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On Saturday night, AFL betting action commences with a duel between the Milwaukee Iron and the Chicago Rush in the Windy City. The oddsmakers are totally off base with this line, and we are going to pounce on the opportunity given to us.
Milwaukee Iron (-3) @ Chicago Rush
Saturday, June 19th
8:00 ET, United Center, Rosemont, IL
Milwaukee Notes: The Iron have been one of the top scoring teams in the league, and they proved their value in Week 11 when they absolutely obliterated the Gladiators 82-54 last Saturday. It marked the third straight week and the ninth time this year that the team scored at least 63 points in a game. QB Chris Greisen is quite probably the AFL's Offensive Player of the Year at this point, as he has thrown for 3,310 yards, 69 TDs, and just four picks in ten games. His top two receivers already have reached the 1,000 yard barrier on the year. WR Nate Forse will get to 100 receptions in all likelihood on Saturday, as he has 94 catches for a team high 1,204 yards and 22 TDs. WR Tiger Jones has 81 catches and 1,103 yards through the air, but he leads the team in TD receptions with 29. WR Damian Harrell has missed plenty of time this season, but he still has 58 catches, 701 yards, and 13 TDs. Keep a close eye on the bookend defensive ends for this team. Both DEs Tyus Jackson and Khreem Smith have 5.5 sacks on the year. The Iron have 15 sacks, an average of 1.50 per game.
Chicago Notes: We would have a heck of a lot more faith in the Rush if they had their quarterback and one of their top wide receivers available for this week. However, both QB Russ Michna and WR Samie Parker are going to be in a UFL camp this week and will be missing the game. With WR Nichiren Flowers already injured, the wide receiving corps are going to be decimated. Parker led the team in receptions (69) and receiving yards (1,040) coming into this week. Michna is the only quarterback that HC Mike Hohensee has known since Matt D'Orazio left for the Philadelphia Soul two years ago. He has thrown for 52 TDs against just eight picks on the season. In his place will be QB JJ Raterink, who took his first snaps of the season in the route of Utah last week, going 2/5 for 21 yards and adding a rushing touchdowns. The Chicago defense has picked off 19 passes this year, but the production defensively has really declined in this recent relative swoon. The Rush started the year 4-0, but are only a .500 team since that point.
The Final Word: Had Michna and Parker been in the lineup, we'd be all over the Rush in this matchup, as there is a huge revenge spot to be taken by Chicago here. Milwaukee obliterated the boys from the Windy City 71-48 at the Bradley Center back on May 7th, and generally speaking, we tend to like teams that come back at home in a spot to offer some payback on past sins. However, this is a totally different team that Chicago will be fielding, and it just doesn't add up to what the Iron have to offer, particularly offensively.
Prediction: Milwaukee 72 – Chicago 51
Week 11 AFL Betting Card
Cleveland (-6.5) vs. Iowa
Arizona (-9.5) @ Bossier City
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