NFL Odds: Week 16 Thursday NFL Picks Houston vs. Indy 12/22/11

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For the time final time this season, the NFL Network will have on a fantastic Thursday Night Football encounter, and we are set to make our NFL picks in the duel between the Houston Texans and the Indianapolis Colts.

Year To Date Record: 54-54 ATS
Upset Record: 15-28, -$770

Week 16 NFL Matchup: Houston Texans @ Indianapolis Colts
Date: Thursday, December 22nd, 8:20 ET
Location: Lucas Oil Field, Indianapolis, IN
NFL Lines: Houston -6
Over/Under: 40
Week 16 NFL TV Schedule: NFL Network

Texans Notes: The Texans are still battling a slew of injuries right now, and they still really don’t look like a team that can almost control their own destiny for the top seed in the AFC. Houston had its chance last week, but it blew it against the Carolina Panthers. That being said, thanks to the rest of the carnage, the team is still two wins away from at least a first round bye in the AFC playoffs, and if the New England Patriots lose somewhere along the way as well, the Texans will be the top seed. WR Andre Johnson is sitting out yet another game with a hamstring injury, and he joins the likes of QB Matt Schaub, QB Matt Leinart, LB Mario Williams, and G Mike Brisiel that are all out of the fold for this one. QB TJ Yates had his worst game as a starter last week, getting picked apart by a Carolina secondary that, quite frankly, isn’t all that great. The good news though, is that the running game behind RBs Ben Tate and Arian Foster should have a field day against a defense that is as dreadful as it gets, especially against the run.

Colts Notes: We do give it up for the Colts last week for winning their first game of the year after 13 failed attempts. QB Dan Orlovsky, a former Houston backup, led the team to the victory, and he is at least putting in a good word to try to get a shot to at least compete for a job as a starting signal caller next year somewhere in the league. The running game really got going last week against the Tennessee Titans, which really helped as well, but the sledding is likely going to be a heck of a lot harder against a defense that ranks in the Top 5 in the league in a heck of a lot of categories. Of course, we have to wonder whether Jim Irsay and the entire Indianapolis contingent really wants to win this game. It is clear that the Colts have played better football of late, as they do have three straight covers under their belts. However, accidentally winning this one could send QB Andrew Luck elsewhere, as it doesn’t appear like either the St. Louis Rams or Minnesota Vikings are winning another game in these last two weeks, which could send Indy out of the top slot in the NFL Draft and cost it a ton in the future.

The Final Word: The world saw the Colts at their best and the Texans at their worst right at the same time on Sunday. However, it was a weird weekend in Week 14. The Texans, Ravens, Steelers, Broncos, Raiders, and Jets all lost, and that doesn’t mean that their seasons are all said and done with. For some reason, there is just some bias against this Houston team because of all of the injuries. No team in Houston has won a game in Indianapolis since 1992, and the Texans franchise is 0-9 all-time, whether at Lucas Oil Field or the RCA Dome. That all comes to a close on Thursday night, in what will also be the first win that Houston has ever had on a Thursday in team history.

Week 16 NFL Pick: Houston Texans -6

NFL Football Prediction: Houston 27 – Indianapolis 10

Lou Palumbo is the founder and part owner of the Sports Handicapping Community. He's been writing and posting free picks and sports handicapping strategies on the Cappersinfo forums and website for 15 years now. He enjoys handicapping just as much as he did from the very first day he built the original Cappersinfo website.

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