Week 16 (12/26/11) Monday Night Football Picks Atlanta @ New Orleans

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The NFC South title could be on the line in the final Monday Night Football betting battle of the season, as the New Orleans Saints take on the Atlanta Falcons at the Superdome.

Year To Date Record: 54-55 ATS
Upset Record: 15-28, -$770

Week 16 NFL Matchup: Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints
Date: Monday, December 26th, 8:30 ET
Location: Louisiana Superdome, New Orleans, LA
NFL Week 16 Lines: New Orleans -7
Over/Under 52.5
Week 16 NFL TV Schedule: ESPN

Falcons Notes: Atlanta really has to be kicking itself for the way that it played in the first meeting of the year between these two teams. The Falcons had to claw back from two scores down in the fourth quarter just to force overtime, and in the end, a very questionable call to go for it on 4th and inches from inside its own territory proved to backfire. The Saints went on to win the game, and Atlanta has been chasing the NFC South lead ever since that point. Now, it needs a win in this one, a win in Week 17, and a New Orleans loss in Week 17 to win the division title. The Falcons also still need a win to get into the playoffs, and losing this one would be very bad news for their chances in Week 17 with a bunch of teams trying to get their Wild Card slot. WR Julio Jones has really come on strong over the course of the last few weeks, proving to be the precise deep threat that Atlanta was hoping for when it traded a slew of picks to get his services. QB Matt Ryan, as a result, has put together some great games, and with his poise in the pocket, he can really take this team a long, long way.

Saints Notes: Many think that New Orleans is as good as it gets this year in the NFL betting world, as the team has only been beaten three times, one of which was a very excusable defeat at the Green Bay Packers on the first night of the season. QB Drew Brees could very well break the record for the most passing yards in a season, and if he does that, he will also become the first quarterback in NFL history to throw for at least 5,000 yards in two different seasons in his career. Everything is going right at this point with this team, and there is no doubt that it is a dangerous squad, but as we have seen in recent weeks against the Tennessee Titans and against these Falcons, they definitely can be had, especially defensively, where they are allowing 21.9 points per game.

The Final Word: This one could be an epic battle when push comes to shove. The Saints are going to score their points, but we tend to think that the Falcons will as well. Laying the seven seems like the easy way out, but instead, we are going to take the points and hope that Atlanta can at least make this contest a lot closer than the many think. Remember that the Falcons came into the Superdome a year ago and posted a victory that ultimately propelled them to the No. 1 seed in the NFC. Don’t be shocked if they can at least keep this one close yet again.

Week 16 NFL Pick: Atlanta +7

NFL Football Prediction: New Orleans 31 – Atlanta 30

Lou Palumbo is the founder and part owner of the Cappersinfo.com Sports Handicapping Community. He's been writing and posting free picks and sports handicapping strategies on the Cappersinfo forums and website for 15 years now. He enjoys handicapping just as much as he did from the very first day he built the original Cappersinfo website.

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