NFL Odds: Week 16 Sunday Night Football Picks CHI @ GB 12/25/11

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The Green Bay Packers can lock up the top seed in the NFC playoffs on Christmas night when they engage in NFL betting action against the Chicago Bears.

Year To Date Record: 54-55 ATS
Upset Record: 15-28, -$770

Week 16 NFL Matchup: Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers
Date: Sunday, December 25th, 8:25 ET
Location: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
NFL Week 16 Lines: Green Bay -12.5
Over/Under 43.5
Week 16 NFL TV Schedule: NBC

Bears Notes: A car dealership in the Windy City is willing to give away a million bucks in free cars if the Bears shut out the Packers. Yeah, and we believe in the Tooth Fairy, too. By all accounts, Chicago has been absolutely awful over the course of the last few weeks since losing QB Jay Cutler. Did you ever think that the Bears fans would be praying for Cutler back? QB Josh McCown is going to be taking snaps to start this game because QB Caleb Hanie has been terrible. That being said, the onus is going to be on the defense to at least remotely slow down the Packers’ potent offense. This unit is allowing 20.9 points per game this year, but last week’s 38-14 loss to the Seattle Seahawks was a bad, bad sign for the rest of the season. If this unit can’t figure out how to stop the Seahawks at home, it’s a wonder how in the heck it is going to stop Green Bay at Lambeau Field in primetime.

Packers Notes: The Packers are clearly coming off of their worst game in over a calendar year, as they were surprisingly beaten down by the Kansas City Chiefs last week at Arrowhead Stadium. Sure, the perfect season is said and done with, but there is still absolutely a chance to finish up the season at 18-1 and be known as one of the best teams in the history of the league. QB Aaron Rodgers had the worst game that has had in quite some time, and he might have opened up the door for the rest of the league to win the MVP Award. The real concern is that this offense really did look terrible last week without WR Greg Jennings. Rodgers at one point was 8-of-22 passing against a poor Kansas City defense, and if that keeps up in this game, there could be some real problems to contend with.

The Final Word: We’re not really all that keen about laying a dozen points, nor are we wild about taking Chicago until it proves that it can stay out of its own way. This team was absolutely slaughtered by the Seahawks, who really aren’t all that great. That being said, we’ll look for a creative way to bet this game. Eight straight between these teams have failed to reach the ‘total’, and if Rodgers can’t figure out how to do better than he did last week against a suspect secondary, there is no way that this one is getting into the 40s.

Week 16 NFL Pick: Chicago/Green Bay Under 43.5

NFL Football Prediction: Green Bay 24 – Chicago 13

Lou Palumbo is the founder and part owner of the Cappersinfo.com Sports Handicapping Community. He's been writing and posting free picks and sports handicapping strategies on the Cappersinfo forums and website for 15 years now. He enjoys handicapping just as much as he did from the very first day he built the original Cappersinfo website.

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