Archive for December 27th, 2010

December 27th, 2010 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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Making college football bowl picks on the Insight Bowl could be intimidating, as this matchup between the Iowa Hawkeyes and the Missouri Tigers is one with a ton of ins and outs that could trip you up. However, we have all of the news and notes, along with the stats and analysis in this one to point you in the right direction for your Insight Bowl picks!

Insight Bowl Matchup: Missouri Tigers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes
Date: Tuesday, December 28th, 10:00 ET
Location: Sun Devil Stadium, Tempe, AZ
Insight Bowl Line: Missouri -2.5
Over/Under 46.5

Tigers Notes: The Tigers have had a fantastic year, but they might be up against it in the Insight Bowl against a hungry Iowa team with a lot to prove. This was a team that was really built on its defense, something that you don't normally see in the Big XII, especially this year with any sort of success. No one in Columbia probably thought that Mizzou was going to hold teams to 15.2 points per game this year, but this was the difference for a team that probably underachieved on the other side of the ball when push came to shove. Sure, the Tigers averaged 30.3 points per game, but we're talking about a squad that didn't have a 500 yard rusher, a 3,000 yard passer, or a 1,000 yard receiver all season long. RB De'Vion Moore was the leading rusher at 485 yards with eight scores, but the man that carried the ball the most this year was QB Blaine Gabbert. Gabbert had 99 rushes for 239 yards and four scores. He only threw for 2,752 yards and 15 TDs this season, but he was only picked off seven times as well. Gabbert was through to be a shoe in for a 3,000 yard season, but he just never really got going and was never able to get the ball up the field all that much. The top two receivers on the team, WR TJ Moe and WR Michael Egnew only averaged 11.6 and 8.4 yards per reception. Yes, they had a combined 160 catches, but these aren't the types of numbers that the 'Zou figured to put up this year.

Hawkeyes Notes: The big problem for the Hawkeyes in this one is that they have lost the services of RB Adam Robinson and WR Derrell Johnson-Koulianos in this one. Between these two players, Iowa is losing 2,016 yards between rushing and receiving and 21 TDs. The good news is that RB Marcus Coker has had some good games this year and has averaged 5.0 yards per carry. WR Marvin McNutt also had a great year on the outside, catching 51 balls for 798 yards and eight TDs. QB Ricky Stanzi is going to be finishing up a fantastic career at Iowa, and many think that he is going to go down as the best signal caller in the history of this program. In 2.5 years as a starter, Stanzi didn't lose his first game until the third week of this season. He threw for 2,804 yards this year and had 28 TDs against just four picks, and he had one of the best TD/INT ratios in the entire country. Efficiency is the key of this Iowa offense, as keeping the ball is really the road to success. The Hawkeyes had some major ups and downs this year, but when they were on defensively, they were virtually impossible to score on. They held four of their first five foes to seven points or fewer, and they had two more games over the course of the year in which they kept teams to 13 points or fewer. There were some real duds, though, and if this unit puts up one of those blanks in this one, it is going to be a long, uphill climb to be able to take down the Tigers. Still, for a unit that allowed just 312.5 yards per game this year, one of the best 'D's that the Big Ten had to offer isn't one to overlook.

The Final Word: The Insight Bowl betting lines have moved just a bit in Missouri's favor after the notice of the suspensions. Perhaps against a team that didn't quite play as well on the defensive side of the ball, the Hawkeyes would be the pick in this one. However, they just don't have enough options available here on offense to be able to score enough points to win this game. If Gabbert and company can get to 24 in this one, that should be more than enough to beat the Insight Bowl odds.

Insight Bowl Free Pick: Missouri -2.5
Insight Bowl Prediction: Missouri 24 – Iowa 13

 
December 27th, 2010 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor
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The ACC and Big East will send representatives to the Champs Sports Bowl on Tuesday night in the Sunshine State, as the NC State Wolfpack will duke it out with the West Virginia Mountaineers. Which way will this one go? Check out our Champs Sports Bowl picks for December 28th!

Champs Sports Bowl Matchup: West Virginia Mountaineers vs. NC State Wolfpack
Date: Tuesday, December 28th, 6:30 ET
Location: Florida Citrus Bowl, Orlando, FL
Champs Sports Bowl Line: West Virginia -2.5
Over/Under 48.5

Mountaineers Notes: The Mountaineers were up and down all season long, and though they were probably the best team in the Big East this year in terms of talent, they lost some key games that cost them a chance to play in the BCS once again. West Virginia had one of the best defenses in the country, ranking No. 2 in total defense, rush defense, and scoring defense. This was the only team in the land that held every single opponent to 21 points or fewer on the campaign. On the other side of the ball, the offense has really struggled. NCAA football betting fans have really gotten accustomed to the play of those streaking offenses led by QB Pat White and his immediate successors, where points were scored in bunches. Instead, this year, West Virginia has really slowed things down, largely due to the fact that QB Geno Smith is more of a pocket passer than those in the past. Smith was really expected to struggle as a passer, but that really hasn't been the case this year. He threw for 2,567 yards and 23 TDs, and he only threw six picks in the entire 12 game run. He really got a great contribution this year from WR Tavon Austin. The frosh caught 53 passes for 757 yards and eight scores. The two men that really let this offense down this year were RB Noel Devine and WR Jock Sanders. Sanders has only caught 64 passes for 670 yards and four TDs, and he only had 75 yards and a score on the ground. He has really grown accustomed to taking the ball on the ground and in the air a ton of times per game, but he just hasn't had those explosive games like over the course of the last few seasons. Devine was supposed to contend for a Heisman Trophy this year and was seemingly a lock to rush for at least 1,500 yards and average over six yards per carry. However, running for 886 yards and six TDs seems like a waste for a man that really could be one of the most explosive in college football.

Wolfpack Notes: NC State really had a chance to go to the ACC Championship Game for the first time in team history, but it squandered the chance with two bad losses at the end of the campaign. This was a significantly different team from that of West Virginia, as this was an offense that really had to pick up the slack for a defense that was questionable at times. When push came to shove, this unit did only allow 334.4 yards per game, ranking No. 30 in major college football, and conceding 22.5 points per game was one of the better marks in the ACC. However, giving up a total of 63 points over the course of the last two games of the season really proved to be fatal for a team that didn't play well outside of Raleigh. QB Russell Wilson set a record as a freshman for the most consecutive passes without a pick, but he was terrible at times this year, throwing 14 INTs. Now a junior, Wilson threw for 3,288 yards and 26 scores on the campaign, and he also added nine scores on the ground. He was the real MVP of the team, handling the football over 600 times on the season, and there is no doubt that he will have at least 40 touches in the Champs Sports Bowl. His top target was WR Owen Spencer this year, who caught 57 passes for 868 yards and four scores. However, there was no receiver that had more TD receptions this year. RB Mustafa Greene needs to get something done on the ground to keep this offense well balanced. He rumbled for just 584 yards in his freshman campaign and scored just four times on the ground.

The Final Word: The Wolfpack just don't have enough horses on offense to keep up with a team that was really well balanced for most of the year, especially on defense. Don't be shocked if the Mountaineers frustrate the heck out of Wilson and force him into some turnovers, and if that's the case, NC State won't find a way to beat the NCAA football lines in this one.

Champs Sports Bowl Free Pick: West Virginia -2.5
Champs Sports Bowl Prediction: West Virginia 23 – NC State 19