NFL Odds: Week 14 Sunday Night Football Picks NYG @ DAL 12/11/11

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First place in the NFC East will be on the line on Sunday Night Football in Big D, and here at Cappers Info, we are making our NFL picks in the clash between the Dallas Cowboys and the New York Giants.

Year To Date Record: 45-47 ATS
Upset Record: 11-25, -$1,155

Week 14 NFL Matchup: New York Giants @ Dallas Cowboys
Date: Sunday, December 11th, 8:25 ET
Location: Dallas Cowboys Stadium, Arlington, TX
NFL Week 14 Lines: Dallas -3.5
Over/Under 48.5
Week 14 NFL TV Schedule: NBC

Giants Notes: The Giants have had some major defensive problems these last couple of weeks, as they have allowed 38 to the Green Bay Packers and 49 to the New Orleans Saints. They haven’t really been all that bad aside from that this year though, so don’t let that No. 28 ranking in total defense at 387.2 yards per game and No. 28 ranking in scoring at 26.2 points per game scare you. QB Eli Manning does a great job with this offense for the most part, as the unit is consistently scoring in the 20s. In fact, there are only four games all season long in which New York hasn’t scored at least 24 points, though two of those four games have come in divisional tussles. RB Brandon Jacobs is hurt with a hamstring injury, and he is questionable in this game, which will only further hurt an offense that ranks dead last in the league in rushing and has struggled on the ground all season long.

Cowboys Notes: Dallas knows that a win in this game could pretty much put the division race away. The Boys would be two up with three to play, and they have games over the course of the next two weeks against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Philadelphia Eagles, two teams which they should beat and beat handily. Then again, Dallas had no business losing last week to the Arizona Cardinals in overtime. This offense has looked questionable at best at times of late. The Cowboys are a team that you would figure would be putting up points in bunches this year, but the truth of the matter is that the squad has only topped 27 points once since October 23rd, and it has more games in the teens and below this year (four) than in the 30s and above (three). QB Tony Romo will get back the services of WR Miles Austin this week after he was out of the fold for the last few weeks with a hamstring injury, giving him one of the most lethal sets of receivers in the league with WR Laurent Robinson, WR Dez Bryant, and TE Jason Witten.

The Final Word: Though we know that the whole world is on the Cowboys and the ‘over’ in this one, we’re going to be the contrarians and go with the ‘under’. We just don’t like the way that Dallas’ offense has functioned over the last few weeks, and we don’t see this unit scoring in the 30s. If that’s the case, it’s going to be a difficult game to try to reach the ‘total’. We tend to think that Dallas just barely escapes this one.

Week 14 NFL Pick: New York/Dallas Under 48.5

NFL Football Prediction: Dallas 23 – New York 21

Lou Palumbo is the founder and part owner of the Sports Handicapping Community. He's been writing and posting free picks and sports handicapping strategies on the Cappersinfo forums and website for 15 years now. He enjoys handicapping just as much as he did from the very first day he built the original Cappersinfo website.

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