The final team of the year opens up its home schedule on Monday Night Football, and we are set to make our NFL picks for the clash between the New York Jets and the Miami Dolphins.
Year To Date Record: 25-16 ATS
Upset Record: 5-11, -$750
Week 5 NFL Matchup: Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets
Date: Monday, October 17th, 8:30 ET
Location: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
NFL Week 5 Lines: New York -6.5
Week 5 NFL TV Schedule: ESPN
Dolphins Notes: WR Brandon Marshall says that he is going to get thrown out of this game in the second quarter. Good for him. That’d probably be about the only emotions that the Dolphins have had this season. The bye week last week came just at the right time, as it gave two full weeks for QB Matt Moore to prepare as a starting quarterback after losing QB Chad Henne for the season. The Dolphins are only scoring 17.2 points per game this year, but the good news is that RB Daniel Thomas will be back in the fold this week after missing two of the first four games of the campaign. The defense has to man up as well, though, as this unit has allowed a putrid 26.0 points per game.
Jets Notes: This is as big of a game as the Jets will play this year, and the pressure is really starting to mound. Losing will leave New York three games out in the AFC East and a game outside of the postseason with a slew of teams in front of it. QB Mark Sanchez only has 1,171 passing yards and eight scores this year, and that’s bad news for a ground game that just doesn’t have the oomph that it normally does. RB LaDainian Tomlinson is battling a calf injury that might keep him out of MNF, while RB Shonn Greene just hasn’t figured out how to really get going.
The Final Word: We tend to think that both of these defenses are going to let down just a bit in this one. Three straight meetings before the 10-6 encounter at the end of last season had gone past the number, and all of them truly flew past the number as well. Seeing games in the 50s in this series is nothing out of the ordinary, and we could see that being the case again in this one.
Week 5 NFL Pick: New York/Miami Over 42.5
NFL Football Prediction: New York 27 – Miami 21