Week 11 (11/14/11) Monday Night Football Picks (KC @ NE)

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Two teams that know all about each other and have a slew of ties to one another meet up on Monday Night Football this week, and we are set to make our pro football picks in the duel between the New England Patriots and the Kansas City Chiefs.

Year To Date Record: 30-35 ATS
Upset Record: 10-18, -$720

Week 11 NFL Matchup: Kansas City Chiefs @ New England Patriots
Date: Monday, November 21st, 8:30 ET
Location: Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, MA
NFL Week 11 Lines: New England -14.5
Over/Under 46.5
Week 11 NFL TV Schedule: ESPN

Chiefs Notes: The quantity of injuries that this Kansas City team has endured this year should be outlawed by federal law. First it was S Eric Berry, then it was RB Jamaal Charles, and now it’s QB Matt Cassel. Poor Cassel broke a bone in his hand last week, which will keep him out of his first game back at Gillette Stadium since playing for the Patriots. Instead, QB Tyler Palko will be making his first career start on the road on Monday Night Football against the most storied franchise in the last 15 years in the NFL. Yikes. RB Jackie Battle and RB Dexter McCluster had both better run the heck out of the football to have any chance in this one, or the defense had better bring its best game of the season, or the Chiefs could get run right out of the building.

Patriots Notes: Still, New England looks soft, and it still has all of the same problems now that the Jets couldn’t figure out how to expose last week on Sunday Night Football. Here’s the worse news, though. If there is a man out there that can figure out this offense more efficiently than anyone else in the game, it is probably Kansas City DC Romeo Crennel, who worked his defense against the Brady offense every day in practice for years before he left to become the head coach of the Cleveland Browns. QB Tom Brady needs just under 300 passing yards to become the league’s leading passer this year, which shouldn’t be a problem for a man who is averaging over 330 yards per game through the air. There are still questions on the ground, especially after RB BenJarvus Green-Ellis had just eight yards on eight carries last week.

The Final Word: Just like last week when no one was convinced that the Vikings could hang with the Packers and we sided (incorrectly, mind you) with Minnesota, we’re going to do the same thing this week with KC. The Chiefs, even with Palko at quarterback, do have a good enough offense to at least remotely control the clock in this game, and when push comes to shove, that might be enough to keep them within two TDs or so at the death.

Week 11 NFL Pick: Kansas City +14.5

NFL Football Prediction: New England 27 – Kansas City 17

Lou Palumbo is the founder and part owner of the Cappersinfo.com Sports Handicapping Community. He's been writing and posting free picks and sports handicapping strategies on the Cappersinfo forums and website for 15 years now. He enjoys handicapping just as much as he did from the very first day he built the original Cappersinfo website.

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