensively and through the air defensively. Green Bay hasn’t really been able to run out the clock on the ground all that much this year, as neither RB James Starks nor RB Ryan Grant were all that great this year, and the pass defense often allowed teams to make big time plays to erase leads in games. It hasn’t really cost the Packers yet this year, but those are the types of problems that see teams knocked out of the playoffs.
The Final Word: The first time around, these two teams played a great game. Manning led the troops down the field at the end of the game to tie, but Rodgers got the last laugh by leading the Pack to a game winning field goal. We tend to think that this is going to be the same sort of way that this one plays out. These two both have road wins in the last decade in the other’s home stadium in the postseason, including in the final game that QB Brett Favre ever played for the Packers. It was also the continuation of the magical season that those Giants had when they won the Super Bowl and beat the 18-0 new England Patriots. Many have drawn similarities between this team and that Giants team in ’07. We think that New York is good enough to win this game, but we don’t think that it will ultimately have quite enough.
Divisional NFL Pick: New York +9
NFL Football Prediction: Green Bay 31 – New York 30