Posts Tagged ‘Kentucky Derby betting’

April 30th, 2010 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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Kentucky Derby Picks

Confused with what to do with the 20 horse field in the Kentucky Derby this year? No worries! Cappers Info has you covered! Here is a look at the four horses that we are projecting out of this crop of three year olds to be the ones that are on the board at the end of Saturday afternoon's big race at Churchill Downs!

Paddy O'Prado (+1600 at BetUS Sportsbook - 100% Bonus) – A little luck of the Irish, shall we? The big grey colt won't be one to miss on the track on Saturday afternoon, as he'll be the grey blur that is always just on the outside of your television screen that starts to inch up towards the front of the pack as a stalker for the duration of the race. Unfortunately, we'd love to make Paddy O'Prado the winner of this race, but we just don't believe that he has the tools to get all the way to the front. As a traditional Irish turf horse though, running the full 1 1/4 miles isn't going to be an issue whatsoever. It's going to be hard for us to take this horse off of the board.

Mission Impazible (+2000 at BetUS Sportsbook - 100% Bonus) – Every year it feels like there's a horse that comes out of nowhere in the closing furlong or so that finds his way onto the board that screws up all of the odds. Last year, Mine That Bird did just that and more, as he actually won the race from well off the pace and posted the second highest "To Win" price that the Derby has ever seen. Mission Impazible won't be a horse that does all of that damage, but he can make an impact from the parking lot in this one if the horses around him aren't careful.

Dublin (+1200 at BetUS Sportsbook - 100% Bonus) – Dublin has been a bridesmaid a number of times, but has never quite had the opportunity to be a bride. Champion trainer D. Wayne Lukas knows that he has a very dangerous horse in this race, as Dublin has never gone off at less than 9/2 in any race that he has run. That won't be the case at the Derby, as he'll probably be one of the mid-range choices. Dublin feels like he finishes on the board in every race that he runs, and this probably won't be an exception. Unlike some other colts who ran against weaker fields, Dublin has taken on all challengers. Though he has come up short every time to date, this could be his race.

Lookin At Lucky (+375 at BetUS Sportsbook - 100% Bonus) – Lookin At Lucky was always on the radar, but he was never considered the real favorite to win this race until previous favorite Eskendereya was scratched last week. Now all of a sudden, people are paying attention to the horse that won five stakes races in preparation for the Kentucky Derby. Lookin At Lucky is the only $1M horse in this field, which immediately gives him a ton of credibility. Now all that has to happen is that he has to find a way to do something that no horse has done since 1986: Win from the rail. If Lookin At Lucky can have a relatively clean ride, he is going to be the horse to beat on Saturday afternoon.

Cappers Info Superfecta  – #1 Lookin At Lucky – #17 Dublin – #14 Mission Impazible – #10 Paddy O'Prado

 
April 28th, 2010 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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Click Here For Free 2010 Kentucky Derby Picks

Last year, Mine That Bird stole the Kentucky Derby with jockey Calvin Borel riding. No one saw the three year old colt sneak between horses to jolt to the front of the crowded pack of 20 horses, just like no one at the betting mutuels saw it coming either. Mine That Bird cashed in for his horse racing betting fans at a cool 50.60-1, making him the second longest shot to ever win the Run for the Roses.

Giacomo pulled off a very similar feat in 2005, running from the far outside for a late close on what was supposed to be an incredible field of three year olds. He went off at 50.30-1 for a similar payout.

We don't expect you to remember the longest shot ever to win the Derby, Donerail back in 1913 (91.45-1).

On the day that the posts are drawn for the 136th Kentucky Derby, we have to go back and ponder why these major upsets are occurring in the first leg of this Triple Crown.

We were given a sharp dose of reality once again when Eskendereya was scratched from this year's Derby. Many thought that he was going to go off as a supreme favorite to win the race. Instead, Lookin At Lucky, a horse that was nearly perfect as a two year old but didn't perform all that well in his prep races, will most likely take the honors as the horse to beat.

This year's field will probably include a real mish-mosh of horses, including a filly that had mixed results against her own breed (Devil May Care), a trio of horses that have only been one hit wonders (Endorsement at the Sunland Derby, Ice Box at the Florida Derby, and Line of David at the Arkansas Derby), a horse that made almost all of its money as a two year old and has been awful since turning three (Homeboykris), a horse that has been the favorite nearly every time out yet has underachieved (Dublin), and even a horse that only has one career race under his belt on dirt… and he lost by 34 lengths (Dean's Kitten).

Yes, it's becoming more and more apparent that the so-called "Sport of Kings" is evolving into a crapshoot where we go to the track and try our best to handicap out horses that have been the picture of inconsistency.

However, that doesn't mean that the oddsmakers aren't going to throw a few curveballs on the board that could be incredibly profitable on Saturday afternoon. Here at Cappers Info, we'll have our eyes glued to all of the odds and the racing ins and outs for Saturday's Run for the Roses, so be sure to check back to the Cappers Info blog as the weekend draws nearer!

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