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Archive for May, 2010

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May 13th, 2010 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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If it's a Friday night, that can only mean more Arena Football League betting action for you to sink your teeth into! The Jacksonville Sharks return home to face off with the Dallas Vigilantes in one of the prime battles of the weekend.

Dallas Vigilantes (+5.5) @ Jacksonville Sharks
Friday, May 14th
7:35 ET Veterans Memorial Arena

Dallas Notes: This could be a real make or break week for the Vigilantes. Dallas is coming off of its most embarrassing loss of the season, a 70-59 defeat to the previously winless Orlando Predators. The wheels just fell apart in the second half for the Vigilantes, who were outscored 26-6 in the fourth quarter after trading scores the entire third quarter. QB Collin Drafts has completed a shade under 60 percent of his passes this year with 14 TDs against four picks. Considering the fact that Drafts has only played in three games though, the four INTs is really not great in this league. For a team that was slated to have the best defense in the league on paper, five turnovers in four games and allowing 62.3 points per game in three losses just isn't going to cut it.

Jacksonville Notes: It might've taken a tad bit of luck and some not-so-stellar officiating, but the Sharks used five Tampa Bay turnovers to walk out of the St. Pete Times Forum with a 46-43 victory. For HC Les Moss, his team is off to a 4-1 start to the year with two of those wins coming on the road. This will be the most interesting home task to date, as Dallas is most likely significantly better than a 1-3 record would indicate. For as long as QB Aaron Garcia is upright, the Sharks' offense has a very explosive side to it. Yes, throwing eight INTs is a sin in five games for the long-time AFL quarterback, but 28 touchdown passes is very solid. Keep an eye on WR Jomo Wilson, who has 39 catches for 418 yards and nine TDs on the season. The key to victory is a solid defense, though. Jacksonville has nine sacks, five picks, and seven recovered fumbles this year, and has held three of its five foes under 45 points.

The Final Word: Dallas is in a boatload of trouble on the road on Friday night. The Vigilantes are playing like a team that is disinterested week in and week out. On the contrary, Jacksonville is playing with a fire in its belly, and this seems like a road block that just won't be beaten. However, we're still going to play on Dallas for one more week out of sheer desperation. The way that Jacksonville plays football, a back and forth game that is ultimately decided by a score one way or the other is most likely in the cards. We think that home field advantage will still carry Jacksonville to a narrow victory, though.

Prediction: Jacksonville 52 – Dallas 50

Friday Night Week 7 AFL Card
Dallas (+5.5) @ Jacksonville

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May 13th, 2010 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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In what could amount to be the last game that F LeBron James ever plays as a Cleveland Cavalier, the Boston Celtics will look to eliminate the #1 seed in the Eastern Conference in an NBA playoff betting battle on Thursday night.

Cleveland Cavaliers @ Boston Celtics (-1)
Thursday May 13th, 2010 
8:00 ET, TD Banknorth Garden

Cleveland Notes: Right now, the Cavaliers are in for a very scary proposition. In the event that they lose Game 6 on Thursday night, James is a legitimate threat to leave the team and exercise his options as a free agent for next season. LeBron had a miserable Game 5 on Tuesday night at Quicken Loans Arena, scoring just 15 points on 3/14 shooting with six boards and seven assists. Only C Shaquille O'Neal scored more than 20 points for HC Mike Brown's team. Gs Anthony Parker and Mo Williams were virtually non-existent yet again in Game 5, as the two only combined to score 23 points. F Antawn Jamison, who may also be playing his final game as a Cavalier on Thursday, only scored nine. Cleveland only pulled down 31 rebounds, one of its lowest totals of the entire season.

Boston Notes: Game 5 was most certainly one of the best displays by an underdog road team in these playoffs . It wasn't the greatest game in the world for Boston's newest sweethearts, G Rajon Rondo (16 points, seven assists), but it was a fantastic one for some of the old guard players that helped lead the C's to a championship a few years ago. G Ray Allen led all scorers with 25 points, including shooting 6/9 from beyond the arc. F Paul Pierce scored 21 to go with 11 boards and seven assists in what amounted to be his best game in the playoffs to date. F Kevin Garnett chipped in 18 points and six boards. As a team, Boston shot a blistering 55.0 percent from the floor and 53.3 percent from downtown. The Celtics also won the rebounding edge 41-31 and committed seven fewer turnovers.

NBA Betting Odds: Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Boston Celtics Game 6

Sportsbook
Total
JustBet Sportsbook
+1
-1
196
Diamond Sportsbook
+1
-1
196.5
BetUS Sportsbook
+1
-1
196

Trends of Note: The Cavaliers have one brand new trend going for them that they don't get to exorcize often. They are 4-1 ATS in their L/5 games following a home defeat of at least ten points. If that trend doesn't continue tonight, their 2009-10 season will come to a close and LeBron may be departing with it. Cleveland has yet to cover a spread in the playoffs when playing on one day of rest (0-6) and is 2-9 ATS in its L/11 games against teams with a winning record. The C's are now 17-8 ATS in their L/25 games as favorites of less than five points, and even though they are just 7-15 ATS in their L/22 Eastern Conference Semifinal affairs, they have both covered and won three of the L/4 in this series.

The Final Word: Boston has to remember what it went through last season when it had a 3-2 series lead against the Orlando Magic. The situation was slightly different, as Game 6 was in Orlando, while Game 7 was in Beantown. C's fans aren't going to want to remember back to back seasons as "What could've been" if they had held serve on their home court. The Celtics just won't let that happen tonight. Even though this isn't really a Game 7, the atmosphere is going to have to feel as such for the hosts, as the prospects of winning a Game 7 at Quicken Loans Arena, especially after already winning two games there in this series seems grim at best. The Cavaliers look like a team that has given up, and unless LeBron puts together another one of his patented superhuman efforts, this could be the last time we see him suit it up for the Cavs.

Prediction: Boston 95 – Cleveland 89

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May 9th, 2010 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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It's a do-or-die situation for the Atlanta Hawks on Monday night, as they engage in battle with the Orlando Magic in the fourth game of this best-of-seven NBA playoff betting affair.

Orlando Magic (-5.5) @ Atlanta Hawks
Monday May 10th, 2010 
8:00 ET, Philips Arena

Orlando Notes: The Magic have simply been the dominant team in this series, outscoring the Hawks by nearly 100 points in three games. The team has had at least two 20+ point scorers in every game in this series, including putting four at that level in Game 2. The Magic won each quarter in Game 3 by at least five points in yet another truly amazing display. C Dwight Howard is proving that he just doesn't have an equal in this series, scoring an average of 23.7 points and bringing in 15.0 rebounds per game against Atlanta after going four games without a double-double against Charlotte. Unlike in that first round series against the Bobcats, HC Stan Van Gundy has been able to use his big man to the fullest extent due to the fact that he has stayed out of major foul difficulties.

Atlanta Notes: It's hard to love anything that the Hawks are doing right now. They look like a team that has just totally given up on the season. G Mike Bibby has been totally MIA during this entire series, as he has scored just 12 total points and given out six assists in the three games. G Joe Johnson hasn't put it together quite yet in a game either. In Game 3, he shot just 3/15 from the floor and scored eight points. Obviously it goes without saying, but another game like that will be the last in Atlanta's season. F Josh Smith is having a respectable series for Atlanta, as he has scored at least 14 points in all three games and is coming off of a double-double in Game 3. The Hawks haven't shot better than 41% in any of the NBA betting battles against the Magic, which just isn't going to cut it.

NBA Betting Odds: Orlando Magic vs. Atlanta Hawks Game 4

Sportsbook
Total
JustBet Sportsbook
-5.5
+5.5
193
Diamond Sportsbook
-6
+6
194
BetUS Sportsbook
-5.5
+5.5
193.5

Trends of Note: Dating back to the regular season, the Magic have won 13 straight games, and they are 11-2 ATS in those 13. They've outscored their opponents by over 17 points per game in this postseason and just don't look beatable right now. Orlando is 45-22 ATS in its L/67 games against the Eastern Conference and 35-17-1 ATS in its L/53 games as a favorite. The Hawks are just 1-10-1 ATS in their L/12 playoff games as underdogs and have yet to cover a game in these playoffs as pups (0-4 SU and ATS). Atlanta is 3-0-1 ATS in its L/4 games following a double digit home loss, but this circumstance is totally different from the average situation.

The Final Word: It may be do-or-die time for the Hawks, but there just isn't any hope of survival for much longer for them. This is a team that looks disoriented on the court, and it just isn't trying hard. There could be a level of complacency for the Magic, but in all likelihood, another romp is going to be in the cards once again.

Prediction: Orlando 105 – Atlanta 92

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May 6th, 2010 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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Arena Football betting is back on Friday night, and fans can dig into another great football betting affair when the Chicago Rush take on the Milwaukee Iron as a part of a four-pack of games.

Chicago Rush @ Milwaukee Iron (-2.5)
Friday, May 7th
8:30 ET Bradley Center

Chicago Notes: The Rush were the team that enjoyed the bye week in the fifth week of AFL betting action. HC Mike Hohensee has the only undefeated team in the league left standing, but he knows that his team is going to have to play consistent football to keep that going. QB Russ Michna and the offense certainly aren't struggling. Michna has completed 65.8 percent of his passes this year with 27 touchdowns against three picks. The 9/1 TD/INT ratio is very impressive and amongst the best in the league. His favorites receivers are former Kansas City Chiefs WR Samie Parker (24 catches, 409 yards, 7 TDs), and WR Nichiren Flowers (24 catches, 405 yards, 9 TDs). The defense has picked off a whopping 11 passes, which is more than any other team has had in terms of total forced turnovers. The Rush have scored at least 59 points in all of their games and have yet to allow more than 56.

Milwaukee Notes: When you're talking about the standard of quarterbacks in the AFL, it just doesn't get any better than QB Chris Greisen. The former Georgia Force star has connected on 71.7 percent of his passes and has been absolutely flawless in terms of TD/INT ratio at 32/0. If he keeps up on this pace this year, Greisen will shatter the AFL record for touchdown passes in a season. The receiving trio of Nate Forse (597 yards, 11 TDs), Tiger Jones (406 yards, 12 TDs), and Damian Harrell (277 yards, 8 TDs) is simply the best in the league. Though the Iron have forced eight turnovers in four games, they have allowed at least 60 points in three of their four games. However, when you score an average of 69.5 points per game, you can afford to give up a few scores.

The Final Word: Even though the Rush are the undefeated team in this game, they're probably not the better squad. The Iron have a more deadly offense with better weapons, and unless the Chicago secondary can take advantage of Greisen the same way that that unit has taken care of some of the lesser quarterbacks in this league, this game could get very, very ugly. Milwaukee is coming off of its first loss of the year at Alabama, and it would love nothing more than to get back in the win column and take over first place in the National Conference.

Prediction: Milwaukee 76 – Chicago 60

 

Friday Night Week 6 AFL Card
Milwaukee (-2.5) vs. Chicago
Dallas (-10.5) vs. Orlando

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May 6th, 2010 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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In Game 2 of the Eastern Conference semifinals at Quicken Loans Arena, Boston Celtics president of basketball operations, Danny Ainge decided that it would be a great idea to toss a towel in the air during a free throw taken by Cleveland Cavaliers F JJ Hickson. The move cost him $25,000 in fines from the NBA. Now, the two teams will take the court in NBA betting action once again for Game 3 at Boston Garden on Friday night.

 

Cleveland Cavaliers (-1) @ Boston Celtics
Thursday May 7th, 2010
7:00 ET, TD Banknorth Garden

Cleveland Notes: Do the Cavs have the ability to flip the switch at this point? They were jostled around a bit in Game 1 before storming back from a late deficit to knock off Boston in Game 1, but were pummeled into submission in a Game 2 defeat at "The Q." Aside from F LeBron James, who scored a pedestrian 24 points, no one else really put together a strong effort for the #1 seed in the Eastern Conference. F Antawn Jamison scored 16, while F JJ Hickson put up a 13 point effort off of the bench. Aside from that though, no one really came to play. HC Mike Brown knows that all of the role players around his franchise star need to pick up their play, or Cleveland is going to fall behind 2-1 in this best of seven set.

Boston Notes: The Celtics did what they had to do in Game 2 and took home court advantage away from the Cavs. However, holding serve at Boston Garden has been difficult all year, as the C's went just 12-28-1 ATS there in the regular season. All five starters scored in double digits for Boston in Game 2, and the hero once again was G Rajon Rondo, who had 13 points to go with 19 assists. He now has 40 points and 31 helpers from the two games in Cleveland, clearly making him the MVP of HC Doc Rivers' squad heading back to Beantown. F Kevin Garnett, who has scored 18 points and ripped down ten rebounds in each of the first two games of this series, is listed as questionable for Friday night's Game 3 due to a strained foot that has held him out of practice.

NBA Betting Odds: Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Boston Celtics Game 3

Sportsbook
Total
JustBet Sportsbook
-1
+1
191
Diamond Sportsbook
-1
+1
191
BetUS Sportsbook
-1
+1
191

Trends of Note: The Cavaliers are still a solid 11-4 ATS in their L/15 duels with Boston, including posting a 7-3 ATS mark in Beantown in their L/10 visits. The C's are just 3-7 ATS in their L/10 games following an outing in which they scored at least 100 points, but they're an amazing 8-2-1 ATS in their L/11 games as home underdogs. Cleveland is 8-2 ATS in its L/10 playoff games as favorites of less than five points and is 18-7-1 ATS in its L/26 Eastern Conference semifinal battles. The Cavs are also a rock solid 12-5 ATS in their L/17 NBA betting battles coming off of at least three days of rest.

The Final Word: This is the game that the Cavaliers really have to go ahead and flip the switch. They're clearly the superior team in this series at least in terms of what's on paper, and even though the Celtics look like they're going to be an annoyance in this series, they still shouldn't be a huge issue. Cleveland can expect a massive game out of King James in his efforts to bring his city a championship before his potential free agency this summer. Look for the Cavs to take back home court advantage by thumping Boston on its home court on Friday night.

Prediction: Cleveland 99 – Boston 87

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May 5th, 2010 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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After the hosts won Game 1 of the Western Conference semifinals, NBA playoff betting action continues on Wednesday night with a duel in the desert between the San Antonio Spurs and the Phoenix Suns.

San Antonio Spurs @ Phoenix Suns (-2.5)

San Antonio Notes: HC Gregg Popovich can't be happy with the fact that he really only had three contributors in Monday night's Game 1 loss to the Suns. G Manu Ginobili (27), G Tony Parker (26), and F Tim Duncan (20) all reached the 20+ point plateau on the night, but no one else scored more than G George Hill, who netted just nine points on 2/9 shooting. The biggest disappointment has been F Richard Jefferson, who only took three shots for the entire game in a series that should suit him quite well. The former New Jersey Net has only averaged 8.6 points per game in the playoffs, and it's starting to look more and more like he is going to just be a non-factor for the silver and black.

Phoenix Notes: The Suns didn't really get much more than three contributors either in Game 1, but the trio of G Steve Nash, G Jason Richardson, and F Amare Stoudemire didn't need much help. Nash was particularly effective at cutting into open space and taking a free shot, which resulted in him scoring 33 points. The Canadian guard has averaged 17.6 points and 9.8 assists per game during the playoffs. Richardson just keeps hitting outside shots, which makes the Phoenix a very, very dangerous club, particularly in transition. He is shooting 51.0 percent from beyond the arc in these playoffs, and is leading the team in scoring at 24.0 points per game. Stoudemire finally logged his first double-double of the playoffs in Game 1 against the Spurs. Even though he hasn't had a truly dominating performance yet in the postseason, there's no shame in averaging 20.9 points and 6.6 rebounds per night.

 

NBA Betting Odds: San Antonio Spurs vs. Phoenix Suns

BetUS Sportsbook – Phoenix -2.5 (205.5)
BoDog Sportsbook – Phoenix -3 -105 (205)
Diamond Sportsbook – Phoenix -2.5 (205.5)

 

Trends of Note: The Suns are now 4-0 SU and ATS this season against San Antonio. They're also a perfect 4-0 SU and ATS when scoring more than 100 points in a game in the playoffs. The Spurs are only 1-3 SU and ATS on the road in the postseason. Both teams are just red hot overall right now, as Phoenix is 30-11-1 ATS in its L/42 games overall, while San Antonio is 21-10-1 ATS in its L/32 overall. The Suns are 39-19-2 ATS in their L/60 attempts as home favorites. The Spurs are just 1-7 ATS in their L/8 playoff games as underdogs.

The Final Word: This is a game that Phoenix absolutely cannot lose, and both teams know it. San Antonio knows that it has the ability to run with the Suns, but it would really prefer not to, especially at that quick of a tempo. However, Nash just doesn't have anyone that can guard him right now, and for as long as he has the ability to drive into open areas to pull up for easy shots and have the option to kick it out to Richardson for threes, this is going to be a very, very tough team to beat. The Spurs have the horses to win games in this series, but stealing at game at US Airways Arena seems to be more of a pipe dream right now than a reasonable reality.

Prediction: Phoenix 106 – San Antonio 99

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