Archive for April 3rd, 2011

April 3rd, 2011 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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And then there were two… The Butler Bulldogs and the Connecticut Huskies are the only two teams that are left standing here in the NCAA Tournament, and after 66 previous games and eliminations, only one team can be left standing at the end of the day. On Monday, the 2011 National Championship will be award, and we here at Cappers Info have all of our March Madness final picks available for the big game.

Matchup: #3 Connecticut Huskies vs. #8 Butler Bulldogs
Date: Monday, April 4th, 9:20 ET
Location: Final Four, Houston, TX
NCAA Basketball Odds: Connecticut -3.5
Over/Under 129.5

The road to the Final Four has been long and arduous for both the Huskies and the Bulldogs. Butler needed to survive a pair of de facto road games against the Cleveland State Vikings and Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers, both of which could have easily been NCAA Tournament teams this season. After that, they eliminated the Old Dominion Monarchs, Pittsburgh Panthers, Wisconsin Badgers, Florida Gators, and VCU Rams to reach the finale. Connecticut was never really in serious doubt about making the NCAA Tournament, but it definitely could have been in a lot worse spot in terms of its seeding had it not gone on that great run in the Big East Tournament. Save the win against the DePaul Blue Demons in Round 1 at Madison Square Garden, the Huskies have beaten nine straight NCAA Tournament teams. Five of these games, they were underdogs, and they have shined through with flying colors in all of them. The Bucknell Bison, Cincinnati Bearcats, San Diego State Aztecs, Arizona Wildcats, and Kentucky Wildcats have all fallen to the mighty Huskies in this tournament.

Connecticut Huskies Notes: It’s getting pretty clear that Head Coach Jim Calhoun is making his bench awfully short in this one. There are only six players that played more than nine minutes in the 56-55 escape from the Wildcats on Saturday, and the big time stats were once again put up by the big time players. Kemba Walker led the way with a very complete effort, as he scored 18 points to lead all scorers on the night. He also had seven assists and six boards. Jeremy Lamb continued his shot scoring streak with 12 points, marking his 10th straight game with at least 11 points after averaging below double digits in scoring per game coming in. Alex Oriakhi had eight points and 10 crucial boards, while Roscoe Smith stepped up and had six points and eight rebounds. The team did shoot 46.9 percent, but Calhoun cannot be happy that his team allowed 13 more shots than it took. The good news though, was that it did have 16 assists on 23 made baskets, a sign that the ball was really moving around for UConn.

Butler Bulldogs Notes: It’s truly amazing that Butler is back in this one, and perhaps the Bulldogs are just a tad fortunate to be in this spot. VCU ended up going cold down the stretch, which allowed them to come up with this 70-62 win to advance to the National Championship Game. Give the perimeter players a lot of credit, as holding VCU to just 8-of-22 from downtown was its worst percentage of the tournament. Matt Howard and company really didn’t do a great job keeping Jamie Skeen off of the scoreboard, but he the scrapper in the middle had himself a heck of a game. He only shot 3-of-10 from the floor, including 0-for-5 from downtown, but he also had 11 free throws made on 12 attempts to total 17 points with eight boards. Shelvin Mack knocked down three triples, but he continued his struggles from the line, going just 3-of-6 in very uncharacteristic form. Mack scored 24 points and had six rebounds. The impressive part of this game for the Bulldogs was the fact that they absolutely dominated the glass, proving that they can really play like a big conference team. The Dogs had 46 total boards, 15 of which were on the offensive glass. They had a +16 margin on the boards when the day was said and done.

The Final Word: This is the final word for the whole season, and with as screwy as this entire season has been, why shouldn’t we expect to see the upset once again. Butler has proven that it is good enough to beat virtually every big time school that it has run across this season, and it has some big time unfinished business to contend with. The Bulldogs will get the job done this year, and Head Coach Brad Stevens and company will arguably become the least likely champion in the history of the sport.

March Madness Free Pick: Butler Bulldogs +3.5

 
April 3rd, 2011 By Andy "The Raven" Frank (Cappersinfo Contributor)

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Major League Baseball is now underway for the 2011 season, and here at Cappersinfo.com, we want you to have those most successful betting season possible.  So, we are providing a detailed wagering guide that will go into detail describing ways you can make money legally wagering on MLB baseball and become a more successful bettor overall.

This guide will be cut into a three part series where I will be offering some solid strategies and advice on how to make money this year wagering on MLB. This is part one of that series, where we will start with some of the basics.  As we reach the second and their parts, we will get a little more in-depth about the smarter ways to bet on the bases.

In this article, I will discuss several very key “secrets” to consistently winning money wagering on MLB.   I will explain in detail these strategies which are the cornerstone to making a profit wagering on Major League Baseball this year as well as for future seasons to come.

First off let me say that when it comes to handicapping any sport knowledge is power.  In this great world we live in we have tremendous access to information via the internet.  This includes statistical information that is so vital in helping to predict an outcome of a particular sporting event like Baseball.  There are a number of sports betting websites you can use to gain valuable information that gives you an edge over the general public.  These are free information sites that you do not have to belong to or pay to use.  This information is out there for everyone to be able to not only find, but utilize it to become a much more successful sports bettor as a whole.  While studying the numbers last year, I stumbled across baseball’s “dirty little secret” which I will lay out in detail as the second and main wagering strategy for Baseball.

Strategy #1 – This first piece of advice is pretty basic.  This is also something that almost any regular baseball bettor is familiar with, and that is the value in betting the “run line”.  Using the run line as an alternative to betting a large priced favorite can be a very smart way to reduce the risk.  As you may or may not know, betting the run line simply means is that you are either laying 1.5 runs (+1.5) or getting 1.5 runs (-1.5) depending on which side you select.  I do not suggest there are many situations when I would bet the run line to get 1.5 runs.  However laying 1.5 runs is a completely different story.  For example if the Yankees were -200 on the money line, on the run line at -1.5 runs you might lay just -110.  So instead of having to lay 2 to 1 on the Yankees you would have them -1.5 runs at -110 or lose $110 for every $100.

Now I will go into the math to prove why this wager is such a great value.  There are 162 games in the MLB season, and the average team plays in anywhere from the low 30’s to the high 50’s one run games.  However we are only concerned with those one run games that were wins, because those are the only situations when our run line wager would lose but the large favorite still won the game.  In fact in those one run losses we came out ahead because we didn’t have to lay 2 to 1, only -110.  So let’s take a look at the Yankees in 2010.  Their record in one run games was 20-19.  So if they played in 162 games and that yielded 20 one run wins then the Yankees had a one run win once every 8 games approximately or 12.3% of the time.

Why would you want to have to lay odds of -160 or more when you can wager on the run line and eliminate laying odds, and in many cases even be getting odds like +120 or more?  Now I suggest you do your homework and make sure you know what team you are wagering on before using this strategy.

For example; The Yankees only played in 20 one run wins last year. At the same time, if I would have chosen Minnesota I would have been much more successful (deferring from the run line), as they played in a MLB most 31 one run wins.  They win by one run 19.1% of the time, which is 64.4% higher than the Yankees.

Please join us on Wednesday for part two of thise three part blog series on the basics of wagering on MLB, where I will go into much more detail.  I will be listing the 5 teams to watch for this year for run line wagers in part two.  And, you don’t want to miss part three on Friday, as we’ll discuss a baseball picks strategy that will blow your mind.  Again, check back on Wednesday for more baseball betting strategies.